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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • OEFs and ETFs capturing Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
    Stocks per MarketWatch
    https://www.marketwatch.com/discover?stackid=d848c2a2876e40432768c273f5448e67&siteid=nwhpm#https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/5-infrastructure-stocks-to-buy-now-that-bidens-bill-has-been-passed-according-to-jefferies-11636386524?mod=dist_mw_email
    I DO NOT endorse these USN&WR rankings, but for
    MFs:
    https://money.usnews.com/funds/search?category=infrastructure&mutual-funds=true
    ETFs:
    https://money.usnews.com/funds/etfs/rankings/infrastructure
    Stock and Bond Infrastructure MFs per Fido
    Fund Name (63 matches)View a detailed profile of the fund.
    FNSTX Summary - Fidelity ® Infrastructure FundNo Transaction Fee
    AIAFX Summary - Aberdeen Global Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    AIFRX Summary - Aberdeen Global Infrastructure Fund Institutional Class
    BGLAX Summary - Brookfield Global Listed Infrastructure Fund Class A
    BGLCX Summary - Brookfield Global Listed Infrastructure Fund Class C
    MLXAX Summary - Catalyst Energy Infrastructure Fund Class A
    MLXCX Summary - Catalyst Energy Infrastructure Fund Class C
    MLXIX Summary - Catalyst Energy Infrastructure Fund Class I
    RGIVX Summary - ClearBridge Global Infrastructure Income Fund Class I
    DHINX Summary - Centre Global Infrastructure Fund Institutional Class
    DHIVX Summary - Centre Global Infrastructure Fund Investor ClassNo Transaction Fee
    CSUAX Summary - Cohen & Steers Global Infrastructure Fund, Inc. Class ANo Transaction Fee
    CSUIX Summary - Cohen & Steers Global Infrastructure Fund, Inc. Class I
    NXGAX Summary - Cushing ® NextGen Infrastructure Fund Class A Shares
    NXGNX Summary - Cushing ® NextGen Infrastructure Fund Class I Shares
    BILDX Summary - DoubleLine Infrastructure Income Fund Class I
    BILTX Summary - DoubleLine Infrastructure Income Fund Class NNo Transaction Fee
    TOLLX Summary - DWS RREEF Global Infrastructure Fund - Class ANo Transaction Fee
    TOLCX Summary - DWS RREEF Global Infrastructure Fund - Class C
    TOLIX Summary - DWS RREEF Global Infrastructure Fund - Class Inst
    ECOIX Summary - Ecofin Global Renewables Infrastructure Fund Institutional Class
    FMSSX Summary - Frontier MFG Select Infrastructure Fund Service Class
    FMGIX Summary - Frontier MFG Core Infrastructure Fund Institutional Class
    FCIVX Summary - Frontier MFG Core Infrastructure Fund Service Class
    GLEAX Summary - Goldman Sachs Energy Infrastructure Fund Class A SharesNo Transaction Fee
    GLPAX Summary - Goldman Sachs MLP Energy Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    GLPCX Summary - Goldman Sachs MLP Energy Infrastructure Fund Class C
    ICBMX Summary - ICON Natural Resources and Infrastructure Fund Institutional
    ICBAX Summary - ICON Natural Resources and Infrastructure Fund Investor ClassNo Transaction Fee
    GIZAX Summary - Invesco Global Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    GIZCX Summary - Invesco Global Infrastructure Fund Class C
    JEEBX Summary - JHancock Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    JEEIX Summary - JHancock Infrastructure Fund Class I
    KARIX Summary - Kayne Anderson Renewable Infrastructure Fund Class I
    KARRX Summary - Kayne Anderson Renewable Infrastructure Fund Class RetailNo Transaction Fee
    GLFOX Summary - Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Portfolio Open SharesNo Transaction Fee
    GLIFX Summary - Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Portfolio Institutional Shares
    VCRAX Summary - MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    VCRCX Summary - MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Fund Class C
    VCRIX Summary - MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Fund Class I
    MGVAX Summary - MainStay MacKay U.S. Infrastructure Bond Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    MCSGX Summary - MainStay MacKay U.S. Infrastructure Bond Fund Class B
    MGVCX Summary - MainStay MacKay U.S. Infrastructure Bond Fund Class C
    MGOIX Summary - MainStay MacKay U.S. Infrastructure Bond Fund Class I
    MTIPX Summary - Morgan Stanley Institutional Fund, Inc. Global Infrastructure Portfolio Class ANo Transaction Fee
    MTIIX Summary - Morgan Stanley Institutional Fund, Inc. Global Infrastructure Portfolio Class I
    NMFIX Summary - Northern Multi-Manager Global Listed Infrastructure Fund
    FGIAX Summary - Nuveen Global Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    FGNCX Summary - Nuveen Global Infrastructure Fund Class C
    PXDIX Summary - Pax Global Sustainable Infrastructure Fund Institutional Class
    PGJAX Summary - PGIM Jennison Global Infrastructure Fund- Class A
    PGJCX Summary - PGIM Jennison Global Infrastructure Fund- Class C
    PGJZX Summary - PGIM Jennison Global Infrastructure Fund- Class Z
    RMLPX Summary - Recurrent MLP & Infrastructure Fund Class I
    SMAPX Summary - Salient MLP & Energy Infrastructure Fund Class A
    SMFPX Summary - Salient MLP & Energy Infrastructure Fund Class C
    SMLPX Summary - Salient MLP & Energy Infrastructure Fund Class I
    TMLAX Summary - Transamerica Energy Infrastructure Class ANo Transaction Fee
    TMCLX Summary - Transamerica Energy Infrastructure Class C
    TMLPX Summary - Transamerica Energy Infrastructure Class I
    PGUAX Summary - Virtus Duff & Phelps Global Infrastructure Fund Class ANo Transaction Fee
    PGUCX Summary - Virtus Duff & Phelps Global Infrastructure Fund Class C
    PGIUX Summary - Virtus Duff & Phelps Global Infrastructure Fund Class I
  • Small Caps
    @JonGaltill: DMCRX is closed, but you can get the same managers in their SCG (DVSMX) and SMID (DSMDX) funds. The performance of the former has been superior to MSSMX.
    "Whoa! Nellie!" (Thanks Keith)
    DSMDX is a MCG fund so TR comparisons with MSSMX are not apples-to-apples. Either way, MSSMX has better TR over 1-yr (only period available other than YTD) 81% to 51%. How is that "superior"?
    DVSMX IS a SCG fund like MSSMX but MSSMX easily beats DVSMX over 1-yr, 81% to 61%, and over 3-yrs, 55% to 37%. How is that "superior"?
    You MUST be looking ONLY at YTD TRs in which DSMDX and DVSMX and are a bit better?
  • Climate change funds
    I’ve owned ALTEX, ALTEX Alternative Energy Fund, and continue to own Guinness Atkinson Alternative Energy Fun’s, GAAEX.
    They’ve treated me better than QCLN, ICLN, and some of the other ETFs that I bought at the very end of the speculative growth peak from Dec ‘20-Feb ‘21 (which would be poor timing/speculation on my part…briefly had a fling with disruptors haha).
  • OEFs and ETFs capturing Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
    This is the one Congress passed Friday late evening. Are you aware of any funds that showed in their price movement today indicating their slant to constituents that might benefit from this new legislation?
    I checked the M* infrastructure category and none of the funds' price movement today suggest benefitting from this Act. It is possible the funds already captured the benefit when the Senate passed the bill a while ago or M* daily price updates are stale, as usual.
    Some clean energy ETFs are up nicely but they have been considerably off their 52 week high. Of the S&P sector funds, XLB performed the best today with a gain of 1.25%. XES - Oil & Gas services subsector fund happens to be up 1.79%.
    Thanks.
  • Small Caps
    @stillers - thanks for the response. I DID buy MSSMX at the high this year but have no issue holding on to it and it's volatility. It's delivered over the LT. I was just looking for more color as to why MFO rated it so low for 1 year when the returns were so high etc.
    Really like the performance of DMCRX but its closed to investors and I prefer my two over ARTSX and BUFSX. So, I'm certainly inclined to let them ride for a while. But always curious and open to learn about alternate opinions on funds.
    Edit Add: WAMVX looks like an interesting one to look closer at. High ER but remarkable returns over the years. Wish I could view my WAMCX in Fidelity Research but not anymore as its N/A to retail. Never saw a notice on it.
  • Small Caps
    So I sold out of MSSMX as it began its slide in early 2021 and just recently bought back 1/2 position in it.
    I don't follow/use MFO Ratings so can't help you there. You might want to check its M* SCG 1-yr rating which is still top 3%.
    And it's still best in class for 3-yr, 5-yr and 10-yr periods, and Dennis Lynch is still managing it.
    From afar: I think you bought this fund at/near its peak, suffered through its slide, and are about to sell it when it's (IMO, that's why I bought it back) likely to get back into its groove. VERY volatile fund as you know. Maybe too volatile for you?
    Good luck whatever you decide.
  • Small Caps
    Taking a closer look at two small cap growth funds - MSSMX and WAMCX in a port.
    MSSMX - I am not understanding the MFO Rating of 1 for the fund over the 1 year period. It's had an APR of 81.2 and Martin is 9.48 (which is not best for the category) but is there something else I'm missing? This fund has had a stellar run against the S&P etc. and is plus 36.6 vs. peers over the same time period. Is it just the Martin affecting the lowest ranking?
    WAMCX - MFO rating of 2 over the 1 year is more easily understood as the performance vs. S&P has trailed for the first time in a long time and vs. peers is a bit lower. I've been encouraged by recent performance but over 12 months ... its not performed as strong as some other small cap growth funds or as it's history.
    Interested in any general opinions of the two funds above along with any explanation on the MFO rating of MSSMX. TIA.
  • This Risk Free Bond Now Pays 7.12%
    Agreed, a distinct TIN (EIN/SSN) would seem to be sufficient.
    No need to go through the process of creating an LLC. An EIN can be assigned to any business. I have an EIN as a sole proprietor - it's required to have an individual 401(k).
    https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/when-does-sole-proprietor-need-ein.html
    That said, my sole proprietorship is legitimate - in random years I collect a bit of income (1099-MISC) doing consulting work. There are issues in declaring oneself a business without attempting to make a profit - see hobby vs. business. I don't know whether one similarly needs to be running a real business to use its EIN.
  • This Risk Free Bond Now Pays 7.12%
    I asked the Treasury if an LLC with a separate TIN could buy another $10,000 and they said yes.
    I think the key is the separate TIN. If you use your own SSN on the trust ( referenced above) I think the the Treasury will link the accounts and refuse the second purchase.
    An LLC is pretty easy to set up, although you have to register it with the secretary of state, write an organizational plan and pay a fee. Some states require annual fees of up to $500, but many do not.
    If I were going to do this, I would use it for more than just $10,000 of I bonds, or at least plan to buy $10,000 a year for a while.
  • Climate change funds
    Barron's had a short article on Climate change funds, maybe in honor of the Glasgow conference.
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/climate-policies-fund-choices-51636068332?mod=past_editions
    I have been putting small amounts into solar, wind and alternative energy ETFs mostly but a lot of them seem based only on indexes, and I think active management has a far better chance of success.
    The other push for "ESG" funds seems to be too broad to allow a focus only on the transition to a low carbon environment.
    This will concentrate on alternative energy, grid development, energy storage, nuclear power, materials like lithium, uranium, carbon capture, water infrastructure etc, not good governance, inclusiveness, or other desirable social goals that have little to do with low carbon.
    There seem to be only a few actively managed Climate Change Funds available, like GMOs' GCCHX but it has minimums far out of the reach of mere mortals. A number of hedge funds are getting involved, and have lots of information, but again unless you have $1,000,000 or more you are on your own.
    Has anyone done any significant research here?
  • REMIX - Standpoint Multi-Asset Fund (November Commentary)
    @stillers
    Sorry for the slow response. I have looked at several managed futures over the years, including AHLPX AQMNX AMFAX CSAAX, but not PQTAX.
    AHLPX is the clear winner with better performance ( 42% vs -3% 26% and 25% with better risk metrics than my previous choices, although PQTAX is running about equal. PTQAX has only recently caught up ( last year outperformed by 5%) by a significant outpreformance in 2021
    M* still has a "human" analysis of AHLPX
    "Man AHL (this strategy’s subadvisor) predominantly uses a systematic momentum-based approach that aims to profit from trends in prices across various markets and provide uncorrelated returns. The approach looks for trends across a two-month timeframe, on average, which is shorter than the typical peer in the managed futures Morningstar Category. That can reduce the strategy’s drawdowns in fast-moving markets relative to peers that are slower to adjust. The strategy’s responsiveness was on display during the first quarter of 2020, for instance, when markets took a sharp turn. It returned a healthy 7.8% during the quarter, outperforming the category average return by nearly 7 percentage points."
    It is hard to determine how they differ in portfolio, and I haven't delved into that much, as up-to-date data is hard to find, and they change positions frequently.
    In the past I have read that the usual reasons for these funds performance is if they guess the trend in interest rates properly.
    Both seem to be better diversifiers than TMRSX as the latter fund has not delivered much with a correlation to the SP500 of .61, while managed futures are both - 0.15
  • This time it's different ?
    Barron’s is exceptional in the latest (Nov.7) issue. Several good articles touch on this overall theme. (And I’ve posted the cover art)
    - One writer makes the distinction between “market peaks” and asset “bubbles.” He thinks what we’re witnessing qualifies as the latter (good). When a peak turns into a correction or crash, most everyone gets hit. With bubbles you can move assets out of the overpriced bubble(s) gradually and into more reasonably valued assets (ie: funds, stocks, sectors).
    - One article visits a large public Crypto Conference recently staged in NYC’s Times Square. It hones in on a 30 -something aged woman who is amassing a collection of high priced “non-fungable” tokens. These digital certificates give the owner the “exclusive rights” to things like dog photos or images of funny looking hats that are actually free to view on the internet, In other words worthless. She learned how to “invest” on U-Tube and has also taught “investing” to her mother and siblings, who are now investing in these assets.
    Enough said.
    peace
    image
  • This time it's different ?
    Howdy all,
    Mr. Hank is spot on. Excess liquidity and no suitable option to equities. Inflation is getting away and the Fed is still playing with themselves. "anything happens. my fault, your fault, nobody's fault, the boy dies."
    That said, I see no reason to panic or do anything silly. Check your allocation and rebalance as needed. Make tax moves as it's November. Maintain some cash and we'll see what happens;
    One word of caution for the older investors, you probably do NOT have sufficient time to recover from a 20% crash if you're making withdrawals. Your principal takes too much of a hit. It happened to wifey in the 2000 meltdown. She had retired 12/31/99 and had a lump sum pension and 401k. The pension went to Vanguard where it was invested very conservatively and subject to pension like withdrawals. It did not survive the dotcom meltdown. The 401 went to Price and was not subject to withdrawals and had plenty of time to recover and has done nicely TYVM.
    and so it goes,
    peace and wear the damn mask,
    rono
  • 2022 Contribution Limits
    "Fifteen percent of households in the labor force without employer-sponsored pensions indicated owning an IRA in 2019."
    Congressional Research Service, Individual Retirement Account (IRA) Ownership: Data and Policy Issues, Dec 9, 2020.
    https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46635/3
    So for the vast majority of people without jobs offering 401(k)s or 403(b)s, the size of the IRA contribution limit makes no difference.

    A retirement plan for those without access to traditional 401k/403b plans could include an automatic enrollment provision to increase participation rates. Vanguard released a study earlier this year which indicates that participation rates tripled in 401k plans with an automatic enrollment feature.
    This can be a very useful "nudge".
    PDF
  • 2022 Contribution Limits
    Roth IRA used to have $2,000 limit when it started in 1998. Many people don’t have jobs with 401K) and 403(b) plans. How can one save enough for retirement with $6,000 and 1,000 catch-up, per year?
    "Fifteen percent of households in the labor force without employer-sponsored pensions indicated owning an IRA in 2019."
    Congressional Research Service, Individual Retirement Account (IRA) Ownership: Data and Policy Issues, Dec 9, 2020.
    https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46635/3
    So for the vast majority of people without jobs offering 401(k)s or 403(b)s, the size of the IRA contribution limit makes no difference.
    If the concern is in encouraging the 75% of households (ibid) who do not have any IRAs to save for retirement, I might suggest better publicizing the Savers Credit and making it a refundable credit.
    https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/plan-participant-employee/retirement-savings-contributions-savers-credit
  • 2022 Contribution Limits
    Roth IRA used to have $2,000 limit when it started in 1998. Many people don’t have jobs with 401K) and 403(b) plans. How can one save enough for retirement with $6,000 and 1,000 catch-up, per year?
    I converted my small Traditional IRA (~ $35K) to a Roth IRA in 1998.
    I've been very fortunate that the Roth IRA has increased in value considerably since 1998.
    However, the Roth by itself would not provide for a comfortable retirement.
    Thankfully, I also have access to 401k and HSA plans.
    It would be beneficial to have a retirement plan similar to the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) universally available for employees without access to traditional 401k/403b plans (often employees at smaller companies).
  • 2022 Contribution Limits
    Roth IRA used to have $2,000 limit when it started in 1998. Many people don’t have jobs with 401K) and 403(b) plans. How can one save enough for retirement with $6,000 and 1,000 catch-up, per year?
    Agreed. I think it's IRAs are joke compared to 4XX-type employer plans. Similarly, 4XX plans are a joke in that there are limits ... frankly if you make < 200K I think you should be able to tuck as much as you want away in a retirement account since if you 'have a great year' you might want to be a 'responsible saver' and tuck a larger amount away during your boom times.
  • 2022 Contribution Limits
    Roth IRA used to have $2,000 limit when it started in 1998. Many people don’t have jobs with 401K) and 403(b) plans. How can one save enough for retirement with $6,000 and 1,000 catch-up, per year?
  • This time it's different ?
    Its too soon for me to be certain its different this time. But, the global central banks have been astute and activist enough in recent years to keep investors engaged and satisfied -- garden variety stock market corrections excepted. Accommodative global fiscal policies also made important contributions to this outcome during the past couple of years. Current and projected economic conditions suggest this recent trend could continue through 2022. That said, I suspect any future stock market gains through 2022 will be more modest and will be more interrupted along the way than they have thus far been in 2021.
  • REMIX - Standpoint Multi-Asset Fund (November Commentary)
    Hi @Baseball_Fan,
    PVCMX and TANDX are under my radar screen as I require a $100M in assets before they hit my screens, and usually require a Fund Family Rating of 3 or higher. That said, their risk adjusted performance has been good, especially, PCVMX.
    If I recall my history correctly, one of the first "All Weather" funds conceived by Harry Browne in the 1980's was the Permanent Portfolio (PRPFX) which did well in the 1980's but lost performance as for several reasons such as the price of gold falling. Later Ray Dalio is also known for proposing an "All Weather Portfolio".
    https://wallethacks.com/ray-dalio-all-weather-portfolio/
    Here is a good description:
    "The All-Weather Portfolio is designed to thrive in exactly such tumultuous market environments. By maintaining specific mutually exclusive asset allocation – some would even call them boring – the All-Weather Portfolio doesn’t just preserve portfolio value but enables it to grow."
    I am using the term to hold low correlation assets managed in different ways including multi-asset and multi-strategy funds. My intent is to have a portfolio with low drawdown and good risk adjusted returns.