A.J. Cohen has had quite a career. Years ago, I noted any public statement she might make. Later, it always seemed she was..... WRONG.

William Priest recommends LSXMA, holder of SirusXM. SiriusXM derives 80% of its revenue from subscriptions by “relatively affluent drivers.”
Just wondering. Yes, 80% of new cars come with Sirius. However, ISTM it will take a backseat to direct internet connectivity / streaming in coming years, allowing a broader and cheaper range of offerings. I could be wrong. But I’d liken buying Sirius to investing in a beautiful Kodak camera or suburb 8-track tape player.
Another of his recommendations, DE, is more interesting. I was surprised to check and find it down a bit this year after a hot start. Likely related to the downturn in housing. In addition to agricultural products, DE Makes a lot of construction machinery.
More …
WOW - ELLENBOGEN sees a reassion coming sooner than most expect. Pretty downbeat on the economy. ABBY COHEN just the opposite. No recession in sight! Do academics tend to view the economy more through rose colored glasses? But BHANSALI takes the prize for bearishness, forecasting a “lost decade” of multiple years of equity declines.

Maybe it will be worth checking out the Seafarer website for the posted info. I owned the original Seafarer fund, years ago. I was disappointed by it after some years, and moved out of it.

I also owned SIGIX several years ago.
This fund is performing well (on a relative basis) this year compared to other EM funds.
Andrew Foster is a gifted communicator and his commentaries on the Seafarer website
are worth reading. During the past few years I have not owned any dedicated EM funds
and have delegated EM security selection to my foreign fund managers.

Ty crash for the recommended stock NRDBY
How long have you hold it and are you happy w it?...thinking add it for long term.
We been buying more XLF BAC
looking at Citigroup now, had it but sold it few years ago [W.Buffet add so much Citigroup last wk??]
Happy Sunday

Maybe it will be worth checking out the Seafarer website for the posted info. I owned the original Seafarer fund, years ago. I was disappointed by it after some years, and moved out of it.

I recall his appearance on Wall Street Week with Lewis Rukeyser after he'd just won Morningstar's Manager of the Year award, many years ago. I had a monstrously bad experience over the phone with another of the fund managers and pulled my money. Asia's not been a great place to invest in several years, anyhow.

Barron's Midyear Roundtable has several fund ideas. LINK
COVER STORY, “What to Buy Right Now: 42 Picks from Barron’s (Midyear) ROUNDTABLE Pros”. A report card of prior hits/misses is also included.
Tod AHLSTEN/Parnassus CIO & PRBLX: VRSK, MMC, ICE, AMAT. Opportunities in the downturn.
William PRIEST/Epoch Inv Partners: TMUS, DTEGY, TSM, LSXMA, DE
Rupal BHANSALI/Ariel CIO: DIISY, BAP, BBSEY, BIDU, ELEZY, SNMRY, PM. Likes Lat Am & Europe over US; prefers dividend payors.
Henry ELLENBOGEN/Durable Capital: INTU, TEAM, DUOL. Likes quality-growth.
Abby Joseph COHEN/Columbia U: LG Chem, FANUY, BKNG, JWN. No recession in 2022 or 2023.
Scott BLACK/Delphi: CACI, CB. Shallow recession is already here (notable early projection). Avoid story stocks with low/no earnings. His SP500 earnings est $219 only.
Sonal DESAI/Franklin Templeton FI CIO: CPREX, FHYVX, GLFOX, EAPCX, FRIAX; ETF SRLN. No recession in 2022/H1 or 2023/H1, may be in 2023/H2.
Mario GABELLI/Gamco: CNHI, AJRD, HRI, BATRA, PARA, SBGI, DRQ, HAL. Mild recession. Despite volatility now, 2023/H1 looks promising for US, Europe, China.
Meryl WITMER/Eagle Capital: SLVM, DFIN, EEFT
David GIROUX/Price CIO & PRWCX: FTV, NXPI, GE, TEL. Mild recession. Overweight – IT, industrials; underweight – consumer-staples, utilities; leveraged-loans still OK.
Part 2 will mention some Japanese funds (feature by @LewisBraham). Edit/Add LINK2
FUNDS. After years of deflation, JAPAN is seeing some inflation due to high oil prices and supply-chain disruptions. The BOJ is continuing its easy monetary policy until the inflation target of +2% is met, and yen has collapsed. Japanese funds are attractive: GMAHX, HJPNX, MJFOX, PRJPX; ETFs EWJ, EWJV, DFJ.

@hank : I'll restate my comment. Is it time to leave the market & invest elsewhere. Is it possible Mr. Market will take more than a break & & wallow for a number of years in a quagmire ? Until the easy money flows no more & the Fed pulls it head out of it's a.., I see no relief in sight.
Hope I'm wrong, Derf

:) :) - Would some other folks please address? I seem to have lost my crystal ball. From a linguistic standpoint @Derf’s insertion of “is it possible?” would seem to require an affirmative response.
Was it Patrick Henry who demurred “I know of no way to judge the future but by the past”? That’s true of many things in life. There’s a rich history of equity, bond, real estate activity dating back at least to 1929. I still remember exactly where I was and what I was doing in 1987 when the Dow fell about 25% one afternoon.
I’ll share a couple biases here: I don’t pay a lot of attention to forecasts in making investment decisions. Even if a particular forecast (inflation, interest rates, GDP, recession, etc.) proves correct, it’s likely those much brighter, more sophisticated and better informed than we have already preemptively acted on that forecast (driving asset prices) before we can. Another bias: An object in motion tends to stay in motion. Very true of different assets today. Folks continue to pile into winning positions. SARK has likely attracted far more assets in recent months than ARKK. This pushes assets to extremes. True of many other assets. Of course, eventually a rolling ball strikes a wall. It it’s a snowball it has picked up mass and momentum along the way. You get the idea …
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@Derf is one of our most respected and informed posters. He raises interesting questions. To me they relate to the central question of why we invest. Mostly I view my own modest assets as long term contingency reserves that may or may not be needed before I depart for the lovely Andromeda Galaxy. Withdrawals to supplement SS and pension are small compared to the nest egg. Your needs / reasons for investing might be completely different.

@hank : I'll restate my comment. Is it time to leave the market & invest elsewhere. Is it possible Mr. Market will take more than a break & & wallow for a number of years in a quagmire ? Until the easy money flows no more & the Fed pulls it head out of it's a.., I see no relief in sight.
Hope I'm wrong, Derf

Bloomberg has two columnists with close to opposing views. I am pretty sure you need to subscribe to read these but
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-14/how-many-months-until-the-fed-brings-inflation-nearing-double-digits-to-a-peak
Takes the view that inflation will continue until there is a sever recession, implying significant more ( 20%) downside
He points to "sticky" inflation ie large ticket items that are harder to reprice quickly like gas and food, is starting rise quickly, and rents are usually reset on yearly leases
Still the expected fed funds hikes have not increased much since February and still predict cuts in 2023. The market clearly thinks "peak" inflation is in sight but the question is how far ahead and does it destroy economic growth in the process and lower earnings take the market down much further
The opposing view
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-13/inflation-alarm-bells-are-actually-getting-softer
"Bond investors showed that they expect inflation to cool by betting that the gap will narrow between the yield of inflation-protected US securities and ordinary Treasury bonds. The rates on these bets actually plummeted on that day, with the two-year breakeven measure falling to 3.29% from 3.45% and the 10-year rate declining to 2.34%, the lowest point since 2021, according to data compiled by Bloomberg."
And Consumer surveys show most expect even gas prices to be much lower in the years to come. Most are in fairly good shape economically as long as prices come down

A thought to hash over. If & when the holders & nibblers get back to even will you cash out & go to something with less risk ? I've started to buy a few CD's, buy just maybe it's time to do some more nibbling. ???

@Derf - I do not think in terms of “getting back to even.” Why would you pick an arbitrary starting point (ie 3 months back, 1 year back) and than feel somehow beholden to it? Investing is a long term process (if not life long). I suspect you and many others here have been very successful investing over many years.
To the question of adding risk incrementally during less expensive markets and than taking it off the table when the plate overfills, that’s pretty much been standard operating procedure with me for decades. If you try to remember that you are buying companies that you believe have good long term prospects based on current valuations as well as a modicum of hard assets that might protect you during a prolonged price spiral, than you don’t worry much about “loosing” money over 1 or 2 years.
I think a lot of traditional investment maxims have been thrown out the window by a great many investors over recent years … some of them coming home to bite now.
- Don't invest in stocks if you’re going to need the money in less than 5-10 years,
- Diversify broadly across asset classes and geopolitical regions,
- Stay away from highly levered products or ones that you don’t fully understand,
- Keep a healthy cash reserve so you don’t need to sell more volatile assets during times of stress,

There have been days when I thought people were throwing the baby out with the bathwater (i.e., capitulating), at least with respect to certain corners of the market, but I've been wrong thus far. After years during which my personal rate of inflation far outran the official numbers I'm now finding that those numbers are exceeding my cost of living increases (I'm paying more for gas and food but not rent, a mortgage refinance, a new or used car, etc.). Pretty soon it looks like returns on my cash could be catching up with what my mortgage is costing me in interest (2.75%). I've been dribbling money in, to absolutely no positive effect thus far. So, bringing this all back to the OP, I'm in the "bearish" sentiment category also.

I didn’t want to start a separate thread, so hope no one minds by adding some possibly related thoughts … (2)
- Maybe I’m naive, but I’m sensing some kind of capitulation in the broader equity markets just staring at the numbers, including a 600 point early morning downdraft in the DJI today. Personally, I’ve been adding bits and pieces across the board to various types of equity holdings, including a recent stake in ARKK. Albeit, I may be completely wrong. Furthermore, even should the markets stop or slow their rapid decent, there’s no assurance they won’t later fall much further.
- I spoke to an acquaintance yesterday who has been retired 10 years with no pension. Surviving on Social Security. Little in savings. Owns a home. Not a very prudent course financially of course! However, did very well managing $$ during the past decade of inflation (0-3% as measured by the CPI). Individual is utterly “lost” in this new era of 8-9% inflation. Have to feel for folks like that. Perhaps this anecdote relates to the “Sentiment Index” in some small way.

That is so true! Last year was bad for large cap growth funds with large capital gain distribution. In some case even they have a negative return year. Index funds would be a better option for taxable account. I have done that several years ago.

Only fund from TRP we have owned for about 20 years is TRAIX. I've paid very little attention to it now.

TROW $110.77 this morning.
My guess is TROW will be a lot higher in a few years - if you have a long term horizon. Asset managers tend to wax and wane with the overall equity market since their earnings are based largely on fees assessed on those invested assets. In a bear market, like now, those assets have declined in worth - reducing fees earned. As some investors flee, it worsens the effect. A double-whammy this time around is that fixed income assets under management (ie bonds) have declined in sync with equities. On reflection, I don’t think these (asset managers) are a good hedge inside an equity heavy portfolio (for obvious reason).
I’ve been trying to think through the possible effect the bonanza double digit yield on one-year inflation adjusted treasury bonds has had. Certainly, $10,000 isn’t enough to rock the risk markets. But magnify that sum by X number of investors and it has to have had an effect. I’m wondering too how that has possibly impacted the short term muni market?
I often check the YTD Numbers on BB and they’re beginning to look stark. Last evening:
DOW -14%
S&P - 19%
NAS - 27%
Suspect we haven’t enjoyed this much drama in the markets since ‘08.

Wonder if it’s recent 40% drop in share price was a result of institutional selling verses “dumb money” investor’s selling.

I doubt that. But let’s look at this a different way. I wonder if more individual investors have fled the markets or stopped contributing to their workplace plan? And whether TRP with its stellar history of serving those smaller investors has felt the impact more than some institutions that cater to higher net worth investors?

@Derf: it used to be possible to average one’s income over 4-5 years, thereby reducing the pain from a big spike. The IRS did away with that provision, but I don’t know when.

Any chance to spread the real estate CG. payment, over two or more years to ease the pain ?

Thanks @sma3
What we've done over the years is to not withhold much tax from the monthly pension payments, knowing we will underpay for the year; but when pulling the RMD's for the IRA's in December, we withhold extra tax for these distributions. This maintains our tax obligation amount for the year; and we have a bit of extra money monthly from the pensions. Fidelity makes it easy to set how much Fed. and state tax to pull for the RMD distributions.
Thanks @msf
I'll look at your links, as I already have a few saved from the IRS site for further study. I'm going to peek inside last years tax program, too; for any guidance there. As this capital gains event will take place during the 3rd quarter, we don't have flex via earlier calendar periods to pay estimated taxes then. As we are retired, we don't have a method to withhold more taxes from employment income, for an offset.

I am fairly certain if you pay 100% of your 2021 total on time, there will be no penalty regardless of your 2022 income.
If you take RMDs, you can pay all of your estimates taxes at the end of the year and have it count for entire year without penalty. Ask your brokerage to send the amount you determine is due to the IRS as a tax payment. Just make sure you file for the withdrawal with enough time for them to process it before 12/31/2022
This also reduces the value of your IRA, making next years RMD lower.