SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 10/29/25
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +7.1% (above average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 42 (fear)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 42.69% (negative)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 41.80% (negative)
These are contrarian indicators.
INVESTOR CONCERNS: Budget (DC shutdown, 10/1/25- ), debt, tariffs, inflation, jobs, Fed, dollar, recession, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (191+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 weeks; fragile peace).
For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up.
Fed fund rate cut -25 bps to 3.75-4.00%, bank reserves 3.90%, discount rate 4.00%. Beyond Dec 1, QTs for Treasuries & MBS will stop. This shutdown may soon be the longest. About 1-yr trade truce with China after Trump-Xi meeting.
#AAII #CNN #Sentiment
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