Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Support MFO
Donate through PayPal
davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
I have wondered about Russky bots here, actually. But this forum is way too small beer, I would think.
@bartab, not knowing what 'tinfoil hats' actually means shows you don't even know the memes or proper usage thereof, too funny --- that is what m…
>> Haha, yes, government allowing people to keep more of their hard-earned money is never a good thing!
correct, it's not when it cripples their children in order to float the rich even higher
come on, you can do better; there is real discus…
only if the infant were not eventually blocked at every turn from prudent financial policy implementations
although we do have that infant now, so it's gonna be all good
Two different macro takes on this area:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/09/opinion/republicans-deficit-budget.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/09/opinion/no-fairy-no-cry.html
One link I provided, can't recall which, noted (I think) that if you take out Florida, it is harder to see tax migration effects, if any. I think, not a clear memory.
But all of those links, whether you thought them solid or less so, are from well …
I think this is not total (reinvested growth, yes? That is a little different, so far as I can see. It's the only way to calculate these things, to my mind. If my math reading is right, DIA (etf) growth of $10k for last year was just under 28%, as o…
Not the Dow, but easier to deal w on M* for me:
SP500 went from $10k 1/1/17 to just under $11,780 today.
It had hit $12,183 as of end of last year.
So, lemme see, carry the 2, and no, not the case for SP500.
Yet.
Another 700pt drop will do it…
@davidrmoran Hi David, any particular reason for DGRW rather than VIG?
performance
was trying to get something more like CAPE, which ML does not allow
shoulda bought nothing, turns out, of course
One NJ resident friend of mine who has been a local-new reporter and editor at the Bergen Record (now filling in at the NYTimes and at Newsday) only had this speculation, with nothing more concrete or data-based:
I think that [new, due to the new t…
Waiting for it to come out, as it probably will (further) at some point. Size difference cited for first half, also lingering illness, but the second half decision was not good. Bademosi's work not so good always.
Otherwise, bother me when the market goes down by the sign of the Donald.
rono
k
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/02/us/politics/payday-lenders-lobbying-regulations.html
But I think the chief reason for that was the Eagles' O.
Yes, lots of yardage, lots of points.
I hope you saw the responses to Gisele's 6yo point about her spouse's catching ....
https://www.boston.com/sports/new-england-patriots/2018/02/04/to…
They just seemed to be having their way from the getgo, mostly; of course I know it was close. But not as much as it looked. Pats could not stop the run, either JA or Blount, and JA was amazing. Eagles' D kept Pats run stifled, for its part. Most of…
Leuthold (usually bearish [edited], iirc) contrasts interestingly with this from Marvin Schwartz of NB; really makes you want to check his history:
\\ For 20 years, the average price/earnings ratio has been 19.3. If you go back 50 years, it’s 15.6 …
https://www.citylab.com/equity/2016/06/do-taxes-really-cause-the-rich-to-move/487835/
https://www.njpp.org/budget/the-exodus-is-more-like-a-trickle
>> gut feel based on a sample size of one?
too funny
>> The fact that some of yo…
>> You wrote that taxes in eastern Mass suburbs were very close to the NJ level.
You got it. You took issue. Perhaps I should have done as you subsequently did and omitted 'very'. Also made it clearer that it is some suburbs, not all. Gosh, …
Oh, I know; there are worse. But as you like to tutor us, averages can be so misleading. (And rates mean little.) The tax on my old 3ksf ranched-out cape worth a little over $1M in a town next to Weston Mass. is within a few percent of the average o…