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  • As for Treasuries, the CME Treasury futures are all up in prices, so the rates are down. The CNBC has stale data from Friday.

    Tomorrow is a federal holiday, so the bond market will be closed. Typical 3m, 6m Monday Auctions will be on Tuesday.
  • Middle East turmoil causes oil, gold and USD to go up. Just as Saudi Arabia and Israel is improving their relationship.
  • something something 'October Surprise'???

    Russia-Ukraine continues.
    DC now effectively unable to govern. Looming government shutdown (again).
    And now Israel-Hamas, with the US moving a CVBG even closer to the party.

    Buckle up, folks....
  • "...this sucker could go down" - Pres. George W. Bush (2008).
  • Reactions in Asian and European markets are more muted than in the US market - and even that isn't huge. I think this is based on the assumption that this may be a local issue for Israel, Gaza and Hamas (with lots of "experts" having opinions), and may not spread beyond that.

  • As of 0912:

    SP -23.25
    YM -164

    Much better than when the overnight session opened...we'll see soon enough.
  • edited October 2023
    Whew! Opened the window last night - but didn’t jump.:)

    Nothing that out of the ordinary appears on my limited tracker. Bond market is closed today in honor of the guy who didn’t discover America. Uptick in gold & energy which had fallen recently. My Swiss equity holding bounced higher - possibly a safe haven flight into the franc. Bloomberg is reporting that Lockheed and some of the other defense contractors are seeing big gains. Wouldn’t you know?

    Side-note: Settlement dates on trades made last Thursday or Friday have been extended one extra day because of the bank closure today. Discovered this when I contemplated possibly selling off a bit of a N/R fund I added to only Thursday.
  • edited October 2023
    Strange that these were all UP today ^TNX, IEF; ^TYX,TLT. The underlying markets were closed, so derived prices were used. But who derived these?
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/^TNX,IEF,^TYX,TLT/view/v1

    Edit/Add. Quotes for yields ^TNX, ^TYX are suspect. It seems that they had a small adjustment at the open, but didn't trade during the day. But IEF, TLT traded during the day. So, true 10y and 30y yields were really down.

    Edit/Add2. Looks like CNBC Treasury yield quote page became live on Monday night. Click any entry and view the 5-day chart. https://www.cnbc.com/bonds/
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