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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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  • The fallout from the SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) collapse has finally put fear into the hearts of investors, and especially options traders, pushing up the VIX from the low 20s to a close of 26.14 on March 15, 2023. That took the VIX Index up above t…
  • So much for the $250,000 FDIC insurance. Everyone gets their money back. We live in a world where profit is shared by the few (in private) and risks are shared by the many (in public). Another example of "disbursed costs (many taking on the risk) a…
  • First Eagle’s small-cap portfolio manager, Bill Hench, has a long track record of beating the market and the competition by discovering hidden gems among small-cap stocks with short-term problems.
  • Ed Slott has a very helpful discussion forum for all kinds of "taxy"... "IRSy"..."investy" things: If you would like to post a question/answer you need to log in. https://irahelp.com/forums/ira-discussion-forum
  • Interestingly, the Cares Act and the Secure Act 2.0 have withdrawal provisions that were and are worth keeping in mind. With the Cares Act we borrowed and returned retirement money over the three year reporting window. I believe with the Secure Act…
  • I believe there are other IRA penalty free withdrawal provisions worth considering before considering a 72T withdrawal. You can withdraw funds from your 457(b) plan penalty-free at any age once you leave your employer or retire. You won't owe an ear…
  • This week’s guest has experienced multiple economic and market cycles during his more than 50 years of managing money and thinks the current one is particularly perilous for investors. In an exclusive WEALTHTRACK appearance, he felt it was important…
  • It's not the "rate of acceleration" that kills you...it's the "rate of deceleration" that does.
  • Legendary Fed Chairman Paul Volcker was highly critical of the Fed’s policy of targeting 2% inflation, saying he saw “no theoretical justification” for it and that if successful, it “would mean the price level doubles in little more than a generatio…
  • @sma3, another retirement planner...allows you to include a spouse and added parameters. It's Free. https://i-orp.com/Plans/index.html
  • Congress passed a massive year-end spending bill that included enhancements to retirement savings known as the SECURE Act 2.0. These changes build on the SECURE Act of 2019 and address issues that were not part of the original act, with the ultimate…
  • also, Pacer has a herd of other Bovine ETFs...Emerging Market (ECOW), International (ICOW), Fund of Funds (HERD), Global (GCOW), US Large Cap (Bull), Small Cap (CALF) Very Interesting...thanks @MikeW.
    in What to do? Comment by bee February 2023
  • From @msf quoted, "hold an annuity in an IRA" Teachers have had this dreadful option for years... Variable Annuities (products) wrapped in a 403b. Wonder if these VAs will get the same RMD treatment (relief) as QLACs? Some teachers contribute t…
  • Jan 28 Episode McLennan will examine the risks of monetary and fiscal tightening amidst high debt levels in the U.S. and discuss the types of companies that can succeed despite these challenges.
  • Jan 20, 2023 Episode As we move into 2023, the best advice for investors remains the same – “Don’t fight the Fed.” The Federal Reserve is being clear about its intentions to continue raising short-term interest rates and tapering its bond purchase…
  • Saw this today: Congress just approved 401(k) and IRA changes secure-act-2-0-retirement-changes-401k-roth-ira/ Non-paywall article: congress-just-approved-401-k
  • Maybe January 2023 will provide better entry point. Seems there may be quite a bit of tax harvesting happening this month as 2022 comes to a disappointing end.
  • Unfortunately, PRNHX is closed to new investors unless you are a "summit" investor. https://www.troweprice.com/personal-investing/tools/fund-research/PRNHX May it re-opens much like POAGX has.
  • I have own this fund Long term... off nearly 20% YTD... 10% of my portfolio. So here the deal. Buy into this fund a little at a time and monitor its performance. It has under performed for the last 5 years so pay close attention. If its performance…
  • Dec 3rd Repeat of old shows. Another feature of Wealthtrack is Webextra. Some of these short investment points may be of interest. Linked here: https://wealthtrack.com/category/webextra/page/3/
  • Nov 25th This week’s guest has long been an avowed enemy of inflation and an outspoken critic of the Fed’s inflation-boosting policies. How is he feeling now? Grant will discuss the Fed’s about-face on inflation, the battle it faces to bring it unde…
  • Nov 12th Episode As the markets fluctuate around us, how much should investors change? This week’s guest has his own historical perspective on that question because he has lived through a momentous evolution in the markets. He is Charles Ellis, who…
  • Don't forget to re-invest the 4.48% dividend each month. 4.4 share of McDonald's purchased at its IPO (1965): if-you-had-invested-100-in-mcdonalds-ipo-heres-how The math isn't as simple as taking the stock's return since the IPO date. First, we ha…
  • October 28th show We have a new guest on WEALTHTRACK with a long and distinguished track record of investing in high-quality, dividend-paying stocks. She is Clare Hart, who Morningstar calls “one of the industry’s most impressive managers.” Hart h…
  • BAC - 24% YTD APPL - 19% YTD BRK - 12& YTD Does diversification work ? Looks like over YTD it does. Have a good day, Derf Also remember how BRK acquired shares of BAC bank-america-become-one-warren Buffett…
  • 10/22 Episode: Clements will give us his perspective on the much-changed financial climate we find ourselves in and offer portfolio and financial planning adjustments for rising interest rates and inflation.
  • The story mentions Verizon in the value camp as one that has done poorly. It's getting clobbered again today, and now has an eye-popping 7% dividend yield. Either it is insanely cheap or that dividend will soon be cut. I'm going with cheap: https://…
  • PV does a nice job of Max DD and recovery: Here the S&P 500 since 1985...select "drawdown" tab to see this information. S&P 500 Since 1985 Should look like this:
  • Oct 8 Episode It’s been a rough year for the markets and Capital Appreciation, although it’s down less than the market and its category. In this weekend’s episode, Giroux will give us his view of the state of the market, its risks, and potential rew…
  • @Rbrt, Keep things simple. - Do Roth conversions up to the 12% tax bracket. No brainer. - Consider converting to Roth any long term holding that has temporarily lost 20% or more… the loss will eventually pay for the tax hit. - look at your RMDs…
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • @BenWP, RMD are taken for tax purposes. The government wants to collect deferred taxes on the deferred arrangement of certain retirement accounts. Our budget should budget for these tax payments. Starting SWR prior to RMD may actually help lower RM…
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • With an annuity, one gives up capital and potential capital appreciation in exchange for a steady (usually fixed) income stream for life. A SWR provides an alternative. @Old_Joe, my understanding of "SWR as a percentage" is that it's not based on …
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • @Old_Joe My thought is to consider DSWR = “Dynamic” Safe Withdrawal Rate” Simply, - you set a SWR…say 4% - you “dynamically” adjust your SWR based on your yearly portfolio performance. So, if you set SWR to 4%, but the market (more importantly… y…
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • @yogibearbull Thanks for the further explanation of AIR. My point is that SWR (which is type of payout...that hopefully last a lifetime) should have in it's SWR methodology considerations for performance ( in both up and down markets).
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • Explanation of “SWR” from the prospectus of QREARX “Payments” reflect an assumed investment return of 4%. If the investment performance of the Account is constantly equal to the assumed investment return of 4% in a given year, a contract owner’s inc…
    in 2% swr Comment by bee October 2022
  • A year ago on WEALTHTRACK, in September of 2021, Research Affiliates’ Rob Arnott made two macro observations. One, he predicted there were “very high odds” of a resurgence in inflation. Two, that the multi-year outperformance of growth over value st…
  • This week’s guest is a longtime holder of Berkshire stock and has been an avid student of Buffett’s style of value investing since meeting the legendary investor at Stanford Business School in the early 1980s. He is Tom Russo, managing member of th…
  • September 9, 2022 This weekend’s guest who recently reopened his fund to new investors because of the “improved opportunity set.” He is Tom Atteberry, now Senior Advisor to FPA New Income Fund having just retired, as planned, from his portfolio mana…
  • I often refer questions to Ed Slott's discussion board for IRA questions. https://irahelp.com/phpBB A login is required to ask questions. They are very responsive and helpful. Received this from their forum today: No. HSAs are not defined a…