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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • FRIFX , VGSIX, VGPMX and Other Steady Eddys
    POAGX fell 35.34% and currently is up 26.13% over it's March 2020 high.
    MGGPX fell 27.28% and currently is up 39.14%.
    Not sure if they qualify as steady eddys but it works for me.
  • FRIFX , VGSIX, VGPMX and Other Steady Eddys
    Since February 2020 FRIFX has bounced back close to even from its 35% draw down.
    VGSIX fell 43% and has clawed back all but 5% of its draw down.
    YTD they both have had steady returns of:
    FRIFX up 6.27% with very little volatility
    VGSIX up 10.77%
    On a short term (1 month basis), many of my funds are testing their early March 2021 lows today while the RE sector holds steady.
    Other sector funds holding steady:
    VGPMX & PRNEX - Natural Resource
    Any other steady eddys in equity / bond land?
  • Goldman Analysts Claim Inhumane Working Conditions
    @hank, I weep for these people.
    I had a discussion with a proud recent college grad once, who told me he was about to head off to GS, to make a big salary in NY. I asked him if he divided his salary by 2 (to account for the fact that he would be working 80+ hour weeks), and then discounted the halved amount by 10-15% to account for the increased cost of living, if he was making all that much.
    He looked at me stunned and said: "no, not really".
    I then asked him how much cool stuff he thought he'd be able to do in NYC when he was working 80+ hour weeks.
    He was, as you might imagine, stunned again.

    har
    This also shows he does not have the macro / contextual analytical skills for the job, really, either....
    kids today.
    One of mine works for the most 'prestigious' consulting firm, in the news recently for reasons not at all good, and it's pretty much the same as to labor quantity (and he's not close to entry-level either). Eesh, you could not pay me to do that, nor have so paid me in the past.
  • Goldman Analysts Claim Inhumane Working Conditions
    @hank, I weep for these people.
    I had a discussion with a proud recent college grad once, who told me he was about to head off to GS, to make a big salary in NY. I asked him if he divided his salary by 2 (to account for the fact that he would be working 80+ hour weeks), and then discounted the halved amount by 10-15% to account for the increased cost of living, if he really thought was making all that much in the end.
    He looked at me stunned and said: "no, not really".
    I then asked him how much cool stuff he thought he'd be able to do in NYC when he was working 80+ hour weeks.
    He was, as you might imagine, again taken aback.
  • Selective Opportunity Fund to liquidate
    update:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1199046/000139834421006921/fp0063764_497.htm
    497 1 fp0063764_497.htm
    SELECTIVE OPPORTUNITY FUND
    Supplement to the Prospectus
    and
    Statement of Additional Information
    dated April 29, 2020
    Supplement dated March 24, 2021
    In a Supplement dated February 26, 2021, we notified you that the Board of Trustees has determined that it is in the best interest of shareholders to liquidate the Selective Opportunity Fund (the “Fund”), that as of February 26, 2021, the Fund is no longer accepting purchase orders for its shares, and that the Fund will close effective June 21, 2021 (the “Closing Date”).
    Shareholders may redeem Fund shares at any time prior to the Closing Date. Procedures for redeeming your account, including reinvested distributions, are contained in the section “How to Redeem Shares” of the Fund’s Prospectus. Any shareholders that have not redeemed their shares of the Fund prior to the Closing Date will have their shares automatically redeemed as of that date, with proceeds being sent to the address of record. If your Fund shares were purchased through a broker-dealer and are held in a brokerage account, redemption proceeds may be forwarded by the Fund directly to the broker-dealer for deposit into your brokerage account.
    In the Supplement dated February 26, 2021, we notified you that the Fund will continue to pursue its investment objective through the Closing Date. Effective immediately, the Fund will no longer pursue its investment objective and may begin to liquidate the holdings in its portfolio. The Fund expects that all holdings will be liquidated by April 12, 2021. The proceeds of liquidated holdings will be invested in money market instruments or held in cash.
    Any capital gains will be distributed as soon as practicable to shareholders and reinvested in additional Fund shares, unless you have requested payment in cash.
    IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR RETIREMENT PLAN INVESTORS
    If you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax adviser regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account (IRA) or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another IRA within 60 days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you are the trustee of a qualified retirement plan or the custodian of a 403(b)(7) custodian account (tax-sheltered account) or a Keogh account, you may reinvest the proceeds in any way permitted by its governing instrument.
    * * * * * *
    This supplement and the Prospectus provide the information a prospective investor should know about the Fund and should be retained for future reference. A Statement of Additional Information dated April 29, 2020 has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and is incorporated herein by reference. You may obtain the Prospectus or Statement of Additional Information without charge by calling the Fund at (434) 515-1517 or visiting www.selectivewealthmanagement.com.
  • Riverbridge Eco Leaders Fund to be reorganized
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318342/000139834421006924/fp0063752_497.htm
    497 1 fp0063752_497.htm
    Riverbridge Eco Leaders Fund
    Investor Class (Ticker Symbol: ECOLX)
    Institutional Class (Ticker Symbol: RIVEX)
    A series of Investment Managers Series Trust (the “Trust”)
    Supplement dated March 24, 2021, to the
    Prospectus, Summary Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information (“SAI”),
    each dated April 1, 2020, as supplemented.
    Effective as of the close of business on March 26, 2021 (the “Effective Date”), the Riverbridge Eco Leaders Fund (the “Fund”) is closed to all investment and no new purchases of shares will be accepted, either from current Fund shareholders or from new investors. In addition, as of the close of business on the Effective Date, shares of the Fund cannot be exchanged for shares of the Riverbridge Growth Fund and shares of the Riverbridge Growth Fund cannot be exchanged for shares of the Fund. Existing shareholders may continue to redeem Fund shares. If all shares of the Fund held in an existing account are redeemed, the shareholder’s account will be closed.
    As previously disclosed, the Board of Trustees of the Trust approved an Agreement and Plan of Reorganization (the “Plan”) providing for the reorganization of the Fund into the Riverbridge Growth Fund, a separate series of the Trust with the same investment objective, substantially similar investment strategies and the same portfolio management team as the Fund. The reorganization of the Fund is subject to approval by its shareholders.
    The Trust has called a shareholder meeting at which shareholders of the Fund will be asked to consider and vote on the Plan. Shareholders of the Fund have been provided with a combined prospectus/proxy statement with additional information about the shareholder meeting and the proposed reorganization. The shareholder meeting has been adjourned to April 23, 2021. If shareholders of the Fund approve the reorganization, the reorganization is expected to take effect on April 30, 2021.
    Please file this Supplement with your records.
  • Preparing Your Portfolio for Inflation
    Does "printing money" affect inflation? Why, it simply must!
    https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1374381286530244614/photo/1
    Still amazed at how many correspondents remain sure that printing money always causes inflation. It's like the gov debt is the same as household debt thing; too plausible to check against the facts
  • Goldman Analysts Claim Inhumane Working Conditions
    I worked for a small "boutique" investment bank in NYC about 15 years ago, and the analysts there would often work wicked hours. Sometimes, when working on a deal, they would sleep at their desk (or under it) for a few hours overnight. Weekends were never their own. They were paid well, but they were mistreated badly. Some saw it as "paying your dues" for a nice career in Private Equity later on.
  • A Case for Emerging Markets to Re-Emerge
    MIOPX is a good way to get exposure to EM. 35% exposure to Asia EM. Balanced by exposure to developed markets
  • We May Never See a Better 1-Year Ralley In Our Lifetime
    https://ofdollarsanddata.com/started-from-the-bottom/
    Follower of Nick's content. Find his shares worthwhile. "If you had bought the S&P 500 on March 23, 2020, you would now be up by 76% (excluding dividends)"
  • Preparing Your Portfolio for Inflation
    Josh Brown Piece:
    On the economic and investment side, the quants at BofA are thinking that... over 60% of the bank’s analysts see rising prices in their respective coverage universe. One of BofA’s top strategists, Michael Hartnett, is talking about 2020 being the secular bottom for rates and inflation.
    and,
    ... a whole lot of fiscal stimulus and monetary stimulus, too. But here we are, at the big, fat middle part of an economic expansion with rising prices, capex growth, increasing demand for skilled labor and a massive, generational infrastructure bill on the way.
    whats-changed-for-now-and-whats-changed-forever
    Recent Michael Hartnett Pieces:
    The value of U.S. financial assets are now six times the size of gross domestic product. “Wealth gains obscene, but extreme asset bubbles natural end to nihilistic bull markets of past decade,” he said.
    And longer-term drivers of disinflation were poised to wane, too. Fiscal authorities were now more open to increased spending and central banks were now explicitly targeting higher inflation as a goal.
    Hartnett anticipated the coming decade could show similarities to the late 60s and early 70s when inflation and interest rates started to lift off as investors questioned the combination of easy fiscal and monetary policy.
    So what does this all mean?
    First of all, investors will have to get used to a world of lower investment returns, while dealing with an upturn in volatility, said Hartnett.
    And the ravages of inflation could turn negative returns in fixed-income into the norm. Instead, investors should look to take shelter in assets that tend to thrive during period of price pressures such as commodities.
    inflation-rebound-means-40-year-bull-market-in-bonds-is-over-says-bofa
    sell-the-vaccine-in-response-to-violent-inflationary-price-action-bank-of-america-strategist-says
  • Stimulus money, how does a family know the proper amount has been paid?
    I agree with @MrRuffles that if one hasn't gotten EIP1 or EIP2 by now, the checks likely aren't coming. The money can be claimed as a Recovery Rebate Credit on one's 2020 tax return.
    Timing on filing is another matter. Generally, file early if one is expecting a refund, and delay filing if one is going to have to pay. (Though one can't extend the payment due date by requesting a filing extension.)
    This simplifies things. It doesn't matter whether you're getting some credits (including the Recovery Rebate Credit). What matters is the bottom line. If, after accounting for all your tax credits you still owe money to the IRS, hold off paying quickly. You too can earn 0.01% on that money in your pocket for an extra month.
    2021 is a different story. Say that your 2019 AGI is $80K (individual), 2020 is $75K, and 2021 is projected to be $80K. Based on the 2019 AGI you would get nothing for EIP3.
    Let's assume the IRS has already processed you for EIP3. So it's too late to rush to file your 2020 return. Not to worry, the IRS will follow up with EIP4 later this year. It will be an incremental payment if you should get more based on your 2020 return than on your 2019 return (EIP3). But to get an EIP4 payment, you must have filed your 2020 return by Aug 15th (three months after the filing deadline this year of May 15th).
    Suppose instead you ask for an extension and don't file your 2020 return until after Aug 15th. Then you won't get any payment based on 2020 income. Not EIP3, not EIP4, and not a Recovery Rebate Credit on your 2021 tax return. That's based on your 2021 AGI. Given the hypothetical AGIs above, you won't see any money.
    So there could still be a reason to file your 2020 tax return in a reasonable amount of time, i.e. don't delay past Aug 15 if your largest possible payment is based on your 2020 AGI.
    (I expect that the vast majority of tax filers won't be in the situation of losing money because of such fine points.)
  • Goldman Analysts Claim Inhumane Working Conditions
    Not that I agree, but I thought this was the norm for young investment bankers? Anyway, saw this article on David Solomon the Goldman CEO. I literally LOL with this line:
    "It was also last summer that Solomon was lunching at a Hamptons eatery when he found himself approached by a junior banker who wanted to say “Hi” to the big boss. The underling went so far as to point out that she was there with some of his colleagues — on a work day.
    The encounter reportedly annoyed Solomon, who repeated the story for months afterward as a prime example in his argument against remote work during the pandemic. But some couldn’t help but note the irony that Solomon was also having lunch in the Hamptons instead of toiling away at his desk."
    https://nypost.com/2021/03/15/david-solomons-lavish-lifestlye-irks-goldman-sachs-underlings/
  • A Case for Emerging Markets to Re-Emerge
    You're doing very well. Congratulations. I'm only 11% foreign, and mostly NOT EM. After just looking, I see my PRIDX is 0.32% Emerg. Europe, 1.78% Africa/Middle East, 15.30% in Emerg. Asia and 4.55% in Latin America. Also, 4.17% in "Australasia." Anyone who knows the map could figure that this means Australia, maybe NZ, maybe the Pacific Islands: Saipan? (U.S. flag flies there, though.) Samoa? But not American Samoa: belongs to the US, too. Then there's The Marshalls, the Solomons. Pitcairn's Island.... Diego Garcia is in the INDIAN Ocean. Only thing there is a military base, I understand... so. Pretty un-specific. Leaving out many locations. (What could be the GDP of Pitcairn's Island, anyhow? Eh?)
  • A Case for Emerging Markets to Re-Emerge
    I hope so. My two EM: FSEAX +6.15% and ARTYX +3.79% and I wish that was my cost basis 1/1/2021 but it was not. Counting on these two to finish 2021 strong.
  • Can anyone please share if any of their Mut Fund holdings are in the green lately?
    I'll interpret "lately" to mean 1 Week, 1 Month and YTD.
    If we were to consider "Total Return 12 months", everything looks fantastic, since the whole market was bouncing off the bottom.
    A couple of mine that have done okay (1 Week, 1 Month and YTD)
    FISMX (+0.66%, +3.29%, +8.75%)
    FLPSX (+0.27%, +5.89%, +13.94%)
    David
  • Why in the World Would You Own Bond (Funds) When…
    @royal4 - that’s a fair question: “ What happens if in 2-2.5 years the SP500 index drops 20-30% and then takes 3-5 years to recover?”
    I ask myself that question regularly.
    But another way to look at it... how many times in history has the S&P 500 dropped 20-30 percent? The next question is... and when it has... how many times has it taken 3-5 years to recover? When I’ve examined that... I’ve found scarcity and not regularity. That gives me comfort.
  • Why in the World Would You Own Bond (Funds) When…
    Every time I see a new thread about bonds I smile. Yes, I'm the exception and have done it for years. I retired in 2018, we need only 4% (maybe less) including inflation to keep our living standard for the next several decades. I still want to make 6% with SD < 3. I'm mainly a bond OEF trader, probably close to 90% are from bond OEFs. I have invested mostly in 2-3 funds which means I only need 2 great performing bond funds. So far I made much more in the last than the goal + SD=2.5%. YTD already several % up.
    More:
    1) All the money is invested, no cash. Only in high risk market I'm out. In the last 10-11 years I was out under 2%. Before that I was in all the time.
    2) Since the beginning in 1995 I hardly used alternative funds, definitely not for more than several weeks or a big %. I keep is simple, stocks, bond, and allocation funds.
    3) Many average Joe retirees that have enough can do the following. They have some cash flow (from SS + distribution + pension + can sell something), in good times they can sell stocks and in bad times they can sell some bonds. Some of these bonds should be a ballast for stocks which means in market meltdown they will go up or have minimal losses.
    4) Cash? I never believed in cash since the beginning even in retirement. You can have 3-6 months of living expenses and can sell something (per #3 above) 3-4 times annually. I never had an emergency I couldn't handle. I have used credit cards, then I have several thousands in cash and I can always sell my funds and get money in 2 days.
  • Can anyone please share if any of their Mut Fund holdings are in the green lately?
    @Mav123 To your question: "Does anyone here invest in dividend-producing portfolios? "
    Out of curiosity, I placed these 4 dividend oriented etf's against PRWCX.
    PRWCX , DVY, SCHD, VIG, SDY 5 year chart, total return FYI, I thought you could open the link, but you will have to plug the tickers manually (or become a premium member).
    I do not suggest any of these are fully comparable in their methods or holdings; and I do not invest in any of these at this time. This list is a random selection of some dividend stock etf's.
    Ranked by assets, as of March 8 (S&P 500 yield as of March 9: 1.5%):
    Note: PRWCX indicates a trailing 12 month yield of 1%
    1. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), $214.5 billion in assets, 1.4% annualized yield.
    2. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG), $53 billion, 1.6%.
    3. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), $33.7 billion, 2.9%.
    4. Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), $19.6 billion, 2.9%.
    5. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT), $18.3 billion, 1.6%.
    6. SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY), $17.9 billion, 2.6%.
    7. iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY), $16.7 billion, 3.2%.

    Thank you, Catch22. Now, we are talking .. calculated comparison.
    I live stockcharts very much, have been with them for 4 yrs. the chart you showed, I still didn't know existed, thank you for pointing out. I use RRG tool https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/rrg/?s=prwcx,divo,dvy,schd,vig,sdy&b=$SPX&p=w&y=1&t=5&f=tail,d
    This is how I was able to narrow in to MSSMX in time. Now...what we can also do is add these to portfoliovisualizer. , free or get 2 weeks free trial and see beta and sortino ratios. DVY has been leading lately according to RRG (SCHD is leading too.) Rotation is taking place to dividend payers, lately. image https://ibb.co/x8znYQq