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whats-changed-for-now-and-whats-changed-foreverOn the economic and investment side, the quants at BofA are thinking that... over 60% of the bank’s analysts see rising prices in their respective coverage universe. One of BofA’s top strategists, Michael Hartnett, is talking about 2020 being the secular bottom for rates and inflation.
and,
... a whole lot of fiscal stimulus and monetary stimulus, too. But here we are, at the big, fat middle part of an economic expansion with rising prices, capex growth, increasing demand for skilled labor and a massive, generational infrastructure bill on the way.
inflation-rebound-means-40-year-bull-market-in-bonds-is-over-says-bofaThe value of U.S. financial assets are now six times the size of gross domestic product. “Wealth gains obscene, but extreme asset bubbles natural end to nihilistic bull markets of past decade,” he said.
And longer-term drivers of disinflation were poised to wane, too. Fiscal authorities were now more open to increased spending and central banks were now explicitly targeting higher inflation as a goal.
Hartnett anticipated the coming decade could show similarities to the late 60s and early 70s when inflation and interest rates started to lift off as investors questioned the combination of easy fiscal and monetary policy.
So what does this all mean?
First of all, investors will have to get used to a world of lower investment returns, while dealing with an upturn in volatility, said Hartnett.
And the ravages of inflation could turn negative returns in fixed-income into the norm. Instead, investors should look to take shelter in assets that tend to thrive during period of price pressures such as commodities.
@Mav123 To your question: "Does anyone here invest in dividend-producing portfolios? "
Out of curiosity, I placed these 4 dividend oriented etf's against PRWCX.
PRWCX , DVY, SCHD, VIG, SDY 5 year chart, total return FYI, I thought you could open the link, but you will have to plug the tickers manually (or become a premium member).
I do not suggest any of these are fully comparable in their methods or holdings; and I do not invest in any of these at this time. This list is a random selection of some dividend stock etf's.Ranked by assets, as of March 8 (S&P 500 yield as of March 9: 1.5%):
Note: PRWCX indicates a trailing 12 month yield of 1%
1. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), $214.5 billion in assets, 1.4% annualized yield.
2. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG), $53 billion, 1.6%.
3. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), $33.7 billion, 2.9%.
4. Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), $19.6 billion, 2.9%.
5. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT), $18.3 billion, 1.6%.
6. SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY), $17.9 billion, 2.6%.
7. iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY), $16.7 billion, 3.2%.
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