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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Cyber ‘Catastrophe Bonds’ Move Step Closer to Hitting Public Debt Markets

    Can't wait to figure out which tail is wagging which dog here and what the systemic risks might look like.....
    CDOs for cyber, anyone?
    Cyber ‘Catastrophe Bonds’ Move Step Closer to Hitting Public Debt Markets

    By Gautam Naik
    November 12, 2023 at 8:30 AM ESTCyber catastrophe bonds may be about to move out of the shadows of private deal-making and into the public debt markets.
    So-called cat bonds, which farm out hard-to-insure risks to capital market investors in exchange for double-digit returns, have typically been built around natural disasters such as hurricanes. But as the potential fallout of business-halting cyberattacks becomes too big to insure, issuers are seizing the moment. Beazley Plc, which owns specialist insurers across Europe and the US, is exploring a potential $100 million cyber cat bond, according to Artemis, a research firm specializing in insurance-linked securities. And Axis Capital is preparing to issue a $75 million cyber catastrophe bond, according to a preliminary offer document seen by Bloomberg. Spokespeople for Axis Capital and Beazley declined to comment on the deals. The wider market for cat bonds is likely to reach a record $40 billion this year. A lot of that growth has been fueled by the impact of climate change, as extreme weather shocks threaten to make insurers’ business models untenable. For that reason, some of the most active players in the cat bond market are reinsurers such as Swiss Re AG and Munich Re AG. Investors have been drawn to returns that trounce those of US Treasuries. This year, the Swiss Re Global Cat Bond Performance Index is up 18%, while the Bloomberg US Treasury Index has dropped about 1%. Issuers of cyber cat bonds want to protect themselves from financial losses that can follow a major cyberattack, including lost revenue, legal fees and regulatory fines. Read More: ICBC Hit by Cyberattack, Tells Clients to Reroute Trades
    Insurance-linked securities “offer corporate boards and business owners a degree of comfort over their balance sheet resilience in the event of a larger cyber event,” according to a recent report co-authored by Kathleen Faries, chief executive officer of Artex Capital Solutions.
    But with limited historical data to analyze, as well as increasingly sophisticated forms of cyber crime, investors face unusually high levels of risk....
    < - snip - >
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-12/cyber-catastrophe-bonds-move-step-closer-to-hitting-public-debt-markets?srnd=premium
  • Pro Publica report on Warren Buffett's personal account
    Pro Publica is a gem of an organization. I see they've spruced up their website lately. They have a Nonprofit Explorer database with financial info from essentially every nonprofit that's filed an IRS info return (a 990, not the "postcard" return for very small organizations), a handy thing to check out if you're considering giving to a nonprofit that's new to you.
  • Wall Street up to its old games to shift risk
    holy cow. Along with Bear Stearns. Lehman. Merrill. Julius Baer? and the beat goes on.
    Actor James Cromwell portrays Hank Paulson in this one. Anyone but me seen it? I wonder how true to life it is, the portrait of Paulson, offered in that movie? He and uncle GWB presided over the bubble and crash, eh?
    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1495980/?ref_=nm_flmg_t_44_act
    I saw it but dont' really remember it. Might need to re-acquire it for my financial movies collection.
    'Too Big To Fail' was another post-GFC flick that had a pretty good cast, too. And then for something on the semi-satirical side, there's always 'The Big Short.'
  • Wall Street up to its old games to shift risk
    ”Here is a list of banks in the United States that were affected by the 2007-2008 financial crisis. The list includes banks (including commercial banks, investment banks, and savings and loan associations) that have been taken over or merged with another financial institution, been declared insolvent or liquidated, or filed for bankruptcy 12.” (Chat GPT)

    Bank Name / Followed by Acquirer (if applicable)
    First National Bank of Nevada Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    IndyMac Bank FDIC
    First Priority Bank SunTrust Bank
    ANB Financial, NA Pulaski Bank and Trust Company
    Hume Bank Security Bank
    Douglass National Bank Pulaski Bank and Trust Company
    Miami Valley Bank The Citizens Banking Company
    First Integrity Bank Regions Bank
    Columbian Bank and Trust FDIC
    Silver State Bank Nevada State Bank
    Integrity Bank Regions Bank
    The Columbian Bank and Trust FDIC
    First Georgia Community Bank United Bank
    PFF Bank and Trust US Bank
    Downey Savings and Loan US Bank
    The Community Bank Bank of Essex
    Security Pacific Bank Pacific Premier Bank
    Franklin Bank Prosperity Bank
    Freedom Bank Fifth Third Bank
    Alpha Bank & Trust Stearns Bank
    Meridian Bank Central Bank
    Main Street Bank Bank of Advance
    Alliance Bank Royal Bank of Canada
    County Bank The Bank of Fayette County
    FirstBank Financial Services Regions Bank
    First Georgia Community Bank United Bank
    National Bank of Commerce Sunflower Bank
    Bank of Clark County Umpqua Bank
    Sanderson State Bank First State Bank
    Haven Trust Bank Branch Banking and Trust Company
    Corn Belt Bank and Trust Company The Farmers Bank of Liberty
    Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast TIB Bank
    American Southern Bank Premier American Bank
    First National Bank of Arizona Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First National Bank of Nevada Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Priority Bank SunTrust Bank
    FirstCity Bank Alma Bank
    Colorado National Bank Bank Midwest
    First State Bank of Altus Herring Bank
    First National Bank of Danville First Financial Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First National Bank of Anthony Bank of Kansas
    First State Bank Mutual of Omaha Bank
    Freedom Bank Fifth Third Bank
    Alpha Bank & Trust Stearns Bank
    Meridian Bank Central Bank
    Main Street Bank Bank of Advance
    Alliance Bank Royal Bank of Canada
    County Bank The Bank of Fayette County
    FirstBank Financial Services Regions Bank
    First Georgia Community Bank United Bank
    National Bank of Commerce Sunflower Bank
    Bank of Clark County Umpqua Bank
    Sanderson State Bank First State Bank
    Haven Trust Bank Branch Banking and Trust Company
    Corn Belt Bank and Trust Company The Farmers Bank of Liberty
    Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast TIB Bank
    American Southern Bank Premier American Bank
    First National Bank of Arizona Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First National Bank of Nevada Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Priority Bank SunTrust Bank
    FirstCity Bank Alma Bank
    Colorado National Bank Bank Midwest
    First State Bank of Altus Herring Bank
    First National Bank of Danville First Financial Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First National Bank of Anthony Bank of Kansas
    First State Bank Mutual of Omaha Bank
    Freedom Bank Fifth Third Bank
    Alpha Bank & Trust Stearns Bank
    Meridian Bank Central Bank
    Main Street Bank Bank of Advance
    Alliance Bank Royal Bank of Canada
    County Bank The Bank of Fayette County
    FirstBank Financial Services Regions Bank
    First Georgia Community Bank United Bank
    National Bank of Commerce Sunflower Bank
    Bank of Clark County Umpqua Bank
    Sanderson State Bank First State Bank
    Haven Trust Bank Branch Banking and Trust Company
    Corn Belt Bank and Trust Company The Farmers Bank of Liberty
    Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast TIB Bank
    American Southern Bank Premier American Bank
    First National Bank of Arizona Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Heritage Bank, NA Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First National Bank of Nevada Mutual of Omaha Bank
    First Priority Bank SunTrust Bank
    FirstCity Bank Alma Bank Colorado
    I asked Bing’s Chat GPT to assist me in a difficult situation. The above is the list he / she / it compiled in a minute’s time, along with the opening narrative it provided. (I pray it is accurate.)
  • Wall Street up to its old games to shift risk
    Gee, this sounds strangely - and disturbingly- familiar.....as the coda to 'The Big Short' notes, even as the dust was settling from the GFC, banks already were exploring the sale of CDOs under different names like "bespoke debt tranche instruments." History may not repeat, but it sure does rhyme, which also suggests the WSJ is being somewhat disingenuous in calling this a 'new' thing.
    Big Banks Cook Up New Way to Unload Risk
    Banks are selling risk to hedge funds, private-equity firms through so-called synthetic risk transfers
    U.S. banks have found a new way to unload risk as they scramble to adapt to tighter regulations and rising interest rates.
    U.S. Bank and others are selling complex debt instruments to private-fund managers as a way to reduce regulatory capital charges on the loans they make, people familiar with the transactions said.
    These so-called synthetic risk transfers are expensive for banks but less costly than taking the full capital charges on the underlying assets. They are lucrative for the investors, who can typically get returns of around 15% or more, according to the people familiar with the transactions.
    < - >
    The deals function somewhat like an insurance policy, with the banks paying interest instead of premiums. By lowering potential loss exposure, the transfers reduce the amount of capital banks are required to hold against their loans
    < - >
    Banks started using synthetic risk transfers about 20 years ago, but they were rarely used in the U.S. after the 2008-09 financial crisis. Complex credit transactions became harder to get past U.S. bank regulators, in part because similar instruments called credit-default swaps amplified contagion when Lehman Brothers failed.
    Regulators in Europe and Canada set clear guidelines for the use of synthetic risk transfers after the crisis. They also set higher capital charges in rules known as Basel III, prompting European and Canadian banks to start using synthetic risk transfers regularly.
    U.S. regulations have been more conservative. Around 2020, the Federal Reserve declined requests for capital relief from U.S. banks that wanted to use a type of synthetic risk transfer commonly used in Europe. The Fed determined they didn’t meet the letter of its rules.
    < - >
    https://www.wsj.com/finance/banking/bank-synthetic-risk-transfers-basel-endgame-62410f6c
  • The BOND KING says
    Wish I had a dollar for every prediction out there. Mostly just folks gassing. But I suspect in a few rare cases intended to influence markets for their own benefit. ISTM money is made in markets when they move in ways the masses are not expecting.
    @Yogibearbull - Byron Wien was a class act. I began taking an active interest in my retirement assets in the mid 90s. Wien was in his prime at that time - often cited / quoted in financial publications. Well balanced perspective. Those “predictions” ISTM were more of a fun “gig” and not his normal approach to investing. Highly personable in interviews. A humble fella,
  • Mint.com shutting down. Alternatives?
    Some have posted in the past that Fidelity's eMoney provides some budgeting and cash flow capabilities. I haven't used any of these so I can't comment on how extensive they are.
    https://www.fidelity.com/go/monitoring-your-financial-portfolio
  • Mint.com shutting down. Alternatives?
    Intuit (owner of Mint) is pushing people to its other property, Credit Karma.
    Credit Karma is thrilled to invite all Minters to continue their financial journey on Credit Karma, where they will have access to Credit Karma’s suite of features, products, tools and services, including some of Mint’s most popular features. We know the most active Minters use Mint to monitor their cash flow and track their spending, and not only does Credit Karma offer these capabilities, but we’re able to take things even further for our members.
    https://mint.intuit.com/blog/mint-app-news/intuit-credit-karma-welcomes-minters/
    How much of that is accurate or how well it meets your needs, I have no idea. Though Intuit's closing sentence does seem to acknowledge that this is a work in progress:
    Credit Karma is on its way to becoming a full-service financial platform ...
  • High yield long term CDs
    @stillers : "
    I've netted anywhere from a % or 2 to upwards of 4%-5% extra proceeds over the years. For example, one BUY I still have the detail on shows I paid $47,739 (priced at 92.931) for a $50,000 CD for an effective Discount of 4.52%. Yeah, after all of the funds slushed through over the CD's life, that was worth my time and effort! "
    First question , how long did you have to hold this CD in order to collect the $50K ?
    Holding period would have some bearing on how good of a deal it was.
    Wouldn't the brokerage take advantage on this instead of passing it down to it's customers ?
    Thanks for your time, much appreciated.
    My opinion of brokerage education about CD investing is not that good. When I have engaged in communication with brokerage experts on CDs, they fail to do a good job comparing the differences between brokerage CDs and bank CDs, fail to do a good job of explaining ongoing value fluctuations of brokerage CDs that are reflected at the end of each trading day, fail to explain termination fee information for brokerage CDs, fail to address liquidity concerns for brokerage CDs in taxable accounts vs tax deferred accounts, fail to discuss ways of measuring the financial health of banks offering CDs on the brokerage platform, fail to discuss callable vs. non-callable CDs, etc. etc.
    These threads about CDs, started by posters with limited knowledge about brokerage CDs, can be very complicated, especially when the OP provides minimal information about the details of their personal financial situation and investing objectives.
  • When the Market is Rising
    @Level5 said,
    “When the market is rising I think …”
    (I’ve restructured the OP into multiple choices and added choice E.)
    (A) Boy, was I smart to add to equities last week…
    (B) Boy, was I smart to sit tight…
    (C) Maybe I do know what I’m doing…
    (D) What new fund can I invest in that’ll bring me greater returns than the indexes…?
    (E) Maybe I should sell everything and run to cash …
    I’ll pick answer C
    Not to be critical, but “the market” is a phrase often used on CNBC, Bloomberg and other financial wastelands. In truth, there are dozens of different markets (speaking of equities alone). Some may be rising, Others falling … Some running in circles … So the phrase “the market” grossly oversimplifies investing and may lead many to act against their best interests. Whatever may be said in condemnation of small investors dallying into the world of individual stocks, the experience may help drive home / reaffirm the truth that it’s a “market of stocks” and not a “stock market”.
  • FOMC Statement, 11/1/23
    Guessing - YBB notes are from Powell presser?
    Did Powell also say that current monetary policy and financial conditions are restrictive but may or may not be sufficiently restrictive to achieve the dual mandate but overall appear to be in balance. I also thought some reporters tried to bait him to say more rate hikes are coming but he would not bite. I was not well during the presser and was dosing off and delirious most of the time. So, it is possible I dreamt the above but took it to mean rate hiking has reached its peak, with the Fed reserving the right to hike more - sort of a dovish pause.. overall, Powell appeared more relaxed (dovish) than at anytime since starting to hike rates.
  • DGI sloppy website
    This filing shows a new address for DGIFX:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/915802/000139834423019814/fp0085783-1_497.htm
    FINANCIAL INVESTORS TRUST
    Disciplined Growth Investors Fund
    (the “Fund”)
    SUPPLEMENT DATED OCTOBER 27, 2023 TO THE PROSPECTUS
    DATED AUGUST 31, 2023
    Effective immediately the following change is made to the cover of the Prospectus:
    The Disciplined Growth Investors Fund,
    PO Box 219554
    Kansas City, MO 64121-9554
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
  • Does the market know something we don’t?
    @Derf- Why should a perfectly reasonable conversation between MFO members be removed from the financial section because of the destructive conduct of two people who obviously have no regard for MFO or it's members?
    If there are continued egregious violations of conduct here, from either side of the political spectrum, the people responsible should be not allowed to post except in the OT section.
  • Does the market know something we don’t?
    How typical. How very predictable.
    Step One: @rsorden and @Baseball_Fan feel free to destroy a completely non-partisan financial conversation by injecting scurrilous and vile political comments. This is OK for them though, because this is America and they are free to say whatever they want, no matter how inappropriate to the circumstances.
    Step Two: Other MFO members respond to the provocation, and @rsorden and @Baseball_Fan then loudly complain the MFO is a nest of left-wing commies whose agenda is nothing less than to destroy America.
    What a couple of complete assholes.
  • 2023 capital gains distribution estimates
    New to the website and not sure how to "alphabetize" funds but here is the TRP preliminary estimate:
    https://www.troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/us/en/investments/tax-center.html
  • T Rowe Price Equity Index 500 Portfolio to be liquidated
    This looks like Price Equity Index 500 PORTFOLIO that is offered via insurance products. AUM is $26.8 million only and ER is 39 bps.
    https://markets.ft.com/data/funds/tearsheet/summary?s=0P00003DWI
    https://www.troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/us/en/investments/mutual-funds/us-products/equity-index-500-portfolio.html
    Unless I am mistaken, NOT affected are regular Price Equity Index FUNDs (AUM $25.3 billion) in classes PREIX (20 bps), PRUIX (5 bps), TRHZX (5 bps). Now, if Price liquidated those, that would be market moving news.
    @yogibearbull - thanks! I clearly read too fast.
    FWIW, the "ticker" that FT gives (0P00003DWI) can be used to coax a little info about the fund out of M*. If you use it as the ticker in a portfolio, you can "analyze" the portfolio. However, there is no direct fund info on insurance (annuity) products at M*. At least none I can find.
  • T Rowe Price Equity Index 500 Portfolio to be liquidated
    This looks like Price Equity Index 500 PORTFOLIO that is offered via insurance products. AUM is $26.8 million only and ER is 39 bps.
    https://markets.ft.com/data/funds/tearsheet/summary?s=0P00003DWI
    https://www.troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/us/en/investments/mutual-funds/us-products/equity-index-500-portfolio.html
    Unless I am mistaken, NOT affected are regular Price Equity Index FUNDs (AUM $25.3 billion) in classes PREIX (20 bps), PRUIX (5 bps), TRHZX (5 bps). Now, if Price liquidated those, that would be market moving news.
    There are many low-cost SP500 ETFs now, SPLG (2 bps; newer), IVV (3 bps), VOO (3 bps), another from S&P SPY (9 bps; older).
  • CD versus Money Market Rates
    Last check at Vanguard , longer Cd's Callable. Not my cup of tea !
    Not sure why Vanguard is so different than Schwab. I randomly clicked on multiple CDs in all maturity ranges, at Schwab, and they were all non-callable. These are very well known banks offering these CDs (Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Bank of American, UBS, Discover, etc. etc.). There also a large number of regional and state banks, with high financial ratings, offering the same. From what I have read from other posters, Fidelity offers very similar non-callable CDs that Schwab is offering.
  • DGI sloppy website
    @BaluBalu: good question/several answers. In my case, I'm a do-it-yourself kind of person. I don't try to do my own plumbing repairs. I'm gonna get it wrong. But once I make an investment decision, if I encounter a problem I'd rather try to fix it than flee. In dealing with DGI I am not dealing with a faceless mega monster but with real humans. I think they want to get it right. Another answer: DGI invests well. Its return on investment is good. Another answer: transferring or liquidating shares in a mutual fund is a bit of a hassle when not investing through a brokerage. I'd rather try the repair route. One more answer: DGI is unique. There's nothing quite like it that I know of. So in that sense it is irreplaceable. Vital to my financial security? Nah. Indispensable? I don't think so. Pretty durn interesting? Certainly.