So this is what I'm reading.
At the time everyone was touting short term bonds with their reasoning, there is no evidence this gentleman said anything. Few years later if things did not work out that way he is writing "I told you so". Why did he not make the argument few years back if horizon is "long term" (sic) then keep invested in intermediate bonds? Maybe because it was NOT popular opinion back then, but now, after the fact, it might be?
Or is this another case of "invest for the long term bond-style" article? Yes I think it is.
Much is written about investor behavior. About them buying and selling at the wrong time. Yes, I'm sure some people invest without taking time to learn anything about it. I've admitted to doing it when I had hair and possibly losing it because of my mistakes. There is something to be said about making decisions acting on data available in the PRESENT. It is not always about the future. On paper it is always about it, but not in real life.
It is not always about "if you invested 10000 in this fund 25 years back you would have 200.000". That's not intelligent writing. That is putting salt on investors wounds. It would seem all individual investors are stupid idiots. It would be nice to see someone write about intelligence demonstrated by investors. I guess I would settle for "Bill Gross fund has seen 60 billion dollars of outflows" as a sign of investor aptitude because in this case Bill Gross is the target, not the investor. In 5 years if Bill Gross proved right, another article would pop up about how stupid investors were to sell PTTRX. And given short memories, it might even be the same person.
Don't hate me because I'm celebrating my independence today.

"Since the horrible losing streak, Mr. Miller has read a pile of books and research papers about crises in hopes of getting a better grip on what happened."
LMAO. That's hysterical. Maybe not being a robotic bull cheerleader might help. Of course, all these managers who got obliterated in 2008 go, "Whocouldaknown?"
Josh Brown's terrific, really best thing about CNBC at this point. I just wish there was something besides CNBC where Brown could say something like he does in the article. If Brown actually said anything on CNBC like the above linked article, they'd probably quickly go to one of those "We're Having Technical Difficulties" screens.
From the article: "There’s very little downside for everyone involved. Except the investors."
That's what I feel like on CNBC, as well. "Gosh, don't question anyone!" Gartman can have a terrible ETF that closed, another two or three that closed (although I think those were just lack of interest) and no one ever even dares ask about it. No one even really tries to debate someone or question someone on CNBC unless it's some silly game-like thing.
There's been times where Gartman has been on Fast Money talking some nonsense about how he's "Long gold in Yen" or some other ridiculous trade that will likely reverse shortly and you see the traders looking like they want to say something but can't. Miller did terribly during the crisis and after and people throw money at him again until next time is robotic auto-bullishness gets his investors in trouble.
"In The Big Short, author Michael Lewis recounts a similar episode. On a Friday morning in March 2008, Miller was invited to present the bullish case for investment bank Bear Stearns, which had traded at $53 the previous day. During a Q&A session after his presentation, an audience member asked Miller a question: "Mr. Miller, from the time you started talking, Bear Stearns stock has fallen more than 20 points. Would you buy more now?" Miller's answer: "Yeah, sure, I'd buy more."
By the following Monday, Bear Stearns had been sold to J.P. Morgan for $2 a share."
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/bill-miller-large-cap-stocks-represent-a-once-in-a-lifetime-opportunity/
Would love to see Josh Brown on a show with former CNBCer Jeff Macke.

By squinting carefully, a writer for the WSJ was able to conclude that Bill Miller's Legg Mason Value Trust had the best performance of any fund for the 15 years before the market's crash and the fund's ultra-crash. The fund flopped around like a fish tossed on the pier, investors left, Miller left, and the fund was rechristened. Now, because Miller is more talented and sees more deeply than any other, his Legg Mason Opportunity fund has the best record of any comparable fund over the past several years. That's the story told in "Mutual-Fund King Bill Miller Makes a Comeback." (Note: not my hyphen.)
Josh Brown's dissection of the article and Mr. Miller's performance, "Here's Everything That's Wrong With Investor Behavior, In One Article" is thoughtful, wry and corrosively critical. You might enjoy it.
David

Hi Guido and others,
About a year ago and in the belief that interest rates would be rising I looked for ways to reduce the duration within my fixed income sleeve within my portfolio and I switched out some intermediate term bond funds for some with a shorter duration. Overall I still have received decent income and returns from the sleeve.
My income sleeve currently consists of six funds. They are ITAAX, LALDX, THIFX, LBNDX, NEFZX and TSIAX. The sleeve produces a yield of 3.53% with a duration reading of 3.17 and the year-to-date total return has been 4.59% as I write. The one, three and five year annual returns score at 9.11%, 6.38% and 9.20% respectively.
In comparison, a bond index fund that I follow has a yield of 2.53% with a duration reading of 5.21 and a year-to-date total return 3.22%. It's one, three and five year annual returns score at 3.42%, 2.98% and 3.97% respectively.
I’ll gladly take this and move on without any regrets; and, also in belief when interest rates start rising … I’ll still have a good performing fixed income investment sleeve.
And, with this, Old_Skeet plans to keep on keeping-on with a short duration orientation.
I wish all … “Good Investing.”
Old_Skeet

May have been a "large cap value" May 31, 2014 per M*; but I would classify as commingled. Which is just fine, if the performance is in place. Ain't noth'in wrong with a well run, commingled fund.
https://fundresearch.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/composition/258620814
Regards,
Catch

Well, you should consider that with their rather short track record there is no indication of how they might perform in a downturn. Given the current market values, I think that the chances of some sort of market downdraft are pretty good right about now. I'd consider putting maybe 10 to 25k in each, and letting that ride until we see how they do in rough water.

Thanks to MFO / Snowball / partner researchers, I've been tracking these two 'new' mutual funds since last Nov, and they are matching or outperforming everything else, pretty smoothly (including early Feb dip) except for some niche equity funds.
What gives? I am seriously thinking of transferring the majority, nonsmall, of retirement moneys to DSENX and RGHVX, 50-50. What could go wrong? (I know, if you have to ask....) I mean compared with what other funds?

FLVCX is a great fund can get in for $2500 in retirements. Or $ 10000 in regular accounts. Also have to dance with it for 90 days or pay the 1.5% penalty.
At no time did I say anything about Thomas Soviero. I stated the facts about FLVCX fund that I did not like.
As for Putnum I do not like their fee structure.... I was not looking at Putnum funds I was directed to look at them by TSP TRANSFER. - I DID - and - did not like what I saw.
JUST THE FACTS as I see them!!!

Perhaps an insight here in this recent article from The Economist.
Excerpts from the article:

America is the only large economy to tax its citizens on everything they earn anywhere in the world. [The] new law requires banks, funds and other financial institutions around the world to report assets held by American clients or face a ruinous 30% withholding tax.
The law is also having unfortunate unintended consequences. The 7m Americans living abroad now wear a scarlet letter... Many have been rejected by foreign providers of banking services, insurance and mortgages because, given the amount of paperwork needed to satisfy Uncle Sam, American clients are simply too much hassle.

Note: This article is from the "Leaders" section of The Economist, which corresponds to an editorial commentary in "US English".

I've said many times in the past that I would not touch an ETF or a closed end fund with a ten foot pole (regardless of its category) because of their volatility compared to the open end funds. What we have seen here recently is a good example. HYD has declined over 5% from its recent highs while some of its closed end brethren in high yield muniland have declined even more than that. Meanwhile in the real world where funds are priced on NAV, open end funds in that category haven't even declined 1% off their highs ala NHMRX.
Regardless, while this selloff may be much ado about nothing, I have sold off over 70% of NHMRX (new highs would get be fully invested again) and deployed a *very* small part of that in some equity funds ala DODWX and BEXFX as starter positions. An outside observer might well say, it looks like an equity top could be at hand when someone like myself who has been an avowed bondman since mid-December 2008 suddenly begins dabbling in equity funds

The big fund saw outflows of $4.5B in June, worse than than $4.3B pulled in May. Overall, it's down about $70B from its April 2013 peak.
Okay, so apparently Gross's rambling invocation of The Manchurian Candidate didn't help as much as he thought it would. Fallback possibilities: allusions to Lindsay Lohan's dysfunctional parents, the discussion of how the slightest mistake in preparing the otherwise delicious fugu leads to sudden, painful death, or Paavo Nurmi's rejection from the 1932 L.A. Olympics (just a few miles from the happiest place on Earth, Bill!) and his subsequent declaration "Worldly fame and reputation are worth less than a rotten lingonberry."
Stay tuned.
David

gah, what is this about? Glancy was there for 2.5 years! 2000-03.
Why post this crap? This is like the second or third time on MFO that this factoid has been posted. Did Glancy do something to you two guys??
I am of course talking about Thomas Soviero, who has run FLVCX 11y straight as of yesterday.
No, wanh, me wanna talk about Vinik, not Danoff. wtf?

ROFL! Personally, I think Glancy not doing too shabby job at his Putnam funds.

gah, what is this about? Glancy was there for 2.5 years! 2000-03.
Why post this crap? This is like the second or third time on MFO that this factoid has been posted. Did Glancy do something to you two guys??
I am of course talking about Thomas Soviero, who has run FLVCX 11y straight as of yesterday.
No, wanh, me wanna talk about Vinik, not Danoff. wtf?

Artisan's EM fund has always made me a bit uncomfortable (a team that I didn't know and that didn't seem to have experience in running a mutual fund, the oddity of a purely institutional focus, high downside capture, and a portfolio that doesn't seem particularly distinctive). Still, it's drawn over $500 million in assets.The highlight of my early manager research was the fact that she caused a panic, and legal change, by building a garage. The fact that it was institutional-only gave me a convenient excuse for ignoring it.
I suppose, come fall, that will have to change.
As ever,
David

Thinking it is prudent to wait for it to tank before considering. Harder to lose that way. After all I'm curing myself of Excessive Funditis.

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/hyd-crowded-with-sellers-cm366864
Oversold - buying op? From what I read the recent selling came at a time when Puerto Rico court said muni bond issuers could re-structure.
But below 200 ma now..
http://www.nasdaq.com/article/high-yield-municipal-index-hyd-shares-cross-below-200-dma-cm367254
http://www.moneynews.com/Markets/Puerto-Rico-Moodys-junk/2014/07/01/id/580370/
"President Barack Obama's administration has set up a task force to try to find solutions for Puerto Rico, which lacks the legal means to declare bankruptcy."

Anyone looking into it might also want to check out the much more experienced Soviero and FLVCX.
FLVCX is a great fund can get in for $2500 in retirements. Or $ 10000 in regular accounts. Also have to dance with it for 90 days or pay the 1.5% penalty.
Have owned this fund in the past with good results.
Don't post much but hope I did this right.
lets see what happens
Gary

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1141306/000089180414000604/hend59755-497.htm
497 1 hend59755-497.htm HENDERSON GLOBAL FUNDS
HENDERSON GLOBAL FUNDS
Henderson European Focus Fund
Supplement dated July 3, 2014
to the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus dated November 30, 2013
IMPORTANT NOTICE
This supplement provides new and additional information beyond that contained in the prospectus and should be retained and read in conjunction with the prospectus.
Effective as of the close of business on October 31, 2014, the Henderson European Focus Fund (the “Fund”) will be closed to new purchases, except as follows:
·Shareholders of record of the Fund as of October 31, 2014 are able to: (1) add to their existing Fund accounts through subsequent purchases or through exchanges from other Henderson Global Funds, and (2) reinvest dividends or capital gains distributions in the Fund from shares owned in the Fund;
·Trustees of the Henderson Global Funds or employees of Henderson Global Investors (North America) Inc. (the Fund’s investment adviser);
·Fee-based advisory programs may continue to utilize the Fund for new and existing program accounts;
·Purchases through an employee retirement plan whose records are maintained by a trust company or plan administrator;
·Current and future Henderson Global Funds which are permitted to invest in other Henderson Global Funds may purchase shares of the Fund.
The Fund is taking this step to facilitate management of the Fund’s portfolio. The Fund reserves the right to re-open to new investors or to make additional exceptions or otherwise modify the foregoing closure policy at any time (including establishing an earlier closing date) and to reject any investment for any reason.
PLEASE RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR YOUR FUTURE REFERENCE.

Hi Gary,
I have this fund under review myself as a possible holding in the growth area / specialty sleeve of my portfolio. I have linked information on the fund below should others might wish more information on the fund.
https://advisor.fidelity.com/app/fund/sasid/details/2625.html#/!
Scroll down to view complete report.
Old_Skeet

Overall, I have about 35% exposure to equities in my overall portfolio, consisting of such funds as BERIX, VWENX, FCNTX, UMBMX, YAFFX, ARTGX and FCPVX. My bond exposure is about 40% and the rest is cash for now. It's a conservative portfolio overall. I don't need to take a lot of risk in my position.

Artisan's EM fund has always made me a bit uncomfortable (a team that I didn't know and that didn't seem to have experience in running a mutual fund, the oddity of a purely institutional focus, high downside capture, and a portfolio that doesn't seem particularly distinctive). Still, it's drawn over $500 million in assets.The highlight of my early manager research was the fact that she caused a panic, and legal change, by building a garage. The fact that it was institutional-only gave me a convenient excuse for ignoring it.
I suppose, come fall, that will have to change.
As ever,
David