Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Very interesting...goes against the Wall Street idiom, "if the VIX is high, it's time to buy"..."be greedy when others are fearful"...
Of course FD1K appears to have done very well timing the market over the years, not being sarcastic, I've seen so…
@catch22
buy and hold...stay invested...in it for the long term...don't panic...unlimited QE...loose monetary conditions....
No shame in getting off with the women and children...he who panics first, panics best...distorted markets, no price discov…
@BenWP
I don't believe ARTTX and VLSAX have similar strat's. I like ARTTX as it is a "risk-aware, not specifically L/S" fund and the way I understand it is there is an associate on board whose role in managing the portfolio is focused on risk mana…
LB, isn't the stimulus package already priced into the market? If anything the surprise will likely be that the stimulus is less than what was originally mentioned by Pres Biden
JB and Observant1, very difficult to disagree and argue against the v…
Ya, I guess with Dr Hussman the old saying, I'd rather be rich than right comes to mind. Have to state, if you read his commentary, directionally it makes a lot of rational sense...kind of the opposite of GME, Gamestop, ARK moonshot investing, etc.
…
Figured I'd see a response from you LB...It's obvious that I disagree with your political views but I do read and enjoy your posts, if only to ensure that I am keeping an open mind and considering others viewpoints all in an attempt to learn. Thank…
Dang!
Why all the acrimony?
FWIW, I appreciate FD's postings...brings up insight, views that sometimes I align with, sometimes nada...but always makes me think
Let the guy post without all the chippiness. His style is his style, ya, some bravado…
@Derf,
don't get me wrong, I'm not a gamer, don't know too much about it myself...will state that my last role in the corporate world, I worked with many folks in their early to mid-20's....wow, it was kinda culture shock for me as in many cases I …
Stop the crazy meaning everything...who in their right mind thought you could just waltz into the Capital and not learn the meaning of consequences...who thought we would have a break down in law and order...(I see where Macy's just announced pull o…
Added to existing positions in
Vlsax, virtus kar long short
Tmsrx, t rowe multi
Arttx, artisan focus
Pvcmx, palm valley
New position
Trgvx, t rowe global value equity
Reduced
Iqdax, q infinity,. Got scared. Too black boxey for me at larger positio…
From the Marketear.com...
"There is pretty much no time period where EEM has outperformed SPY over the past decade when yields have surged. Add to this that EEM is full of tech (sensitive to rates) and we ask ourselves how people can be so bullish …
Good Morning @Derf,
Ha! Like your commentary!
FWIW,
ECD Company plans to build an esports arena in Chicago’s Near South Side, according to The Esports Observer.
Scott Greenberg, the president and CEO of ECD and SMASHotels, is focusing on turnin…
Ah, Prof Snowball.. nonsense it might be but I was telling folks 15 years ago that
. We'd be letting criminals out of prison cause we can't afford to keep them there
. We'd legalize the weed cause we need the tax monies
. We'd be wearing six shooter…
Hmm, really concerning when the wise elders sound the alarm...
Sure seems more and more like late 90's except with an exponential sense of reckless investments being made... price to sales ratios are off the charts insane
I'm thinking that black s…
nah, I disagree, it doesn''t even out...I'd take my chances with a slowly rising sea way before I went into some rat hole crime infested city led by Marxists and politco cronies looking to suckle of the teet of other's savings and hard work. Crimina…
Yes, it's all sunshine, sea shells and balloons...until it all comes crashing down as reality sets in..
Absolutely frightening as to how it all mirrors almost exactly all the BS that was going around in the late 90's...new paradigm, you don't under…
Always appreciate your postings lynnbollin!
Reading Sebastian page's with t.rowe price new book, diversification and he quotes in it re not overfitting historical data and obsessing over whether factor models, backtests, and other useful statistica…
Hmm.
What do you really own there...some paper that makes claims on folks paying back loans in a pandemic and rated by companies that see an increase in business when they are more lenient in their ratings to their customers?
CMBS? what are they,…
Good afternoon
Didn't think that anericold did storage for vaccines etc. Only food. Not sure I could be incorrect.
Do know that thermofisher. TMO. Mfgs fridges that can store vaccines at low temps
Best
Baseball fan
Greetings to all,
I'll run with this portfolio, pre-retiree, conservative, I hope that is is ok that I post after mkt opens on 1st trading day of the month...
VLSIX, KAR Long/Short, $150,000, 15%
TGUNX, TCW New America, $25,000, 2.5%
ARTTX, Artisa…
IQDAX, Q Infinity fund
positive returns, low correlation to the stock and bond market, liquid, high alpha, low beta, good asymmetric risk/reward profile, high minimum, black box aspect, yes, but what the heck am I really invested in, is your risk m…
Hi All, yes, agreed, IQDAX is not really a bear fund but it has been an excellent diversifier in turbulent market conditions.
I was trying to take into account shipwrecks content and context as I interpreted it as I believe that is what most folks…
Hey wreck... check out IQDAX. Q infinity find. Has the characteristics of what you are looking for without being a true short fund. Do your homework. Full disclosure I hold six figures + of this fund
Best
Baseball fan
Hi All, hmm, candidly, I personally do not doubt that FD1K is a better investor than many professionals, regardless if he does or does not know more about the markets than the professionals, excuse me, so called professionals. He might not be caugh…
Hmm.
Seems to me that what is being referred to as a barbell portfolio is really Taleb's anti-fragile portfolio...don't risk at all what you need and be very aggressive with a smaller percentage...similar to the ETF DRSK.. I think this makes a lot…
Hi @Crash...thanks for the call out...bear with me while I go on a rant etc....ha!
They both are similar in performance and speak to an ESG perspective...but...what turned me off on the BIAWX fund is they really play up the ESG perspective...then h…
Nice article Bee, thank you for sharing.
I've been phasing into ARTTX (Artisan Partners Focus Fund) the past week or so, do like that it attempts to be "risk - aware", looking at crowding, volatility, correlation, factor analysis, macro drivers, li…
Hat tip to you FD1000, appears you have a high level of confidence and success in your investing endeavors. Like they say, it ain't boasting if you can do it.
Maybe I'm, take that back, I am quite a Chicken Little when it comes to investing in Mu…
Hi @wxman123,
AKREX, very concerned about valuation, price to sales of top holdings such as V and MA. While the fund obviously has done great, I'm not convinced that it will remain so when the Fed Reserve take the foot of the gas
Fund doesn't do …
CDs (3.0 to 3.55% APY rolling off in ~3.5 years), 77%
on line savings, 5%, currently paying 0.60% APY
Dominion DERI account, 6%, currently paying 1.75% APY
IQDAX, Infinity Q, 5%
FPFIX, FPA Flexible Income Fund, 2%
ROSOX, Rondure Overseas Fund, 2%
AK…
@FD1000...I hold a six figure + position in IQDAX...they do post a risk profile on their website from late June...kinda gives you an idea of how the fund would react dependent on vol, crude, fx, etc, but still there is a "black boxey" element to it …
what really concerns me re AKREX Akre Focus fund is the number of holdings that sell for way over 10x price to sales...have been reducing holdings in this fund...regardless if they hold any of the FANG stocks...
Baseball_Fan
...Had to laugh when Hank mentioned the wall to wall politics, conspiracy etc...kinda like this discussion board lately, no?
Turning into a bunch of pseudo-intellectuals ganging up on anyone who disagrees with their political views...
Used to enjo…
