Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

    Support MFO

  • Donate through PayPal

AndyJ

About

Users name
AndyJ
Joined
Visits
18,716
Last Active
Roles
Member

Comments

  • It's a mell of a hess but there's a tiny bright spot there; sounds like it was a halfway decent and productive Senate hearing.
  • Right, CDs are paying a bit more, but factoring in tax equivalency and risk, for me it's pretty much a coin toss. Not buying either at the moment. (4.9-5.0 seems to be the top of the range for shorter maturity Ts right now, at least until something …
  • Bouncy bouncy. 4m T's back to 5%, 6m 4.92% at the close.
  • I didn't realize he was still there; thought there was some scandal or something. Yeah, the zone defense withered away after the 3 pt. shot came into the game. Some teams still use one of them strategically, though.
  • @MikeM, Creighton does have a good history in the tourney. Haven't seen them this year, but will today. They weren't in the top 25 in the last AP poll but had a decent NET ranking. O'course all that's out the window once the madness starts and it's …
  • Interesting to look at the bracket and realize that as of last night, before the games today, one of these three teams will be in the championship game: Florida Atlantic, San Diego St. or Creighton.
  • Ah, another garden variety pro-Putin Republican; what a surprise.
  • A shares of lots of funds come load-waived at brokerages. Fidelity has a big stable of them; seems like the LW ones there are mostly from larger fund companies. Don't know about Schwab, but might be worth checking.
  • Hot off the press !! No #1's in Elite 8. First time in history for that to happen !! And only one #2.
  • The madness was on full display at Gonzaga-UCLA. What a game. What a last play call by Few. And Tyger came very close to making that last second half-court shot.
  • @Tarwheel, if M* is correct, that fund doles out income mainly once a year, in December, and it was an 8%+ distribution in Dec. 2022 (80c on a NAV of $9.07). The same table (on the Performance/Distribution page) shows how much the NAV fell over 2022.
  • As far as that TIPS fund, or any TIPS fund goes, the key thing to remember is that TIPS are Treasuries first, an inflation protection asset only second, and that that first principle is on steroids for longer durations. The fund you reference, per…
  • Truer words were never written, @Crash!
  • Some potentially great games are coming up this Thurs. and Fri.: Alabama-San Diego State, UCLA-Gonzaga, Texas-Xavier, and probably Miami-Houston. And the others aren't bad either. Not pulling for anybody in particular, just love two good teams play…
  • That Face the Nation interview was notable for Brennan the host shouting over Warren to keep her from saying anything about regulation. Then of course Brennan was all buddy-buddy with the Repubs on the program. Brennan and CBS sound more like Fox ev…
  • The bank officers certainly knew. Here's the head and subhead of an NYT article in today's edition. SVB was under Fed scrutiny, apparently just not very effective scrutiny: Before Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the Fed Spotted Big Problems The b…
  • "let's send another 100B to Ukraine and keep the killing fields operative rather than forcing a peaceful resolution." aka: Let's force Ukraine to surrender to Russia... Peace in Our Time !!! Evidently Baseball Fan isn't familiar with the warmup to…
  • @BenWP, dunno if there's either a distinction or a difference between trend following and momentum investing. M* calls the OEF category "systematic trend," and from the bit of studying them I've done it looks like they each have their own specific …
  • @Sven, yep, I see that this morning; thanks for the link. The tide's going out, and looks like there are more than a few swimmers without swimwear.
  • T bill rates are heading back up; tonight 4m and 6m are back above 5%. That was quick.
  • Most managed futures funds are trend followers; if there are any lasting trends (like earlier in 2022) they can work. If the assets they cover are bouncing around like mad, there's no way they can work.
  • Oversight and regulation matters. The 2018 change in the regulatory scheme (as detailed on Marketplace Morning Report today) was to move the bank exemption from oversight up from $5 billion or less valuation to $450 billion or less. No stress tests,…
  • Elizabeth Warren's NYT oped is a reminder that the 2018 Dodd-Frank rollback set the stage for this mess, and that the SVB CEO was one of the exec gang who lobbied for it.
  • Looking just now at the CNBC Treasury page, the curve peak has worked its way down to the 4m (4.835), and second place goes to the 3m (4.82).
  • @AndyJ Knowing the yields dropped in very large basis points, Friday and again, so far today; the yield chart link included in this last post will provide quite the 'view' when updated after the market close today (Monday). Yep, @Catch, there ar…
  • The 5% T rates are gone like the wind, for now anyhow.
  • If the bank execs owned SVB stock, they are reaping the consequences of their actions. Depositors are being made whole; stock and bond holders are out of luck, getting hit hard unless they sold early, in which case clawbacks are in order, as well as…
  • March 10 edition, with a new host. Lightning round agreement: it's IG over HY, and duration risk over credit risk.
  • Hmm. I'll start watching SCHP too.
  • Thanks, @Crash, I'd fogotten about RY this week. One of the guests made a pitch for shorter duration corporates barbelled with the 10y Treasury. Interesting, but not for moi when 6m and 1y Ts are paying 5%. If 2y or 3y Treasuries cross 5%, I'll be i…
  • Good catch, Yogi; it's for sure worth keeping an eye out for the launch. A followup Ptak tweet notes a couple of differences in approach from PIMIX, including no mention of managing for a high and consistent level of income like Pimco Income does.
  • The 10y T touched 4% earlier today. Just for reference, Pimco's base case range from their January outlook was 3.25-4.25.
  • Yes, replay from November. There's a subscript on the video on the WT site. Not a very timely replay, Consuelo.
  • The one guy - the one who showed up late - brought up an idea I hadn't heard from any of the guests anytime at least lately - floating rate IG. That one goes on the research list. (IIRC, an MFO poster mentioned FR IG sometime back, but the etf he wa…
  • You are as wrong as wrong can be here. I believe it is called while privilege now and I am suppose to feel guilty. I grew up like that and don't feel even a trace of guilt, wouldn't expect anyone else to either, and don't think the overall messag…
  • I see most are callable, but not sure on a 1 year bond that would matter much. But what do I know. Same here.
  • Lots of MBS in those. Pimco and DoubleLine noted them several weeks back as high yielding investments with a margin of safety, given how oversold they thought those securities were. The port yield and credit quality of Pimco Income looks to be benef…
  • @Sven: "This week we are buying T bills instead as they yield close to 5%." Ditto. With earlier bills rolling off over the next few months, the higher yields on bills here will give a nice boost to portfolio yield.
  • Evidently Baseball Fan has no use for umpires. Yep, MLB teams don't need umpire interference! What could go wrong?