SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 1/21/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +10.5% (above average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 50 (neutral)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 75.00% (overbought)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 70.20% (overbought, barely)
These are contrarian indicators.
INVESTOR CONCERNS: Geopolitical, Fed, dollar, debt, tariffs, inflation, jobs, Russia-Ukraine (203+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 weeks; fragile peace).
For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil down, gold up, dollar down.
Lot of news & frank speeches from WEF-Davos – a compromise emerged on Greenland. Rallies (2024- ) in gold (+11.9% YTD) & silver (+30.3% YTD) continued. Bonds fell on news from Japan (snap elections, interest rates).
#AAII #CNN #Sentiment
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