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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Guggenheim BulletShares
    Such a portfolio will have some of the attributes you describe, but may not do quite what you're hoping for.
    We can see the hypothetical portfolio you looked at here (set the slider on the page to five years to get the five year ladder).
    The YTM and YTW figures don't take expenses into account, so the actual yields are about 1/3% lower than stated (ER of 0.24% for investment grade, 0.43% for HY). In addition, what you can expect is YTW or SEC yield, not YTM. When I go to the page and use 2018 as a start, 5 year equally weighted portfolio, I see YTW of 3.37%. Subtract off the 1/3% ER and that gives 3.04%, or about the same as the SEC yield of 3.10%, as one would expect.
    The fund determines the "effective maturity" of callable bonds by estimating when it expects the bonds to be called (per prospectus). In a rising interest rate environment, the bonds become less likely to get called, which might create some principal risk at fund maturity (as the bonds haven't "matured", i.e. gotten called, as expected). I believe this is implicit in the prospectus' listing of "extension risk".
    There's cash drag. Again as the prospectus states under "declining yield risk", in the final year, the fund gradually converts to cash as the bonds mature any time during that year. Stated yields generally assume you can reinvest cash at the rate you were receiving, but these funds sit on cash in their final year.
    This portfolio also has a lot more credit risk than your typical core plus (investment grade plus some junk) fund. If I change the IG:HY mix to 80/20, the YTW drops to 2.70% (or 2.45% after subtracting 0.25% in expenses), and the SEC yield becomes 2.44%.
    Personally, I'd be happier with a fund like BCOIX, where I'd be trading a bit of that price stability for a managed portfolio (at no higher cost) that can "go with the flow" (deal with bonds getting called early or late) and not sit on cash. Also, even though it's a core "plus (junk)" fund, it takes on a lot less credit risk. Long term it should do fine even with potentially greater price fluctuations.
    A shorter term alternative might be something like DBLSX. At 0.43% ER, it's also not too expensive, and with a 1.25 year duration, it may hold up well against interest rate risk (though I'm always suspicious of duration figures for mortgage backed bonds).
    Bullet funds are best for implementing a bullet investment strategy (where you want a specific maturity date for an anticipated need, such as a home downpayment).
    http://www.municipalbonds.com/investing-strategies/bond-investment-strategies-ladders-barbells-and-bullets/
    A bullet ladder will do some of what you want, but if you'll pardon the pun, it's no magic bullet. Some risks are reduced, others increased. IMHO not a big impact for long term investing in bonds, but this ladder might be better for you if your horizon is shorter term.
  • Josh Brown: “Market Believes White House Is Incompetent” Video Presentation
    FYI: Josh on “Fast Money Halftime Report” discussing the market valuations in reaction to President Donald Trump’s agenda.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://ritholtz.com/2017/05/white-house-is-incompetent/
  • Paul Merriman: Try This Low-Cost Portfolio With Massive Diversification
    IMHO, the simplest thing to do is stop listening to people like Paul Merriman. You will figure out quickly what you want to do with your money, and based on your age how long to hold it for.
    "Try this...". Sure. Let's "try". At worse, it's just like bad coffee. Not like it can mess your life up. Which 65 year olds retirement messed up in 2002 and 2008 with this buy and hold strategy? No one's. At least no one we know. Besides can't you see the sheer genius of moving 10% from S&P 500 into Large Value? OMG. Been waiting for someone to explain to me all my life.
  • Some Fund Managers Let Their Political Biases Show When Picking Stocks
    @LewisBraham. Index investing IS momentum investing. However, we are not supposed to do momentum investing, because it is hard to time the market movements. However, index fund have to be held forever. Go figure.
    Please don't buy FANG stocks because they go up. Buy an index funds which is heavily in FANG stocks which will keep buying them for you as they go up. But wait, buy the index funds so FANg stocks go up. No, wait...
    Don't use technical analysis to buy markets that go up. That you see is very hard to do. Because you have to figure out when to sell. With index funds you never have to do that. Bear markets are so much easier to ride out when you are indexing because you are paying low ERs. And by the way Financial Advisors will charge you 1% and explain this to you very well.
  • Rondure Funds now open
    The difference between the two versions of the Overseas fund is 0.25%, or $12.50 per year on a $5000 position. I own WSVIX directly with Walthausen where the savings is 0.25%, so I'm not consistent. Own GPMCX directly because that's the only option. Upon reflection, I'm less likely to trade if I invest directly, probably a good thing.
  • Lipper: Utilities Sector 2Q17: Best And Worst
    My only single-stock holding is PNM, an electric utility in NM and TX. It's been outperforming, until faltering for literally just the last 3 days. Dividend coming on 15th May. I got into it on 21 Sept, 2015. Share price is up since then by 43%. It will be a long-term holding for us.
  • Some Fund Managers Let Their Political Biases Show When Picking Stocks
    Very simply, greed drives markets. Airlines are Exhibit A. People step onto airplanes and become cattle. ZERO personal space. Overworked crew. American lately announced they'll squeeze-out 2 more inches of legroom in a new delivery of some jets. Why? To cram more seats into the fuselage. Just watch: we'll be paying for basic air and for the use of toilets, next. But for government regulators and the Congress, this is just fine and dandy. There's been no interference. So I fly, these days, as seldom as I can.
    Gordon Gecko: "Greed is good."
    1st Timothy 6:9-10:
    [9] But those who desire to be rich fall into temptation, into a snare, into many senseless and hurtful desires that plunge men into ruin and destruction.
    [10] For the love of money is the root of all evils...
    And I submit that one does not need to be a believer in anything, in order to see the sense that makes.
  • Lipper: Utilities Sector 2Q17: Best And Worst
    Interesting. My ANALysis has me in utilities since 12/13/16.
  • Are You A Schwab Client?
    Babka - an exquisite delicacy, based on eastern European recipes.
    http://www.yesterdish.com/2014/12/25/yesterdishs-chocolate-babka/
    Both the loaf of Seinfield fame and its European cousin are yeast-raised, butter-enriched loaves that exist halfway between dessert and breakfast food. And there’s no question that the American loaf is the younger, sexier cousin.
    image
  • Barclays Will Refund $97 Million To Advisory, Brokerage Clients
    According to the SEC press release it seems that "overcharging" might be considered the least of it. (To me, overcharging is charging a fee higher than agreed upon.)
    Barclays charged for services not provided (2,000 customers). Barclays collected "excess fees" by recommending higher cost share classes when cheaper share classes were available (63 customers). Those strike me as more egregious than charging, say $6.95 for a trade that was supposed to cost $4.95.
    Though there were also many miscalculations and billing errors (22,138 customers). The refund for all violations was $67M. $30M of the payment was for penalties.
    Usual disclaimer: All of the above are SEC findings. Barclays neither confirms nor denies.
  • DALBAR 2016 QAIB: Investors Are Still Their Own Worst Enemy
    FYI: For 23 years, DALBAR has been publishing their annual Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior study that examines investor performance in mutual funds. Their goal is to shed light on how to improve performance by managing behaviors that cause investors to act imprudently.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.ifa.com/articles/dalbar_2016_qaib_investors_still_their_worst_enemy/
  • Zacks: Are These Bond ETFs the Best Choice for Fixed Income Investors?: Text & Video
    FYI: This podcast takes a closer look at the fixed income market and the evolution of bond ETFs over the years. In particular, we take a closer look at BulletShares, and what sets them apart from the rest of the crop, so check it out for additional information on why these funds might be the ‘next generation’ of fixed income ETFs.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zacks-podcast-highlights-bond-etfs-095009127.html
  • Legendary Investor Bill Miller Is Killing It Again, Thanks To A Clever Bet On Apple: Text & Video
    FYI: Bill Miller is back with a vengeance, thrashing the market again though he's taking some pretty big risks in doing so.
    The legendary portfolio manager's Miller Opportunity Trust mutual fund is up a gaudy 13.9 percent this year, easily beating the S&P 500's return of 7.8 percent including dividends, according to Morningstar. That puts the $1.4 billion security in the rating firm's top 1 percentile in its category.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/10/legendary-investor-bill-miller-is-killing-it-thanks-to-bet-on-apple.html
  • Are You A Schwab Client?
    Bob, I feel your pain :-) I really do. Have you ever dealt with TRS? I spent something like 6 months to a year, including meeting in person at least a monthly basis, to get my parents' retirement accounts straightened out with them. Dealing with TRS and TIAA is like night and, well, twilight.
    You find yourself in the position of having clients dump all their TIAA issues in your lap, and being largely unable to help because of the lock up. Here though, I'm somewhat unsympathetic to the "victims". Don't invest in what you don't understand.
    At retirement, TIAA usually does not require participants to annuitize (the 10-year certain TPA or a lifetime annuity). Most contracts allow retireees to keep money in TIAA Traditional, subject only to RMD requirements. On the other hand, if you want your money immediately at retirement, some contracts (e.g. SRA, GSRA) allow that. The tradeoff is that participants get a lower rate of return. Flexibility isn't free, at TIAA or elsewhere.
    See FAQ #27: https://www.tiaa.org/public/pdf/TT_FAQ.pdf
    TIAA Guide to Your Payment Options: https://www.tiaa.org/public/pdf/TT_FAQ.pdf
    As a DIY retail investor, I personally focus more on the investment products available and their costs than the service offered. So I'll invest with Vanguard, even though the service I receive isn't as great as it is at Schwab or Fidelity. Likewise, if TIAA has something different to offer me, I'll consider them as well. So long as they can get their 1099s straight (something that Scottrade botched badly when I tried them out years ago), I can live with most other foibles. But each person has his own priorities.
  • Are You A Schwab Client?
    I hesitate to wade back into a discussion on TIAA, since some folks obviously have had good experiences with them. The reason for my earlier comments are simply that, based on our experiences over the last 30 years, working with clients who have accounts at TIAA has not been positive. Acknowledging that all these accounts were 403b, mostly in the traditional fixed-annuity bucket (which is a decent product), our experience was and is that working with TIAA customer service people has been worse than having teeth pulled. And then you have the salespeople who fail to disclose the roadblocks of moving dollars from the traditional bucket to the CREF bucket, or the 10-year withdrawal requirement at retirement. Perhaps they have a different service culture on the retail brokerage side of their business. I shut up now.
  • Macron, France, Euro$, ECB...a few related observations. HEDJ etf
    Hi @BenWP
    France I Shares, ticker EWQ
    From May 10, 2007- May 10, 2017 about +2.9%
    The below graph is a compare of SPY and EWQ beginning at Jan. 4, 1999 through May 10, 2017.
    http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?EWQ,SPY&n=4619&O=011000
  • Gundlach Makes Bearish Call On Stock Market As S&P 500, Nasdaq Hit Records
    Count me as one who pays attention to him. He recommended shorting Apple and the yen and going long the Japanese stock market at just the right time (I believe in 2012), and he recommended buying India late last year, which has done well.
  • Rondure Funds now open
    @BenWP
    Based on what I remember reading in the prospectus and David's information in this month's commentary, you should be able to buy the institutional shares/investor shares for the same $2K or $1K with AIP plan directly from Rondure. The terms are similar to the of GP. Not sure what brokerages may do. You could probably buy the institutional shares directly, then transfer them to a brokerage at a later date.