Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Only if they behave honorably
But, the current political structure of China is to dominate, yes?
Well, yes, but maybe they want to change their ways and dominate honorably (he said naively)...
What is Terminal fund rate?
The terminal rate is the level at which the Fed is expected to stop raising interest rates.
I'm imaging the FED using CPI or an index gauge they choose and increasing interest rates until the two numbers are near the same…
"Eventually they will catch up."
Yes, but as the Economist report said (paraphrase): "By the time China catches up, the technology will have moved significantly further." (Let's hope.)
No sir, and frankly I'm a bit worried about the whole thing. However he has, in the past, sometimes paid no attention to MFO for some weeks at a time. Hopefully that's what's going on now.
"the stock with no comparable competitors for semiconductor manufacturing"
Yes, thanks to a non-financial article several years ago in The Economist.
So I said to myself... cutting edge technology, world is going to need this stuff for quite a whi…
"The 2% target is not realistic today."
My guess is final range of 3-4.5%. That would allow Fed nice range of "dry powder" to decrease rates if necessary to offset future financial problems. What the Fed says and what it really thinks may be two sl…
And from that Schwab article:
"the futures markets are now pricing in a rise in the federal funds rate to the 5% to 5.25% region in the second quarter of 2023, with the rate staying above 5% until late 2023."
That would be my guess, too.
"My experience with overseas investing has been mixed depending on the time period."
Same here. Did very well years ago, but because of our age have no exposure to market at this time (other than ASML, which is quite enough excitement for me).
OK, I understand the suggestions implied by the historical yield cure inversions. But were any of those historical inversions preceded by four or five years of extremely low interest rates (approaching zero) during a period of pretty decent growth?
…
@AndyJ-
It's important to note that a Special Counsel is not the same as an Independent Counsel. A "Special Counsel" is usually someone who is considered to be highly qualified and politically neutral, and not a regular employee of the Justice Depa…
"one of the reason kids are leaving Facebook is that their parents are on it too now and they don’t want their parents to know what they’re up to."
Boy, that's new... when I was a kid I wanted my parents to know everything that I was up to. :) :) …
"Facebook, Twitter, etc use AI to learn from your clicks and from Likes/Follows for news sources..."
I have absolutely no interest in letting Mark Zuckerberg or Elon Musk "help" me to decide what my news sources might be. Talk about a "slippery sl…
Well, I'll leave the judgement to others: Do you get the impression that I'm uninformed about what's going on in the world? Does my lack of connection to "social media" suggest significant information impairment on my part?
As long as there are rel…
More from Associated Press:
WASHINGTON (AP) — Attorney General Merrick Garland named a special counsel on Friday to oversee the Justice Department’s investigation into the presence of classified documents at former President Donald Trump’s Florida e…
More from the NY Times:
White House officials say they had no involvement in the special counsel decision.
Officials at the White House said on Friday that they were “not involved” in the decision by Attorney General Merrick B. Garland to appoint…
Additional Information from The New York Times:
Garland to Name Special Counsel for Trump Investigations
WASHINGTON — Attorney General Merrick B. Garland will announce on Friday that he is appointing a special counsel to take over two major crimina…
This may come as something of a surprise to some folks, but I've been able to navigate life just fine without Alexa, Siri, Twit, FB, or any other "social" waste of time.
That's left me with lots of extra time to spend at MFO, where folks are friend…
Well, Crash, you may not know how you did it, but the address of that image is definitely located at ImgBB. The address of that image is: https://i.ibb.co/sqLc52q/Kaa-Awa-Beach-Oahu.webp
By the way- that beach looks almost exactly like the one at o…
Apologies for the inadvertent hijacking of the "Steady Rising Yields" thread. I don't set out to do this... sometimes these things seem to take on a life of their own.
@Crash- Pictured below is the imgBB screen that you should see after creating your folder. I've noted (in red) the steps necessary to make an image from that folder available for view on MFO. Note that if you delete that image from your folder it wi…
@yogibearbull- Thanks very much for that suggestion. For a long time I've been unsuccessfully looking for a resource like ImgBB.
And it works! My favorite steam engine- Southern Pacific "Daylight" 4449:
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And a test from a screen capture:
"…
yogibearbull said-
"Right-click image and copy image-address/URL (not link-address/URL; not all images have this) and then paste in MFO Image tool (3rd from right)."
Additional info: on Firefox browsers, you'll right-click on the desired image and…
@Junkster- I really empathize with you on that. I've frequently asked myself if I could live with someone who tolerates Trump's ethical and moral codes (if "codes" is even the right word here). And, I couldn't. I'm so grateful that my wife and I are…
