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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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FD1000

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FD1000
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  • @Anna and @rforno, thank you. Great alliance and future trading partner. In 2026 the developed and EM indexes are ahead of US already. Let the race begins. Pretty funny. Since 2010, big tech, QQQ, made so much more than EM and developed. Unle…
  • Europe? What a joke. It’s been in decline for the past two decades. The real beneficiary here is India. Only a small fraction of Indians will ever buy high-end European goods. Europe’s main exports, vehicles and pharmaceuticals, are nonstarters. In…
  • As expected, Carney’s tough talk failed. https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canadas-carney-walked-back-davos-comments-call-with-trump-bessent-tells-fox-news-2026-01-27/
  • When you show up to a riot with a loaded gun, you could get shot and killed. Just common sense. The Minnesota governor and mayor have spent months fueling tensions with hours of daily riots. It's time to execute the Insurrection Act.
  • @jafink63- The New York Times reports that Donald Trump has used his presidency to enrich himself and his family by $1,408,500,000 in just one year. You have to give the man credit- a new high in presidential theft and gluttony. Pelosi has been fe…
  • David_Snowball said: Vanguard, and others, appear to believe that over the next 5 to 7 years you'll be able to make about as much money in the Total Bond market index as in the Total Stock Market index but with less volatility. Research Affiliates r…
  • The way that observers and strategists and market participants see the Greenland/NATO/tariff situation: "Trump’s Greenland threat is “the biggest ‘taco’ that you could get,” Roche said, referring to the phrase “Trump Always Chickens Out,” which has…
  • Democrats are back to their usual narrative. We were told tariffs would definitely kill the economy, recession and inflation guaranteed. For days, before Davos, the warnings piled up: Trump was attacking our allies, planning massive tariffs, threat…
  • Fake news vs real ugly news. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/christian-leaders-demand-justice-after-anti-ice-agitators-storm-st-paul-church-unspeakably-evil
  • What could possibly go wrong between now and then? mmm...What could possibly go wrong under Biden? The highest inflation and cost of living in four decades. The worst one-year bond losses in forty years. The largest number of criminals entering the …
  • It's nothing compared to what Dems have done. I want to see people go to jail for years and spend a lot of money on defense just to keep it even The Justice Department searching the home of a Washington Post reporter Compared to a raid on President …
  • The S&P 500 is roughly 0.5% from its all-time high, even as AI momentum has stumbled. Meanwhile, diversification has finally worked, and for several months now. From 2010 to 2025, I repeatedly argued that large-cap growth was the place to be, a…
  • MN insurrection is worse than the one in Jan 2021. The one in MN has been going on for weeks for many hours daily, and hundreds are participating. This crowd broke into ICE vehicle, stole documents and spray-painted it (link), used freezing (link), …
  • JD: Your health insurance premiums are increasing by +50% because we no longer receive ACA credits, you say? Hmmmm. Blame Obama, who promised Americans they could keep their doctors and health plans under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and that costs…
  • This morning, I thought the world was coming to an end. (link1) "US stock market crashes today: Why Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq down today? Here’s why fears over the Federal Reserve triggered a market pullback" (link2) "Dow Jones Futures Fall Wit…
  • CD at 4%? Why on earth would I use CD when I can get much more with low SD? Just to name several funds from memory: HOSIX,SEMIX,SCFZX,CBLDX. Yes, I know CDs are guaranteed. See one year https://schrts.co/fAVbqwQk See 3 years: https://schrts.co/zqA…
    in CD Rates Comment by FD1000 January 11
  • Typical political commentary: when Democrats don’t get their way, the volume goes to maximum, crying “fire” around the clock, despite having done the same things when they were in charge.
  • Chris Wright, the current U.S. Secretary of Energy, said today that oil prices, when adjusted for inflation, are at their lowest level in the past 20 years. Watch 2026 for a better economy. On another subject: Trump may ultimately feel compelled to…
  • This is the new Dem real world by another Dem. https://youtube.com/shorts/lTBG57Y8UWc?si=1w5rePkuKjSUP_mR
  • These are the same complaints from Democrats as usual. Secret missions are not widely shared by design. The Venezuelan election was fraudulent, so any reported supporter numbers are unreliable. Ukraine and Taiwan are not major drug-manufacturing …
  • President Donald Trump announced that Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife had been captured and flown out of the country as part of “Operation Absolute Resolve.” Another decisive and brilliant operation. And, as usual, Democrats rush to d…
  • Here are 10 of Donald Trump's most frequently cited wins or achievements from his first year back in office in 2025. These are drawn from official announcements, economic data, and policy implementations, focusing on verifiable outcomes. 1. Se…
  • China's economy isn't that bright. https://rhg.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Chinas-Economy-Rightsizing-2025-Looking-Ahead-to-2026.pdf actual 2025 growth fell short of 3% again, with a strong first half and then a badly down-sloping second half. W…
  • I think I finally get it. Anyone who voted for Trump—or even an illegal immigrant who supports him—must automatically be wrong, lying, twisting the truth, endangering democracy, and promoting dictatorship. Meanwhile, anything Democrats have done is…
  • i suspect today's broad dumping of precious metals is a play to capture 2026 equity gains. The precious metals have rebounded to 80% of yesterday 5.6% loss. The circular investment and concentrated AI stocks may present challenges to hit new hi…
  • Interesting that a supposed "bonds only" investor comes here to pound the table on the S&P and tell us how stupid we all are. Let me respond to the point above: just because I haven’t invested in stocks over the past several years does not mean …
  • Statistics show that the S&P 500 has been positive in over 80% of the years since 1980. Despite this, most, or even all so called “experts” have been wrong repeatedly (see link). The takeaway is simple: being consistently bearish is a losing str…
  • OK, boys and girls, you made it again. I asked for 15 comments; you came up with 20+. As usual, old_joe takes the crown with his opinion @FD1000 doesn't give a damn about "law and order". As long as he's making his money OJ appears hostile toward …
  • I guess it needs to be said - again, for the slooow wildebeest. I’ll say it like Trump, in ALL CAPS. Maybe that resonates? POTUS IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL GOOD THINGS THAT MIGHT HAPPEN IN THIS ECONOMY!!!!! Everyone: repeat after me. Same script a…
  • Happy holidays to everyone! May 2026 brings joy and perhaps brighter future to this chaotic world. Russia invaded Ukraine twice, first during the Obama administration and later during Biden’s. The war has now lasted about 3.5 years and is the larges…
  • any chance fd1k wants to offer his best investment choice for 2026? Mona: Sure he will. Ask him in December 2026 and he will tell you which funds he picked back in January. It’s quite ironic to hear the same lie repeated so many times over the year…
  • Economists and predictions... What can possibly be wrong.
  • Great explanation below. As expected DDD=deny diminish downplay everything. https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/12/23/treasury-official-joe-lavorgna-talks-robust-q3-gdp-numbers.html Who can trust one of the most biased economists, Krugman. https://…
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/23/us-economy-grows-by-4point3percent-in-third-quarter-much-more-than-expected-delayed-report-shows.html U.S. gross domestic product, a sum of all goods and services produced in the sprawling U.S. economy, expanded by 4…
  • This is another subject that needs attention. Are MC a better choice than LC? As usual, it depends. Would you hold MC for the next several decades? Probably not. Would you hold them sometimes? Of course. So, it's a timing problem based on active i…
  • "I guess TDS is a real disease." I agree that this disease is affecting the entire nation. Trump Denial Syndrome is unfortunately prevalent. Biden was a terrible president in the last several decades. Did anyone on this site post several times dai…
  • Sorry to inform you that you have never offered that "balance". Not even close. I recall when this guy posted on another forum (some time back) that people who enter into a new environment should adapt, not try to change it (paraphrase). He w…
  • If you set your goals low enough just think how smug you can be telling everyone what a winner you are. Pretty funny, how is an 11%+ return with never more than a 1% drawdown from the previous peak considered a low target? That's not a spin; it's a…
  • BB, this site has shifted toward deep liberalism and an emphasis on DEI. Several posters have chosen to make personal, hostile, and inflammatory comments, often resorting to trolling rather than discussion. BTW, these posts are a violation of this s…