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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Roth IRA- Preferred buying and holdings-Owners in their 80's
    I'm not sure what you're asking or stating. Do you want to know if there are better options than preferred stock funds to hold in a Roth IRA? Are you primarily investing for income? Help.
    I can tell you that although I'm only 71 I do hold preferred stocks (CHSCO & CHSCL) along with a preferred CEF fund (FPF) in my Roth account.
  • Parnassus Endeavor Fund management changes
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/747546/000089706920000438/cmw237.htm
    497 1 cmw237.htm
    Filed Pursuant to Rule 497(e) and Rule 497(k)
    1933 Act File No. 002-93131
    1940 Act File No. 811-04044
    Parnassus Endeavor Fund
    Investor Class PARWX | Institutional Class PFPWX
    November 10, 2020
    Supplement to the Statutory Prospectus dated May 1, 2020,
    As Amended and Restated Effective as of August 5, 2020
    and
    Supplement to the Summary Prospectus dated May 1, 2020
    Portfolio Manager Change
    Effective as of January 1, 2021, Billy J. Hwan will become the sole portfolio manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund. Mr. Hwan has served as a Portfolio Manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund since May 1, 2018, and has served as a Portfolio Manager and a Senior Research Analyst at Parnassus Investments (the investment advisor to the Fund) since 2012. Effective as of December 31, 2020, Jerome Dodson will no longer serve as a portfolio manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund. Mr. Dodson will continue as the Chairman of Parnassus Investments.
    ******
    Please Read Carefully and Keep for Future Reference
  • HECM Reverse Mortgage Thread
    I am 61 years old and I am gathering information regarding reverse mortgages. Reverse mortgages become available to individuals after age 62. I plan on considering a reverse mortgage not for income (think annuity), but instead as a source for a growing line of credit (think HELOC). In a low interest rate environment, establishing reverse mortgage early (age 62), paying closing costs (much like a conventional mortgage), then maintaining a low balance (zero balance is better) creates a very interesting growth of line of credit for retirees who want to stay in their home.
    This is an excerpt from Wade Pfau's book, Reverse Mortgages: How to Use Reverse Mortgages to Secure Your Retirement
    Forbes Review of his book:
    reverse-mortgage-calculator
    HUD offers information on the topic:
    https://hud.gov/program_offices/housing/sfh/hecm/hecmhome
    https://hud.gov/program_offices/housing/sfh/hecm
    This Calculator help you understand how much can be borrowed (think of this as a line of credit):
    https://reversemortgagevalue.com/calculator/
    Why not just take out a HELOC?
    Benefits of a HELOC:
    Lower interest rates in most cases
    Lower upfront costs
    May be more suitable for short term-needs
    Benefits of a HECM:
    Loan does not become due as long as all the loan obligations are met*
    Line of credit cannot be frozen due to changing market values*
    No monthly mortgage payments*
    Source:
    compare-hecm-to-heloc
    Another one of the reverse mortgage advantages over the HELOC is the reliability that the HECM line of credit will stay open and available when needed. HELOCs are notorious for suddenly being decreased or being closed altogether, especially if the borrower has not been actively drawing from the loan. This is difficult because many borrowers prefer to have a line of credit available and open to withdraw from only if the time comes when a need arises. To be forced to stay actively borrowing on the credit line in order to keep an open status or finding out the line of credit has been decreased or closed suddenly would be frustratingly inconvenient for anyone.
    The HECM LOC also has an advantage of significant line of credit growth potential. Taking out a HECM early in retirement and keeping the credit line open for use in the future proves to be a popular strategic plan. The unused line of credit grows at current expected interest rates; therefore, taking a HECM at 62 gives your line of credit time to grow as opposed to waiting until 82, especially if the expected reverse mortgage interest rates increase over time.
    differences-reverse-mortgage-hecm-line-credit-home-equity-line-credit-heloc
    An 8 Point Comparison of HECMs vs HELOCs:
    https://mlsreversemortgage.com/title-bout-hecm-vs-heloc/
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    @AZRph - Can you tell us:
    1. If you get the first Pfizer vaccine how long does one wait for the second shot?
    2. If you get the Pfizer vaccine can or might you also get the others (JNJ, Merck) later?
  • Gold Prices Fall By Most In 3 Months on Covid Vaccine News
    Where is rono and others who invest in gold ?
    End of day update - Miners lost a bit over 6% today. About what they gained 3 or 4 days ago. Re @rono. He posted on the OT board last week. Sounds well. I agree we could benefit from more of his wisdom regarding gold.
    Bottom line, from my point of view, however - It takes a strong stomach and a certain degree of conviction to mess around with the miners. 6% swings in one day aren’t to be taken lightly. 30-50% 1-year swings sometimes occur.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    As a pharmacist, although I applaud the Pfizer news today, first may not be the best when it comes to eventual widespread public distribution. With a two shot requirement for optimal efficacy, recipients will not uncommonly dismiss, or simply forget, about the necessity of that second dose (we have seen this with the newer shingles vaccine). IMO, the Pfizer product may be most appropriate and timely for settings with a relatively captive and/or exposed audience (nursing homes, senior assisted living, front line emergency/medical). Otherwise, if similarly effective, single dose vaccines in late stage from J & J, Merck, and others could become preferred into 2021.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    livin' from here on out at 32-33, or higher
    https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
    Go big or go home - let's shoot for 40! We gonna party like its 1999 all over again.
    What pandemic? Pftttt. Pfizer has a vaccine now. Plus we have a new POTUS and potential govt gridlock, which the market supposedly loves. More stimulus coming down the road. And smaller (private) business closings only make the larger (public) companies stronger. See that -so easy to explain it all away.
    The market is nuts and it loves to fly in the face of fear. At least, until all the bears throw in the towel.
  • Perpetual Buy/Sell/Why Thread

    Bought some APR 21 call options on Americold for a very lowball amount. They're a low-paying REIT but pretty much the only name in public REIT-space specializing in refrigerated/cold storage stuff ... call it a speculative play on the vaccine.
  • Opened on 11/2/20 - TLDTX / T Rowe Price Ltd. Duration TIPS Index Fund
    TLDTX ER after wavier .21%
    Stumbled on this by accident. Was going to move a bit into their existing (managed) Limited Duration TIPS fund (TRBFX) when this one popped into view. TRBFX has a duration under 2 years. I couldn’t dig up the duration on this one, although I know the index is a 1-5 year index. Thus, duration is hopefully 2.5 years or less.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    More on this from The Guardian:
    Hopes are soaring that a Covid vaccine is within reach, following news that an interim analysis has shown Pfizer/BioNTech’s candidate was 90% effective in protecting people from transmission of the virus in global trials.
    The vaccine performed much better than most experts had hoped for, according to the companies’ analysis, and brings into view a potential end to a pandemic that has killed more than a million people, battered economies and upended daily life worldwide.
    The data is from an interim analysis and the trial continues into December but the headline results were emphatic. Regulators will be looking to process an emergency licence application at record speed.
    Manufacturing is already under way. Pfizer said they expect to supply globally up to 50m vaccine doses in 2020 and up to 1.3bn doses in 2021. Countries will decide who they prioritise for vaccination.
    The news comes too late to help Donald Trump’s re-election campaign in the US, but the vice-president, Mike Pence, tried to claim their administration’s Operation Warp Speed programme had helped the vaccine’s development.
    Pfizer denied the suggestion:
    “We were never part of the Warp Speed,” Kathrin Jansen, a senior vice-president and the head of vaccine research and development at Pfizer, said in an interview. “We have never taken any money from the US government, or from anyone.”
    BioNTech, the small biotechnology company that is the originator of the vaccine, was founded by two married German scientists, Uğur Şahin and Özlem Türeci, both born to Turkish immigrant parents, and the Austrian oncologist Christopher Huber. It originally set out to develop new types of immunotherapy for cancer, but has concentrated its capacities on the race for a Covid-19 vaccine.
    There are so far no safety concerns around the vaccine, with the two companies reporting no serious side-effects. The high percentage of those protected makes it especially compelling. Regulators have previously said they would approve a vaccine that has just a 50% effectiveness rate – protecting half of those who get vaccinated.
    “We are reaching this critical milestone in our vaccine development programme at a time when the world needs it most with infection rates setting new records, hospitals nearing over-capacity and economies struggling to reopen.”
    The above report was lightly edited for brevity.
  • Gold Prices Fall By Most In 3 Months on Covid Vaccine News
    They got the gold price news about right. But haven’t told the whole story.
    Main reason gold’s backsliding today - Dollar fell about 2% on international currency markets overnight..
    Reason for Dollar’s strength - Yields on Treasury bonds are soaring. The commonly watched 10-year jumped about 10 basis points overnight as global stock markets rallied. Now at around 0.93% - the highest in many months.
    Reason rates spiked - There are many. But the vaccine news suggests a notably higher inflation outlook as global economies emerge from pandemic. No doubt, some of the move in bonds is also attributable to the Biden victory and likely increased government spending.
    Gold is nearing a $100 loss for the day, down from around $1950 Friday. Miners look to be down 8% for the day at the moment. But 10% by day’s end wouldn’t surprise me. Points to the risks of trying to play the precious metals markets.
    LINK
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    Dr. Fauci said several months ago there is likely vaccine for COVID19 by end of 2020. Moderna, Pfizer, AstaZecca and several others are at Phase III testing. The more important question is the scale up (billions dosage) and distribution of them to people. Dr. Redfield said spring 2021 vaccines will likely be ready. I tend to agree with that timeframe. Remember Pfizer and Moderna vaccines require to keep frozen at least -2 C (dry ice temp) while flu vaccine is kept at refrigerator temp. Logistics on distribution will be a challenge but it can done provide the have a plan.
    Watch for health care sector if the market is response to it. Otherwise it may signal that the election is done and everything is moving forward.
    @davidmoran should be happy that CAPE is up 12%. IAU is down 4%. So are the bonds. Risk offnow?
  • Perpetual Buy/Sell/Why Thread
    Are you 100% correct, but for the wrong reason? Best of luck.
  • Fund Moves in 2020
    I've not bought any new funds in 2020, but have had many debates with myself about holding some that I already own.
    I've had Fidelity Growth Fund FDGRX in my IRA for quite a few years. It's been a solid fund which really took off earlier in 2020. I just couldn't believe the growth rate was sustainable -- it really became a momentum play -- so I took money off the table in early June. What a dummy!
    It wiggled a little, but continued to go up. I did retain some shares in case I want to get back in (it's closed to new investors).
    My largest position is Fidelity Select Semiconductors FSELX, also in my IRA. It can be very volatile.
    Every time it hits a new peak, I consider cashing in.
    Every time it plummets, I wish I had cashed in, but hold on.
    It's up 44.5 % for the past 12 months (and 21.2% per year for the past 10 years, which is why it's become my largest position).
    Not in 2020 but last year, I bought Acre Focus AKREX because of comments on this board. It has been a solid fund -- thanks, folks.
    David
  • October Update Marks MFO Premium’s 5th Year Anniversary
    All ratings have been updated on MFO Premium site, including MultiSearch, Great Owls, Fund Alarm (Three Alarm and Honor Roll), Averages, Dashboard of Profiled Funds, and Fund Family Scorecard. The site now includes several analysis tools, including Correlation, Rolling Averages, Trend, Ferguson Metrics, Calendar Year and Period Performance.
    Please read more here.
  • Fund Moves in 2020
    @little5bee: on a M* fund profile, click on “Parent” and you will find fund flow stats for the entire MF company. Under the graph on the “Quote” tab that shows growth of $10k, you’ll find a smaller graph that shows fund flows by quarter for the individual fund. In my experience, funds that have outflows often wind up with larger capital gains distributions at year end.