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Sentiment & Market Indicators, 12/31/25

yogibearbullyogibearbull
in Other Investing
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 12/31/25
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +15% (above average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 46 (neutral)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 53.73% (positive)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 57.20% (positive)
These are contrarian indicators.

INVESTOR CONCERNS: Fed, dollar, debt, budget, tariffs, inflation, jobs, recession, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (200+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 weeks; fragile peace).
For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up.

After 3rd good year for stocks, consensus now is for 4th good year. Sentiments & indicators are neutral. Year ended with a bang in precious metals & a thud in cryptos. Middle Eastern investors are players in both precious metals & cryptos.
#AAII #CNN #Sentiment
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/2371/thread

Comments

  • DrVenture
    Nice summation. Thanks @yogibearbull

    Just to be clear, as these are "contrarian indicators", their positivity implies one should proceed with caution?

    If so, preaching to the choir. Should we get a 5% gain short term, I will drop ~10 of my equity allocation.

    Add threats against Venezuela and Iran to "investor concerns" perhaps. "War it's just a shot away" - The poet Jagger.
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