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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • U.S. Retail Sales Jump by Most Since March …
    Not to disagree profusely. But spend 30 minutes in a grocery store. Check out the meat prices. (I suppose one can alway eat cake.)
    Meatflation
    Excerpt -“Amid a higher than expected 6.2% increase in consumer prices in October compared to the same month last year, the price of meat, poultry, fish and eggs rose 11.9%, the fastest increase since December 1990, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Wednesday, with beef prices up 20.1% and pork up 14.1%, adding to concerns …”
    Is this food inflation only transitory? Related to chip shortages, or tie ups at ports, or truck drivers smoking pot and losing their CDLs?
  • U.S. Retail Sales Jump by Most Since March …
    “The value of overall retail purchases increased 1.7% last month, the most in seven months”
    Article #1 - Access May be restricted
    Article #2 Better Source
    Before you pour yourself a cold one, keep in mind that some / all of that increase was due to higher prices - depending which index or observor you believe. …
  • Fidelity's Joel Tillinghast to retire from active management in 2023
    Just for the heck of it, the 3 funds.....versus SPY.
    CHART for the 3 funds starting at Jan., 1999 to date. The inception dates were much earlier, but this is a chart limit for the site. One could always play with PV, Portfolio Visualizer for the full time view.
    And yes, @Sven; FIDO has a deep bench for talent and research.
  • Any predictions upon what day the DJI tops 40,000?
    Shiller p/e about to touch 40, regular SP500 p/e 30
    Allan Roth today tweets about the new M* 3.3% SWR guidance (30y lifespan; probably already posted here)
    https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1066569/whats-a-safe-retirement-spending-rate-for-the-decades-ahead
  • Fidelity's Joel Tillinghast to retire from active management in 2023
    FWIW, for those who may be in invested FLPSX or considering. All will be well, IMHO.
    Article
  • Any predictions upon what day the DJI tops 40,000?
    :) Not sure where I am …
    Likely 40 / 30 / 30 Equity / Bond / Other
    (or something along those lines)
    Re Electronic online gambling in Michigan - Markets are so exciting haven’t even bothered to watch a BB game or wager on anything.
    Re DFKG / Per earlier post, unloaded small position around 11/6 after NY approved their operation - but with a 51% state tax on earnings. Since than it has fallen from the mid $40s to under $39 at one point this morning. Hope folks aren’t sitting on a big slug by way of C Wood’s Ark fund.
    Wishing Catch and everybody here investing success!
  • Any predictions upon what day the DJI tops 40,000?
    Well............could be as much fun as electronic, online gambling in Michigan, eh?
    However, without setting/guessing a number; I'll cheer for the continued upward U.S. equity path, as we sit at 69/31% ,equity/bond mix. Perhaps a bit too HOT a mix for an older folks portfolio; but......
    But, I'll wager that one of us buys the other a cup or two of coffee the next time you pass through FNT and that we both can accommodate a schedule for this.
  • Any predictions upon what day the DJI tops 40,000?
    36,280 this morning +200 points for the day. At that rate, the 40,000 mark would be accomplished around December 1.
    Anybody think before Thanksgiving?
    Anybody see 50,000 by year end?
  • T. Rowe Price Summit Program
    @Roy, you brought up excellent point. We consolidated our brokerage and mutual accounts a number years ago for ease of tracking to two large brokerages. So we have to reconsider this announcement from TRP since we already invested in a number of their excellent funds. The ability to invest in their institutional shares at $50K is quite tempting, plus other offering. At Vanguard, one can purchase Pimco institutional shares at $25K instead of $1M (thanks to @msf). At present, we are evaluating the pros and cons of each brokerages and which one would fit our long term needs. My experience of transfer process with TRP was slow, but that was over 5 years ago.
    With regards to Grandeur Peak funds, you can purchase their institutional shares at much lower minimum at many brokerages with a transaction fee. The $ minimum is set at the agreement between Grandeur Peak and that specific brokerages. Since Grandeur Peak funds invest in small to mid cap space, it poses challenges to existing investors when the funds closed, where one cannot purchase additional shares from their brokerages. One can transfer their shares to Grandeur Peak but that is not something I wish to do in the long run.
    Also, I am trying to
    look at what is under the hood of TRP brokerage but am having issue finding it for comparing to brokerages I am currently using. No luck by calling their customer service.
  • Needham Small Cap Growth
    The institutional class, NESIX, has a lower ER than MSSMX and Schwab only requires a minimum investment of $2500/$1000 with a TF. (Fido, unfortunately, has a $100K minimum.)
    NESIX is also available at T Rowe Price brokerage for a minimum of $1000 and NTF.
    Though I like the strategy very much, its 44 stock portfolio is not without the occasional risk. Its 3.23% weighting in Telos Corp suffered yesterday as their shares lost 28%.
  • World Stock Funds-Are they a viable alternative?
    +1 Yes-you could have done a lot worse than paying the 3 and 5% load on FCNTX and SGENX in the early 1990's and staying in those fund sthe last 30 years !
  • RMDs
    Keep subtracting one. So that one goes from, say, dividing by 19 years to dividing by 18 years ... down to dividing by 1 year. At that point, one must take everything out.
    Which is a good thing. Otherwise one would have to divide by zero the next year :-)
    https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/required-minimum-distributions-for-ira-beneficiaries
  • RMDs
    @msf, thanks for added info. I agree that firms can and do make mistakes in not using the proper table, etc.
    A common mistake people make with RMDs (when required) for Inherited IRAs is that they keep using the table every year. But for Inherited IRAs, one is supposed to use the table only to find the INITIAL divisor, and then keep SUBTRACTING -1 each year.
  • World Stock Funds-Are they a viable alternative?
    Couple thoughts. Not my expertise.
    - If I were very young and saving for 25+ years out, a good actively managed time tested global fund is what I’d use. Heck, with a 25-35 year time horizon until even the first withdrawal, that’s about all I’d use. TEMWX was a great fund in the 70s and for several years beyond. (Went downhill after Franklin took over).
    - Here’s one of the first things I learned from our plan’s advisor (whom I don’t begrudge for the 4% commission he was raking in). Says Bob: “Global’s better because if the U.S. becomes overvalued they’ll simply take the money and move it to other areas of the world that aren’t overvalued.” Made sense to me than and still does.
    - You might already be invested in a global fund without realizing it. Recently I looked at the Lipper stats for sedate conservative PRSIX which I’ve long held. It’s currently invested 61% in North America. I can pin down about 25% shown to be on other continents. Doesn’t add up to 100. Might be that the fund’s substantial cash & “other” holdings aren’t assigned to any particular geographic area.
  • RMDs
    RMDs for inherited IRAs are grandfathered - if you have an existing inherited IRA from which you are taking RMDs, you can continue as if nothing had changed. You do not need to deplete them within 10 years.
    https://www.irahelp.com/slottreport/stretch-ira-lives-some-beneficiaries
    These RMDs cannot be combined with RMDs for all other T-IRAs.
    And as I noted in a previous post above, calculating the RMDs for these IRAs under the new tables is not as simple as merely looking them up. I am concerned that there is a nontrivial chance that custodians will err in their OPTIONAL calculations.
  • AAII
    I am a lifetime member of AAII. Its annual membership is very low and comes with monthly AAII Journal and good online access. I track its weekly AAII Sentiment Survey in other venues. The AAII Journal is really a magazine for general public although occasionally it may publish articles on rather dense topics. Note that the Trinity study on withdrawal rates was published in the AAII Journal in 1998. Lately, AAII is quite aggressive in selling lots of other stuff but I don't buy any of those. AAII location in Chicago is not that far from M* and they seem to have good mutual interactions.
  • RMDs
    RMDs for all T-IRAs can be combined and taken from ANY ONE T-IRA. Brokers'/funds' calculations are OPTIONAL services they offer - I subscribe to those to just double-check my own calculations. Some firms also have contractual signups for calculating AND distributing RMDs but they are good only for straightforward situations.
    RMDs for all 403b can be combined and taken from ANY ONE 403b.
    Then the spoiler. RMDs for 401k must be taken from each 401k (i.e. they cannot be combined like the 2 situations above).
    Note that the RMD tables are changing on 1/1/22, and the IRS will come out with 2022 RMD worksheets LATER so as not to confuse people. But the new RMD tables were decided in 2019/2020, and were initially to go into effect on 1/1/21, but that was delayed to 1/1/22.
    RMDs from Inherited IRAs - the old rule requited annual RMDs. But with the IRA stretch gone, the IRAs must be depleted within 10 years and one can do it in any way, gradually, or all at once by the 10th year.
  • SS increase: what to do
    As an aside for those of you looking for a COVID booster, most pharmacies are requiring an appointment. The demand is overwhelming as many of those patients seeking boosters originally had their first shot(s) at mass administration public sites that are not doing the additional dose--so they are all funneling into the pharmacies. Many locations are enduring the same staffing issues as the economy at large--open positions with few if any qualified applicants.

    I tried to setup an appointment for a Covid-19 booster shot last Thursday.
    I used an app to search national/regional/local drugstores, supermarkets, and hospitals.
    Since I assumed there was ample supply, I was surprised most available appointments were two or more weeks out. After a lot of searching, I was fortunate to get one of the few available appointments at a local primary care practice the next day.