Tom Madell Mutual Fund/ETF Research Newsletter: Stocks Are Looking Wobbly I always enjoy reading Dr. Madell's perspectives.
Because of possible downdrafts in the stock market Old_Skeet, now retired, carries more cash than perhaps most. There are several reason for this. They are 1) it provides me an additional safety net should I need additional cash for unexpected expenses where I don't have to sell securities in a down market and 2) it provides me the ability to do some equity buying during down markets.
I'm now running what I call my all weather asset allocation (20% cash, 40% income and 40% equity) because it affords me everything necessary to meet my needs now being in the distribution phase of investing. The benefit of this asset allocation is that it provides me sufficient income, maximizes my diversification, minimizes portfolio volatility, and provides for long-term returns.
The 20% held in cash area provides me ample cash should I need a cash draw over and above what my portfolio generates plus it can provide the capital necessary to fund a special investment position (spiff) should I choose to open one during a stock market pullback. In addition, cash helps stabilize a portfolio during stock market volatility.
The 40% held in the income area provides me ample income generation to meet my income needs in retirement. It is a well diversified area that incorporates a good number of income generating type mutual funds.
The 40% held in the equity area provides me some dividend income along with some growth that equities generally provide which helps offset the effects of inflation.
Generally, for my income distributions, I take no more than a sum equal to what one half of my five year average total return has been. In this way principal grows over time.
Over the past five years, or so, the following years were up years for me. They were 2014, 2016, 2017, and thus far 2019 while 2015 and 2018 have been down years. With this, I now govern and invest with more caution than I did years back when I was in the accumulation phase of investing and had a higher allocation to equities.
So, for me, Dr. Madell's comments in this months newsletter offers up some good old sage thinking and wisdom. Hopefully, it will for you as well.
I wish all ... "Good Investing."
Old_Skeet
Ways to Lower Your Retirement Income Risk Thanks John. Not much I haven't heard here but some really good suggestions bulletized in one place. One they didn't mention and I intend to use next year is working part time in retirement, both for the extra income and the social aspect that I enjoy.
BUY - SELL - HOLD October It is crazy. Consumer staples with growth rates of 3% have PE of 20 ??? Real Estate up 25 to 30% Treasuries up 30%
Nothing is cheap but if you stay in cash you look silly at under 2% now. Until you don't.
At 67 I am only 20% in equities. Early in retirement is not the time to swallow a 30% portfolio hit, but I have been waiting for a couple of years now.
The contrarian play is higher inflation.
You’re In Your 60s And Haven’t Saved Enough. Here’s What To Do
Ways to Lower Your Retirement Income Risk https://money.usnews.com/investing/portfolio-management/slideshows/ways-to-lower-your-retirement-income-risk7 Ways to Lower Your
Retirement Income Risk
Learn how to generate enough income in
retirement without exposing your assets to volatility.
Annuities combat sequence of return risk.
Lower your investment risk with dividends.
Protect income with a variable withdrawal rate.
Cut
retirement income risk with the bucket strategy.
Maximize Social Security benefits to increase
retirement income.
Include real estate for best
retirement investments.
Sell option contracts on existing stocks for
retirement income.
M*: How To Create A Retirement Policy Statement FYI: If you start reasonably early, set aside adequate savings, and invest in a semi-sane manner, it's hard to go terribly off track with investments in the years leading up to
retirement. But decumulation--the process of figuring out how to position your portfolio to deliver desired cash flows in
retirement--is another ballgame.
In
retirement, a separate set of variables comes into play. Issues like asset allocation and the quality of the investments you choose are still important (which is why you still need an investment policy statement) but so are factors such as how--and how much--you'll spend from your portfolio on an ongoing basis.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.morningstar.com/articles/808697/how-to-create-a-retirement-policy-statement
Your Cash Is Earning Even Less At One Online Broker After The Fed’s Rate Cut I don't pay attention to MM or CD and all my cash sub is usually in HY munis. In 2018-9 I have used OPTAX and ORNAX. Sure, I know the risk and volatility and still invest in HY Munis. I invested usually at 99+% in stocks+bond OEFs and none are cash,MM,CD investments. I just keep several thousand which is about 2 months of our expense in the last 30 years while I was working and now at retirement. If we need more I just sell shares.
Investing 101 - What’s the best way to generate cash from your investments in retirement?
Wall Street Is Wrong: You CAN Retire On $405K. Here's How Consider retiring overseas. I spent much of my youth in Thailand and hope to retire there someday. $US 405k will allow someone to live a very good retirement in a lower cost country like Thailand.