Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Fake news vs real ugly news.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/christian-leaders-demand-justice-after-anti-ice-agitators-storm-st-paul-church-unspeakably-evil
What could possibly go wrong between now and then?
mmm...What could possibly go wrong under Biden?
The highest inflation and cost of living in four decades.
The worst one-year bond losses in forty years.
The largest number of criminals entering the …
It's nothing compared to what Dems have done.
I want to see people go to jail for years and spend a lot of money on defense just to keep it even
The Justice Department searching the home of a Washington Post reporter
Compared to a raid on President …
The S&P 500 is roughly 0.5% from its all-time high, even as AI momentum has stumbled. Meanwhile, diversification has finally worked, and for several months now.
From 2010 to 2025, I repeatedly argued that large-cap growth was the place to be, a…
MN insurrection is worse than the one in Jan 2021.
The one in MN has been going on for weeks for many hours daily, and hundreds are participating.
This crowd broke into ICE vehicle, stole documents and spray-painted it (link), used freezing (link), …
JD: Your health insurance premiums are increasing by +50% because we no longer receive ACA credits, you say? Hmmmm.
Blame Obama, who promised Americans they could keep their doctors and health plans under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and that costs…
This morning, I thought the world was coming to an end.
(link1)
"US stock market crashes today: Why Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq down today? Here’s why fears over the Federal Reserve triggered a market pullback"
(link2)
"Dow Jones Futures Fall Wit…
CD at 4%?
Why on earth would I use CD when I can get much more with low SD?
Just to name several funds from memory: HOSIX,SEMIX,SCFZX,CBLDX.
Yes, I know CDs are guaranteed.
See one year https://schrts.co/fAVbqwQk
See 3 years: https://schrts.co/zqA…
Typical political commentary: when Democrats don’t get their way, the volume goes to maximum, crying “fire” around the clock, despite having done the same things when they were in charge.
Chris Wright, the current U.S. Secretary of Energy, said today that oil prices, when adjusted for inflation, are at their lowest level in the past 20 years.
Watch 2026 for a better economy.
On another subject:
Trump may ultimately feel compelled to…
These are the same complaints from Democrats as usual.
Secret missions are not widely shared by design.
The Venezuelan election was fraudulent, so any reported supporter numbers are unreliable.
Ukraine and Taiwan are not major drug-manufacturing …
President Donald Trump announced that Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife had been captured and flown out of the country as part of “Operation Absolute Resolve.”
Another decisive and brilliant operation.
And, as usual, Democrats rush to d…
Here are 10 of Donald Trump's most frequently cited wins or achievements from his first year back in office in 2025. These are drawn from official announcements, economic data, and policy implementations, focusing on verifiable outcomes.
1. Se…
China's economy isn't that bright.
https://rhg.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Chinas-Economy-Rightsizing-2025-Looking-Ahead-to-2026.pdf
actual 2025 growth fell short of 3% again, with a
strong first half and then a badly down-sloping second half. W…
I think I finally get it. Anyone who voted for Trump—or even an illegal immigrant who supports him—must automatically be wrong, lying, twisting the truth, endangering democracy, and promoting dictatorship.
Meanwhile, anything Democrats have done is…
i suspect today's broad dumping of precious metals is a play to capture 2026 equity gains.
The precious metals have rebounded to 80% of yesterday 5.6% loss.
The circular investment and concentrated AI stocks may present challenges to hit new hi…
Interesting that a supposed "bonds only" investor comes here to pound the table on the S&P and tell us how stupid we all are.
Let me respond to the point above: just because I haven’t invested in stocks over the past several years does not mean …
Statistics show that the S&P 500 has been positive in over 80% of the years since 1980. Despite this, most, or even all so called “experts” have been wrong repeatedly (see link). The takeaway is simple: being consistently bearish is a losing str…
OK, boys and girls, you made it again. I asked for 15 comments; you came up with 20+.
As usual, old_joe takes the crown with his opinion
@FD1000 doesn't give a damn about "law and order". As long as he's making his money
OJ appears hostile toward …
I guess it needs to be said - again, for the slooow wildebeest. I’ll say it like Trump, in ALL CAPS. Maybe that resonates? POTUS IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL GOOD THINGS THAT MIGHT HAPPEN IN THIS ECONOMY!!!!!
Everyone: repeat after me.
Same script a…
Happy holidays to everyone! May 2026 brings joy and perhaps brighter future to this chaotic world.
Russia invaded Ukraine twice, first during the Obama administration and later during Biden’s. The war has now lasted about 3.5 years and is the larges…
any chance fd1k wants to offer his best investment choice for 2026?
Mona: Sure he will. Ask him in December 2026 and he will tell you which funds he picked back in January.
It’s quite ironic to hear the same lie repeated so many times over the year…
Great explanation below. As expected DDD=deny diminish downplay everything.
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/12/23/treasury-official-joe-lavorgna-talks-robust-q3-gdp-numbers.html
Who can trust one of the most biased economists, Krugman.
https://…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/23/us-economy-grows-by-4point3percent-in-third-quarter-much-more-than-expected-delayed-report-shows.html
U.S. gross domestic product, a sum of all goods and services produced in the sprawling U.S. economy, expanded by 4…
This is another subject that needs attention.
Are MC a better choice than LC? As usual, it depends.
Would you hold MC for the next several decades? Probably not.
Would you hold them sometimes? Of course.
So, it's a timing problem based on active i…
"I guess TDS is a real disease."
I agree that this disease is affecting the entire nation.
Trump Denial Syndrome is unfortunately prevalent.
Biden was a terrible president in the last several decades. Did anyone on this site post several times dai…
Sorry to inform you that you have never offered that "balance". Not even close.
I recall when this guy posted on another forum (some time back) that people who enter into a new environment should adapt, not try to change it (paraphrase). He w…
If you set your goals low enough just think how smug you can be telling everyone what a winner you are.
Pretty funny, how is an 11%+ return with never more than a 1% drawdown from the previous peak considered a low target?
That's not a spin; it's a…
BB, this site has shifted toward deep liberalism and an emphasis on DEI.
Several posters have chosen to make personal, hostile, and inflammatory comments, often resorting to trolling rather than discussion.
BTW, these posts are a violation of this s…
Yardeni is similar to Prof Sigel
Siegel basically has 2 long term opinions
1) Mr. Siegel is stocks perma bull. He has 2 main predictions annually: stocks will make money next year.
2) Stocks will make more than bonds.
The above is not a brain surg…
https://wolfstreet.com/2025/12/16/the-fed-should-look-at-private-sector-jobs-growth-and-not-get-distracted-by-the-massive-federal-government-job-cuts/
Federal government slashed 172,000 jobs in 3 months, Private Sector gained 225,000, the most sinc…
Of the US equity funds I track, SPY is 30th YTD. It has really fallen off the pace recently. QQQ is #8.
Records look better on baseball cards.
Are you suggesting that the SP500 must be the best index for 1 week,and 1-6 months.
It is one of the bes…
https://wolfstreet.com/2025/12/16/the-fed-should-look-at-private-sector-jobs-growth-and-not-get-distracted-by-the-massive-federal-government-job-cuts/
Federal government slashed 172,000 jobs in 3 months, Private Sector gained 225,000, the most sinc…
I explained many times why I haven't held stocks.
We have plenty of money, we can live on CD until death.
I achieved 11+% average annual performance since I retired in 2018 without losing more than 1% from any top.
It looks pretty good to me as a ma…
I was on vacation.
That’s where you should have stayed.
We were better off without you.
I can confirm that this information is 100% accurate.
Some have to stay and complain constantly, no matter what and be blind when their party brought us the wo…
I explained many times why I haven't held stocks.
We have plenty of money, we can live on CD until death.
I achieved 11+% average annual performance since I retired in 2018 without losing more than 1% from any top.
It looks pretty good to me as a ma…
Marks as always leaves the door open just in case he is wrong.
In the memo he discussed a bubble at length.
He also said in the beginning
"All of my observations will be generalities, but I’m hopeful they’ll be relevant nonetheless."
What is the p…
