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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Ed Slott: Why Roth IRAs Are Here To Stay
    Wasn't the idea of the tax on SS in fact to tax the "rich"? If I recall the argument, many well-off people with large retirement incomes were (as usual) using loopholes to avoid taxes. Wasn't it the idea that people with lower retirement incomes would not hit the tax threshold for SS but people with the larger incomes would?
  • State Funds Enhanced Ultra Short Duration Mutual Fund (STATX) to liquidate
    @ MFO Members: Based on State Farm's decisions in 2017, I wouldn't be surprised they will soon exit the mutual fund business.
    If you have any investments with State Farm, you should probably move them. As of April 2017 their 12,000 agents stopped offering funds and other retirement investment products to their customers.
    M* State Farm Family Of Funds:
    http://quicktake.morningstar.com/fundfamily/state-farm/0C00001YTU/fund-list.aspx
  • Improved Social Security COLA Would Help Seniors Stay Ahead Of Inflation
    FYI: Whenever I do a town hall about Social Security, one issue invariably rises to the top: cost-of-living adjustments (or COLAs).
    Retirees across America consistently tell us that their annual COLAs simply are not adequate. And they have a reason to be concerned. Though the 2019 COLA is a decent 2.8%, these adjustments historically have not kept pace with seniors’ rising expenses. In fact, for three of the past 10 years there were no cost-of-living increases — zero. In 2017, the COLA was a scant 0.3% — or a meager $4 a month for the average beneficiary.
    Simply put, retirees need a COLA that accurately reflects the effects of inflation on their cost of living. The current index, the CPI-W, is pegged to urban wage earners’ living expenses, and tends to underestimate what seniors spend on big ticket items like housing and medical care. By the same token, retirees purchase less gasoline than working-age Americans, even though the cost of gas figures prominently into the current inflation index. As the Center for Retirement Security explains, “In 2016, retirees received no COLA specifically because the cost of oil plummeted. The low cost of gasoline offset [actual inflation] in other areas.”
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/improved-social-security-cola-would-help-seniors-stay-ahead-of-inflation-2019-02-28/print
  • Vanguard's change in new lower initial investment amount (automatic conversion date)
    msf: You said; "
    Why aren't Investor class shares simply disappearing then? Because funds like Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 (VTTVX) will still own them. The Vanguard funds of funds own investor class shares so that they can claim they're not adding any expenses on top of the underlying funds"
    If Admiral shares have a lower ER , then the cost would be less ? Only thing I see it's likely the 3 K $$'s hasn't been put into 2025 fund. What Is it that I'm missing/
    Derf
  • Vanguard's change in new lower initial investment amount (automatic conversion date)
    If you are a retail investor in one of the funds above, your shares will be automatically converted into Admiral shares. It's a tax-free exchange.
    At the same time, Admiral shares will have their minimums dropped to $3K, same as Investor class shares.
    At the end of the day, you will have Admiral class shares (with Admiral class ERs) and a $3K min. Investor class shares will still exist, but they'll be pointless for you to buy (since they have higher ERs), and you won't be allowed to anyway.
    Why aren't Investor class shares simply disappearing then? Because funds like Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 (VTTVX) will still own them. The Vanguard funds of funds own investor class shares so that they can claim they're not adding any expenses on top of the underlying funds.
    It would be more honest (or at least more transparent) if the funds owned Admiral (or even better, Institutional) class shares of the underlying funds and simply added on a small management fee, say 0.08% like FFNOX does.
  • Ed Slott: Why Roth IRAs Are Here To Stay
    FYI: Retirement planners can relax on one point, according to IRA specialist Ed Slott: The Roth IRA is not going away.
    Slott, an IRA consultant and president of Ed Slott and Company, told advisors at his 2019 Instant IRA Success workshop in Las Vegas on Saturday that he often hears investor concern about whether Roth accounts, where funds are contributed on an after-tax basis and are allowed to grow and be distributed tax-free, will lose their tax-advantaged status.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.fa-mag.com/news/ed-slott--why-roth-iras-are-probably-here-to-stay-43488.html?print
  • Only Five T. Rowe Price U.S. Mutual Funds Saw Positive Returns In 2018
    @MW,
    not that I can see, really, unless you dwell on that one given period where it outperforms (barely)
    you can always do both just to get the workings of two different minds in approach to LCG; it's not like they're indexes
    or add FCNTX and get the workings of three different minds, although surely w lots of overlap, and FCNTX has not done as well recently
    I used to chase this kind of catchall OCD, and many here still do, but in retirement I have shed a lot of that impulse toward some of this / some of that / some of the other, and have pared and simplified majorly, or so I claim
  • Retirement Drawdowns, either or?
    Interesting question @Soupkitchen.
    I've contemplated it-retirement, but at 65 I haven't pulled the trigger yet. But I have given plenty of thought to when I do. My thought for setting up withdrawals for when I do retire would be to have a cash bucket (MM, CD, maybe a short term bond fund) that held maybe 3 years of expenses needed. The rest of the pot would just be distributed in an overall risk-tolerant portfolio bucket. I've even thought about simplifying everything and just sticking the entire 'investment' bucket in a 60:40 robo (1/2 my savings are in one now and I've been satisfied so far). If done that way, the 2 bucket system, I would be more concerned about total return and not dividend income. But in saying that, it would probably be a good idea to have any income generated from the investment bucket not reinvested but go directly to that cash bucket to lessen the need for replenishment. In my case, the 3 year cash bucket would still need to be replenished periodically when markets are up. Investment income alone would not be enough to keep the cash bucket full.
    Thanks for posting the question. I look forward to others responses.
  • Retirement Drawdowns, either or?
    @Soupkitchen: Regarding your portfolio retirement distribution question. I take all my fund distributions in cash and let them settle in the cash area of my portfolio. When I need a distribution I take it form this pool of money with the excess being held for new investment opportunity. My portfolio's income generation is such that I do not have to sell shares to meet retirement withdrawal needs. I ran my parent's portfolios this way and it worked well for them through their lifetimes. Since, I have been retired, for better than five years, this has also worked well, thus far, for me.
    My rule of thumb is that I generally take no more than one half of what my five year average annual total return has equalled in dollars. In this way, principal grows over time. And, as my principal grows so does my distribution.
  • Retirement Drawdowns, either or?
    When you retire and start to draw down your portfolio, regarding income producing securities, whether it be bonds or stocks, do you reinvest the dividends, and then sell shares, or do you take the dividends in cash, and sell less shares, or no shares at all?
  • Only Five T. Rowe Price U.S. Mutual Funds Saw Positive Returns In 2018
    (1) Value investing had a poor year in ‘18, following a long period of underperformance. Beginning to look as though that may have been the “blow off” stage of the value cycle as they’re hot so far this year. To some extent in ‘18 you were better off putting on a blindfold and buying indexes than in evaluating companies. To the extent Price favors a value approach and does a lot of due diligence, having done their homework may have hurt their numbers in ‘18.
    (2) Another factor - Price tends to be more aggressive with their significant number of allocation funds than others. RPSIX, for example, can hold around 10% in PRFDX (a stock fund). If you compare RPSIX to less aggressive “income” funds during a down year for equities it will lag. Their retirement funds are also known for having glide slopes that keep investors in equities further out than many others. More equities in a down year spells lower return.
    (3) Price includes a bit of PRAFX (real assets) in many allocation funds. In fact, PRAFX was first developed for in-house use in their allocation funds and than later offered to the public. Commodities, energy, & real estate were poor places to be in ‘18. However, if this year’s trend continues it will pay investors in real assets for their patience.
    At first I couldn’t see commenting on this one. A single year says very little about the quality of a firm. Since some have found it worthwhile, I wanted to add my 2-cents. All that being said, I do like to diversify management risk. As now stands, Price has about 50% with the other 50% divided up among Dodge & Cox, Oppenheimer, and Permenant Portfolio. I’m much more accustomed to fending off criticism of the latter two (especially PRPFX) than I am of T. Rowe. Some day I may have 100% with Price for ease of managing my assets and because of their great customer service.
  • S&P 500? More Like The S&P 50
    Keep reading ... on down and through ... to you come to the part on ETF Wrap.
    Breaking Down Wrap Fee
    Wrap fees are generally set up to be a percentage of the assets under management and can cover both retirement and non-retirement assets. The wrap fee is intended to provide payment for all the direct services the customer receives, as well as cover the administrative costs incurred by the investment firm, which tend to be a full-service brokerage or affiliated or unaffiliated broker/dealer firms. One advantage of a wrap fee is that a customer can be assured that a broker isn't trying to excessively churn trades to generate commissions. Wrap fee accounts are expected to more than double to $1.1 trillion in the next five years, according to Tiburon Strategic Advisors.
    Wrap Fee Criticisms
    Wrap fees can be expensive. They can range from around 0.75% to as high as 3%. And certain actions could incur other fees, such as if a broker for a wrap fee client were to purchase a mutual fund that charges an expense ratio. Such high fees can quickly erode returns. Accordingly, wrap fee arrangements have attracted a greater level of scrutiny from regulators as of late.
    Wrap fee programs can have a variety of names, such as asset allocation programs, investment management programs, asset management programs, separately managed accounts and mini-accounts. Whatever the name, such an account can be subject to additional disclosure under Rule 204-3(f) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. That rule defines a wrap fee as a “program under which any client is charged a specified fee or fees not based directly on transactions in a client’s account for investment advisory services (which may include portfolio management or advice concerning the selection of other advisers) and execution of client transactions.” In December 2017, the Securities and Exchange Commission released an Investor Bulletin that provides basic information about wrap fee programs and some questions to consider asking an investment advisor before choosing to open an account in a wrap fee program.
    Who Is A Wrap Fee Right For?
    Paying a wrap fee can be advantageous for investors who intend to utilize their broker's full line of services. For anyone else, it might be cheaper to pay an investment professional for individual services in an unbundled arrangement.
    Compare Popular Online Brokers
    Provider
    Name
    Description
    Advertiser Disclosure
    Related Terms
    ETF Wrap
    An ETF wrap is an investment portfolio in which an investor, with or without the aid of an investment advisor, invests solely in exchange-traded funds. more
    Fulcrum Fee
    A fulcrum fee is a performance-based fee that adjusts up or down based on outperforming or underperforming a benchmark. more
    Agency Cross
    An agency cross is a transaction in which an investment adviser acts as the broker for both his client and the other party to the transaction. more
    Performance Fee
    A performance fee is a payment made to an investment manager for generating positive returns. more
    Double Dipping
    Double dipping is when a broker puts commissioned products into a fee-based account thereby unethically earning money from both sources. more
    Soft Commissions
    A soft commission, or soft dollars, is a transaction-based payment made by an asset manager to a broker-dealer that is not paid in actual dollars. more
  • M: Time To Buy Emerging Markets
    X-Ray at M* tells me I'm down to 3.55% of portf. in EM, worldwide. In retirement-mode, I don't need the extra volatility. A while ago, I thought about PRIJX but never pulled the trigger. Just as well. Today, I see it's up, YTD by 8.37..... My PRWCX is up by 8.86. I know the EM can run hot and cold, in streaks. The whole portf. is now just 34% in equities. PRWCX is my biggest chunk, at 32% of portf. And 5% cash, 2% "other."
    PRIDX gives me almost all of my international & EM exposure.
    X-Ray says:
    full portf. carries Asia EM 2.47 of total.
    ...And what about "Australasia?" Is that Oz plus NZ plus out of the way places like The Maldives and the Solomons and the Marshall Islands, or what? (0.62% there.)
    Africa/M.E =0.19%
    Europe EM = 0.
    LatAm =0.89%.
    Ethical filters as well as portf. protection will keep me much more Stateside, from now on, though I still want just one finger in the EM pie.
    ...Although, judging from the ones in the seats of power these days, "ethics" is a thing they are unaware of. But what are ya gonna do. Untrammeled capitalism is the only game in town. Until Leadership grows or re-grows a conscience. ("Can you say, 'con-science,' boys and girls? I KNEW you COULD," said Mr. Rogers, in his trademark creepy voice, from the grave.)
    BONDS are in PTIAX and the lion's share is in PRSNX. ALL bonds in portf. these days = 59% of total.
  • My retirement portfolio
    I am retiring in May. Can you give your opinion on my portfolio. I am trying for a 3% yield. Any suggestions would be appreciated.
    Thanks,
    Ken
    Vanguard Balanced Index Adm VBIAX 7.75
    Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF VIG 34.02
    Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Gr Inv VSMGX 7.36
    Vanguard Prime Money Market Investor VMMXX 7.54
    Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Adm VBIRX 6.72
    Vanguard Shrt-Term Infl-Prot Sec Idx Adm VTAPX 5.96
    Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Adm VBTLX 6.59
    Vanguard Wellesley® Income Admiral™ VWIAX 24.06
  • It’s Never Too Early To Get Your Kid Saving For Retirement. Here’s How.
    FYI: When Michelle Brownstein started a summer job at an apparel retailer in the late 1990s, her father made the then-teenager a deal: If she agreed to save a portion of her earnings in a Roth IRA, he would match her contributions.
    In doing so, Brownstein’s dad explained, she would be able to stash away savings at a very low tax rate; benefit from decades of compounding; and, eventually, withdraw the money free and clear.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/roth-ira-for-teenagers-51550247933?mod=djem_b_Weekly barrons_daily_newsletter
  • How big must your nest egg be?
    @MJG - Thanks for the link. I feared it was some MonteCarlo sim - but it isn’t. :) Let’s folks imput different allocations to many different classes of equities, bonds, cash etc. and see how they performed over specified time frames. Should be of interest to many.
    If possible, some of us “seniors“ should by now be able to do our own back-testing. I ditched my fee-based 403B “advisor” (skimming 4+% off contributions) in ‘95. Switched to TRP and took charge. I’ve got some rough recollections of my investment history from ‘95-‘98. After ‘98, when I retired, I began keeping detailed records. I know how I was invested each year and what the % of gain or loss was. The plan changes little - but I’m aware of when allocation changes (mostly age-related) occurred. That’s my back-testing - detailed records spanning nearly a quarter century.
    I know what my IRAs were worth in ‘98. I also know I’ve now withdrawn considerably more dollars over those years than the beginning balance. And I know that I currently have nearly double the amount invested that I started with. (Withdrawals didn’t begin until 5-7 years into retirement.) Over the first 7-8 years investments compounded at around 7% yearly - but less in recent years. Except for 2008 when I lost 20% (followed by +28% the next year), I can’t recall another down year of more than 5 or 6%. I don’t consider these returns very good relative to others. I’ve always been very risk averse.
    Of course, a dollar today isn’t worth what it was in ‘98. Assuming a 50% decrease in purchasing power over those 21 years, I’m at about where I was when I retired. One source estimates inflation averaging slightly above 3% over a 20 year time-frame with prices roughly doubling over that time. (Can’t vouch for its accuracy.) https://inflationdata.com/Inflation/Inflation_Rate/Long_Term_Inflation.asp
    Maybe what I’m saying here relates mostly to the value of keeping good records. No attempt to tout returns. As I said, many will have done much better. (I’m in envy of a number of others on the board. :) )
    Regards
    * Footnote - Being conservatively positioned allows me to remain 100% invested all the time in a wide variety of fund types, including a modicum of cash. Mention that because many maintain multi-year cash reserves separate from their “investments” and exclude that cash when calculating returns. May result in apples-to-oranges comparisons.
  • How big must your nest egg be?
    The answer is about 25 times your annual expenses at retirement. Mr. Bernstein is wrong for decades, if you listen to him, chances you will never retire, especially if you invest in Treasury inflation-protected securities and inflation-adjusted immediate annuities. You must own some stocks and you can do so much better long term with Multisector funds. Investing in TIPS? really? TIPS made just 1.43% annually in the last 5 years, even BND is a better choice. I have been commenting about him for years on Morningstar.
  • M*: Fund Upgrades & Downgrades For January
    Anyone concerned about PRHYX? I’d like to think the team can handle the retirement.
  • HOBEX
    Yes, I remember when Kinder Morgan MLP shareholders received significant income in taxable and non-taxable accounts when the MLPs were converted into Kinder Morgan stock.
    Here is a reminder of that incident:
    https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-advisors/010516/mlp-investors-hit-surprise-tax-bill-ira-income.asp
    Here is a link for Cramer on the same issue:
    https://www.thestreet.com/story/11544379/1/cramer-on-retirement-can-master-limited-partnerships-hurt-your-ira.html