SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 2/4/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +10.7% (above average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 41 (fear-low)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 68.90% (positive)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 68.40% (positive)
These are contrarian indicators.
INVESTOR CONCERNS: Geopolitical, Fed, dollar, debt, tariffs, inflation, jobs, Russia-Ukraine (205+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 weeks; fragile peace).
For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up.
‘Twas a short DC shutdown, but some gov data will be delayed. US-Iran tensions are lower as talks continue. India has trade deals w/ UK, EU & US. Gold & silver are very volatile. Media is speculating on Powell-Fed vs Warsh-Fed.
#AAII #CNN #Sentiment
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