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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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Sven

Lynn, Thank you so much. I am planning on a 3-year ladder since I am a year away from retirement. Lots of spreadsheet work to calculate the income replacement needed. This ladder will create a steady income stream. So thank you for all your help. I moved back to high quality bond funds this year. Some of which you covered in the SA article. For now, I will stay with agency bonds to the bond ladder. I will pick active managers for corporate bonds. Sven

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  • The article is behind a pay wall.
  • Not sure I agree with the article posted above. How can bonds rally when the Fed is raising rates until inflation is contained? This can continue until 2023. Powell does not care if the rate height and QT will trigger a recession. Don’t know if th…
  • Wonder why Abel has small stake in BRK stock. What is he going to do after the sale of his energy stake?
  • Worst of all those actions are political motived. Wonder who will replace his position.
  • Thanks. One picture said a thousand words.
  • I tend to agree this rally from June’s low resembles is more of a bear market rally until it falls again. The risk across the globe is far from subsided if not worsen in some situations such Europe’s gas supply. Edit: energy, commodities and agr…
  • @JohnN’s OP is a combination of wishful thinking and weak / incomplete technical analysis. Awhile back he mentioned that he is down double digits as he continues to pursue the elusive bottom. It will be a long road to climb back to breakeven point …
  • Perhaps we should start a new tread as a continuation of this timely discussion.
  • Agree. Crude oil prices dropped to 7 months low today. Gasoline prices also falling.
  • Getting a DNA sample as confirmation is not easy. NPR interviewed a local journalist who said security was extremely tight afterward after the missile strikes. This shows the Taliban government knows all along who and where Ayman al-Zawahri is hidin…
  • FBI forensic may able to tell if these documents may have been tempered or copied. Many secret concerns are not disclosed in the public since our adversaries can read about them including this forum. General Kelly (when he was Chief of Staff) said…
  • Another link to the above for those who couldn’t access it. https://morningstar.com/articles/1108848/i-bonds-forever
  • One has to read the fine print carefully as marketing tactics are often used to get your attention. If the number sounds too good to be true, go check out the rates offered in new issued CDs from large brokerages such as Schwab and Fidelity.
  • Small cap space rotates quickly between growth and value styles, similar to those of the larger caps. Now value funds are in favor. I prefer active managed smaller cap funds since there are many more opportunities in stock picking. We have small ca…
  • Thanks @yogibb and @junkster, Having a large cash position dampen the blow in down days and there were many in this year. We have been slowly adding since July, largely in value, dividend growth and defensive sector funds. So far it has worked out…
  • Really appreciate your opinion. Market rallied recently from softer July CPI number, 8.5% versus June’s 9.1%. Small additions, but nothing radical.
  • Thanks for the update. Is AAII sentiment a reliable forward looking indicator?
  • That is what Warren Buffet said about S&P 500 index fund.
  • Concur with LB. The days of Peter Lynch no longer exist. Today out-performing the broader stock index consistently is very challenging. For me the ability to capture the market return by using low cost index funds is good enough. Among smaller ca…
  • The human toll, i.e. hunger and famine is unnecessary due the Ukraine war. Hope the agreement remains intact for the foreseeable future.
  • PBS provided a nice interview on grain shipment from Ukaine. https://pbs.org/newshour/show/ukraine-resumes-grain-shipments-amid-global-food-shortages Hopefully this will head off hunger in the middle east and Africa. On the investment front, whe…
  • If you buy new issues and hold to maturity, you will get the accrued interest in full amount plus the principal. Still learning about the brokered CDs.
  • At the time, interest rates were near zero, tech companies were expanding, and Americans had extra cash thanks to stimulus checks from the federal government. Two years later it is quite the opposite now with rising interest rate and that put cons…
  • Just checked Fidelity and there are at least 5 more banks offering 1 year CD at 3.0%.
  • IRS likes to get their tax throughout the year, not at year end. This is no difference with having too high of withholding and getting a large refund -essentially give Uncle Sam a free loan on your tax dollar. Unexpected large mutual fund year end d…
  • Still think you are okay to pay in the 3rd quarterly estimate. When to and how to change your withholding or pay estimated taxes Check your withholding often and adjust it when your situation changes. To do this fill out a new Form W-4 and give it…
  • Why do you trust this company? Many investors got burned badly by Bernie Mandoff. Even then, he fabricated many of his private reports.
    in TBO Capital Comment by Sven July 2022
  • Thanks @yogibb. You can drag your finger or mouse pointer from one location to another, and the rates pop right up. The site also indicated that CD rates are much competitive in larger cities than those of smaller ones. The top 1 year CD rate is…
  • Our local banks and credit unions does not offer rates competitive to those found in brokerages. Fidelity and Vanguard offer the same 1 year CDs that yield 3.05%.
  • @yogibb, really appreciate your inputs on this thread.
  • It is a matter of the seaport capacity to transport large tankers equipped for liquidated natural gas. Both US and Canada have sufficient capacities but I am not sure if that can meet the entire need in Europe. Generally it is preferred to transport…
  • FMOC is meeting this week and will likely to raise rate by 75 bps. Also earning reporting has been coming in ok for many companies with lowered expectations. I will wait until things settled a bit.
  • @finder, please see David Enna, who also covers TIPS and treasury topics. The Q&A section should able to provide information you are seeking. https://tipswatch.com/why-tips/
  • Thanks for your comments. I will study these products more throughly. There is no free lunch.
  • Other than small position on shorting of S&P500, what else can D&C do on the bond portion of the fund? YTD of D&C Income vs VG Total bond index, is -8.1% vs. -8.8%, respectively. Few variables they can use - credit quality and duration.…
  • Here is a list of buffered ETFs from the above article. The YTD performance would be interesting to track their upside as well as their downside. https://etfdb.com/themes/buffered-etfs/
  • The seed of dependency on cheap Russian gas was planted when Chancellor Gerard Schroder was in power in mid 1990. Germany funded the pipeline construction throughout much of Europe in exchange for cheap gas supply. https://nytimes.com/2022/04/23/wo…
  • It is interest to read about BlueRock funds since private assets are not so readily accessible for small investors. This is an internal fund and has rather limited to advisors. Seem to me that is more suitable for institutional investors including …
  • Europe has few choices to replace Russian natural gas when they are heavily depend on them. Recently Germany started up several coal powered plants. Also they are exploring options using liquified gas but at added cost from transporting it. Canada …
  • Gas is turned back on at a reduced level. https://bbc.com/news/world-europe-62249015 In the article it shows the wide distribution of Russian gas to the European continent. Russia wants to get paid in Rubles instead of Euro in order to keep their …