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Precision Trades & Politics

beebee
edited April 28 in Other Investing
On April 9, 2025, someone risked $2.5 million on SPY call options—and walked away with $70+ million in under an hour. The trade was placed at 1:01 pm. At 1:30 pm, Trump announced tariff pauses. The market exploded upward. These options that cost 85 cents were suddenly worth more than $25. Similar trades occurred in SPY 504, 505, 507, and QQQ contracts as well, suggesting that the total take may have been far larger.

We don’t know who placed the trades. We don’t know what they knew. But we do know this: if they were guessing, they guessed better than almost anyone in modern market history. And if they weren’t guessing, then someone made a fortune off of information the public didn’t yet have.
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Comments

  • edited April 28
    Somebody knows who made those trades but will we ever know. They'll just sow more chaos so this becomes a 5th page story. Just export another US citizen or three.
  • I think insider trading is/will be rampant with this regime. After all, last week word came out that Tariff Toddler was telling Wall Street CEOs his tariff plans before they became public.

    Then, I read this weekend that one of his big benefactors is launching an uber-exclusive 'club' here in DC for people to get 1:1 time with each other and the administration for a princely membership fee ... so they're not even trying to hide it anymore.

    "Easy profits for me, not for thee." That's how to Make America Great Again! /sarc



  • a2z
    edited April 28
    there will still be some bitter mega donors that were left off the whitehouse tariff signal chat group.
    better odds if last name trump.
  • Remember when Martha Stewart served five months in federal prison after being convicted of felony charges related to insider trading? Things have changed.
  • Exchanges & the SEC do know or can trace these trades.

    When something like this happens options dealer do complain to authorities.
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