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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Allspring funds reorganizes three funds
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1081400/000108140025000230/mergerssupp.htm
    Funds affected:
    Allspring Adjustable Rate Government Fund
    Allspring Discovery Small Cap Growth Fund
    Allspring Large Company Value Fund
  • Value Investing
    I bought DODGX on 4/15/1991. I'm still well ahead of VFINX. Probably got lucky, or something.
  • Tax Bill Threatens the Power Grid’s New Workhorse
    including energy storage facilities that use batteries to store power that gets released when the grid needs it. Grid batteries are also heavily exposed to tariffs because, unlike EV batteries, practically none are made in the U.S. They are made in China.
    "Most grid batteries use lithium-ion technology." Rube Goldberg fan that I am, I immediately thought of gravity batteries. They turn out to be more practical than I thought. A quick search turned up this piece from March:
    Constructing new dams can be controversial due to environmental, social, and biodiversity concerns.
    Gravity batteries use solid blocks and bypass these issues by eliminating the need for water or mountainous terrain. As long as there’s sufficient vertical space in tall buildings or underground shafts, they can be installed in more locations than pumped hydro.
    ...
    If gravity battery solutions can overcome their initial investment hurdles, they could help U.S. utilities and corporations maintain stable power without being held hostage by fluctuating lithium prices.
    https://interestingengineering.com/energy/gravity-batteries-for-renewable-energy
  • Federal trade court blocks Trump from imposing sweeping tariffs under emergency powers law
    Nicely laid out. Unfortunately what I expect here is the same thing that's being done with immigration - a shell game. When one law is shot down, just use another and keep the deportation planes flying (and the import cargo ships away).
    Meanwhile, no one knows from one day to the next what's going to land on our shores or how much its cargo will cost - now that the administration has acknowledged that China isn't going to be the one paying the tariffs (see Walmart) and Mexico isn't going to be the one paying for the wall ($46.5B - check out the Big Beautiful Bill).
    How would you like to be running a business, whether a mom-and-pop or a major manufacturer, having to navigate this?
  • Federal trade court blocks Trump from imposing sweeping tariffs under emergency powers law
    Since we're taking a hard look at the legal underpinnings of all of this, here's an opinion by Bloomberg's Matt Levine. Mr. Levine was a former investment banker at Goldman Sachs, an M&A attorney, and a clerk for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit.
    (I subscribe to Mr. Levine's newsletter, but unfortunately, I can't provide a link to that.)
    The legal problem with President Donald Trump’s tariffs is that the United States has a Constitution, and the Constitution says that Congress has the power to impose tariffs and the president doesn’t. This is not some weird technicality; this is just what the Constitution says. “The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises,” and “To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations.” But Congress did not pass President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on April 2, or any of the various up-and-down permutations since then. That was all him, acting by executive order.
    Congress did pass a law, in 1977, that gives the president powers to “deal with any unusual and extraordinary threat, which has its source in whole or substantial part outside the United States, to the national security, foreign policy, or economy of the United States, if the President declares a national emergency with respect to such threat.” (This law is called the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977, or IEEPA.) Specifically, the president can “investigate, block during the pendency of an investigation, regulate, direct and compel, nullify, void, prevent or prohibit, any acquisition, holding, withholding, use, transfer, withdrawal, transportation, importation or exportation of, or dealing in, or exercising any right, power, or privilege with respect to, or transactions involving, any property in which any foreign country or a national thereof has any interest by any person, or with respect to any property, subject to the jurisdiction of the United States.” That long list is usually abbreviated, in this context, to “regulate … importation”: The IEEPA allows the president to regulate imports in an emergency. If he can regulate imports, can he impose tariffs on them? Eh, maybe, sounds like a regulation.
    And that is the legal theory behind Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs:
    1) There is an “unusual and extraordinary threat” (trade deficits), so the president can declare that all US trade with every country is a national emergency.
    2) In an emergency, he has the power to regulate imports.
    3) He will regulate imports by imposing tariffs on them.
    The specific words of the Constitution do not matter, because foreign trade is an emergency and the president must regulate it.
    We discussed this theory the day after Liberation Day, and again the following week. I don’t love it! As I wrote in April:
    The idea seems to be that every trade policy of every country in the world, over the past several decades, constitutes an “unusual and extraordinary threat.” This is a strange way to use words! How can every instance of trade with every country be unusual? How, after decades of trade deficits, is a trade deficit extraordinary?
    It is also a strange way to use law. The US is in a perpetual state of emergency with respect to every country forever, allowing the president to use emergency powers to bypass the Constitution to impose tariffs.
    We also discussed a doctrine of constitutional law called the “nondelegation doctrine,” which says that Congress cannot give up its constitutional legislative power to the executive. It can delegate some decisions to the executive, but only with an “intelligible principle” to guide the executive’s action. The executive can fill in the details of congressional legislation, but Congress can’t just tell the president “make any laws you want,” because the Constitution says that that’s Congress’s job.
    And so, I wrote, there are two possibilities here:
    1) The IEEPA doesn’t actually give the president the power to impose tariffs on every country just because he doesn’t like free trade. IEEPA powers are only for emergencies, and “international trade exists” can’t really be an unusual and extraordinary threat to the US.
    2) If the IEEPA did give the president sweeping powers to impose tariffs, that would be unconstitutional.
    This all struck me as obviously correct in principle, but I have become cynical about the Constitution actually controlling anyone’s actions here in 2025, so I called it “frankly pretty speculative” as a theory of actually stopping the tariffs. Still, worth a shot.
    And here you go!
    The bulk of President Donald Trump’s global tariffs were deemed illegal and blocked by the US trade court, dealing a major blow to a pillar of the Republican’s economic agenda.
    A panel of three judges at the US Court of International Trade in Manhattan issued a ruling Wednesday siding with Democratic-led states and a group of small businesses that argued Trump had wrongfully invoked an emergency law to justify some of his levies.
    The Trump administration filed a notice that it was appealing the ruling. The US Supreme Court may ultimately have the final say in the high-stakes case that could impact trillions of dollars in global trade. …
    The order suspends the vast majority of Trump’s tariffs — his global flat tariff, elevated rates on China and others, and his fentanyl-related tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico are all suspended by the ruling. Other tariffs imposed under different powers, like so-called Section 232 and Section 301 levies, are unaffected, and include the tariffs on steel, aluminum and automobiles.
    Here is the court’s opinion, which starts by laying out the issue pretty clearly:
    The Constitution assigns Congress the exclusive powers to “lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises,” and to “regulate Commerce with foreign Nations.” U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cls. 1, 3. The question in the two cases before the court is whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 (“IEEPA”) delegates these powers to the President in the form of authority to impose unlimited tariffs on goods from nearly every country in the world. The court does not read IEEPA to confer such unbounded authority and sets aside the challenged tariffs imposed thereunder.
    Later the court uses the basic two-possibilities framework I laid out in April: Either IEEPA has no limits (and is therefore unconstitutional), or it has limits (so Trump can’t just impose whatever tariffs he wants on everyone):
    Underlying the issues in this case is the notion that “the powers properly belonging to one of the departments ought not to be directly and completely administered by either of the other departments.” Federalist No. 48 (James Madison). Because of the Constitution’s express allocation of the tariff power to Congress, see U.S. Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 1, we do not read IEEPA to delegate an unbounded tariff authority to the President. We instead read IEEPA’s provisions to impose meaningful limits on any such authority it confers. Two are relevant here. First, § 1702’s delegation of a power to “regulate . . . importation,” read in light of its legislative history and Congress’s enactment of more narrow, non-emergency legislation, at the very least does not authorize the President to impose unbounded tariffs. The Worldwide and Retaliatory Tariffs lack any identifiable limits and thus fall outside the scope of § 1702. Second, IEEPA’s limited authorities may be exercised only to “deal with an unusual and extraordinary threat with respect to which a national emergency has been declared . . . and may not be exercised for any other purpose.” 50 U.S.C. § 1701(b) (emphasis added). As the Trafficking Tariffs do not meet that condition, they fall outside the scope of § 1701.
    The court decides that “any interpretation of IEEPA that delegates unlimited tariff authority is unconstitutional”: To be a constitutional delegation of power, IEEPA has to impose some limits on the president’s powers to regulate trade. And “the President’s assertion of tariff-making authority in the instant case, unbounded as it is by any limitation in duration or scope, exceeds any tariff authority delegated to the President under IEEPA.”
    Again, this all seems pretty obvious to me but, uh, what happens next? The government will appeal; I find this opinion convincing, but there is an audience for the argument that the president can do whatever he wants. (“The Supreme Court may again prefer Trump to precedent,” writes UBS’s Paul Donovan.) There are statutes other than IEEPA that allow the president to impose tariffs in more limited circumstances and with more procedures and findings; presumably the government will try those. “Nothing’s really changed,” said trade adviser Peter Navarro. But those statutes are a bit narrower. “Republicans in Congress have advanced legislation that would give the president wide authority to impose so-called reciprocal tariffs,” reports Bloomberg, “but concern about the impact of Trump’s widespread levies is expected to limit the appetite for moving that measure now.” For now, though, will the tariffs just … go away? Just because they’re illegal? Is that how this works?
  • Tax Bill Threatens the Power Grid’s New Workhorse
    Following are excerpts from a newsletter published by Ed Ballard of the Wall Street Journal:
    image
    The U.S. pioneered the combination of solar panels and batteries that makes it possible to get power from the sun when it isn’t shining. Now it risks being left behind thanks to a trade war and Republicans’ plan to withdraw clean-energy subsidies.
    The tax bill passed by the House would phase out tax breaks for various green technologies, including energy storage facilities that use batteries to store power that gets released when the grid needs it. Grid batteries are also heavily exposed to tariffs because, unlike EV batteries, practically none are made in the U.S. They are made in China.
    This double whammy casts a shadow over a technology that is doing the heavy lifting as U.S. power demand rises for the first time in a generation. Batteries will account for 29% of the power capacity installed this year, behind only solar, the Energy Information Administration says.
    The Senate may prolong the tax credits, and Wednesday’s court ruling that voided—for now—many of Trump’s tariffs underscores the uncertainty over trade policy. For green-energy companies that typically line up customers before committing to projects, that uncertainty makes it harder to put a price on power: “We have never seen such a high demand for energy, but there’s no way we can move forward,” said David Ruiz de Andrés, chief executive of solar-plus-storage company Grenergy.
    The Madrid-based company has ambitions to grow in the U.S., lured by tech companies vying to build power-hungry data centers, but currently it isn’t investing in projects besides a few already under way. Grenergy’s new $4 billion investment plan prioritizes Europe, its home market, and Latin America, where it recently signed a deal with Chile’s state-controlled copper-mining giant, Codelco, to provide round-the-clock power from vast solar and battery arrays.
    Solar power, 24/7 is becoming feasible (in very sunny places like Chile, anyway) thanks to battery technology improvements from Chinese manufacturers such as BYD and CATL. Their race to squeeze more capacity into less space reduced grid batteries’ cost by 40% between 2023 and 2024, according to BloombergNEF.

    Not doomed, but more expensive-

    Low costs, and the sheer availability of solar panels and batteries, means U.S. growth would likely be slowed rather than halted by trade barriers and withdrawn subsidies, said BloombergNEF policy expert Ethan Zindler: “Some projects will get canceled, some will go forward and get priced higher,” he said.
    There aren’t enough gas turbines, let alone nuclear plants, to meet U.S. power demand. As Zindler sees it, the question is how much potential demand is destroyed by higher prices—tech companies can build more data centers in other countries—and how much Americans pay for electricity.

    Comment: As we shoot ourselves in the foot once again.
  • Federal trade court blocks Trump from imposing sweeping tariffs under emergency powers law
    ” … probably be satisfied if Congress simply delegated their tariff power to the President.”
    Perhaps initially. But there’s a larger issue of whether Congress can constitutionally delegate away to another branch of government an authority they are granted under the Constitution. Could Congress, for instance, delegate their Constitutional powers to impeach high officials or declare war to the executive branch? Could they delegated their power to levy and collect taxes to the judiciary?
    This also relates to the existence of the debt ceiling (see end of this post).
    The answer to what Congress can delegate is "it depends". My take is that the more intrinsic a power is to Congress (whatever that means) the less able it is to delegate that power.
    Findlaw, Can Congress Delegate Its Power?
    The Supreme Court has sometimes declared categorically that the legislative power of Congress cannot be delegated,¹ and on other occasions has recognized more forthrightly, as Chief Justice Marshall did in 1825, that, although Congress may not delegate powers that are strictly and exclusively legislative, it may delegate powers which "[it] may rightfully exercise itself."
    https://constitution.findlaw.com/article1/annotation03.html
    As to why the Supreme Court would probably be satisified if Congress simply delegated their tariff power to the President, the answer lies in Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer (Truman steel mills case).
    Justice Jackson [in his concurrence] divided presidential actions into three categories that looked at the extent to which the President was acting in concert with Congress. With regard to the first category, he stated:
    When the President acts pursuant to an express or implied authorization of Congress, his authority is at its maximum, for it includes all that he possesses in his own right plus all that Congress can delegate. In these circumstances and in these only, may he be said . . . to personify the federal sovereignty.
    https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artII-S1-C1-5/ALDE_00013794/
    With respect to the debt ceiling, as Yogi noted Congress originally authorized each debt offering. In WW1, recognizing that this was unwieldy, Congress delegated discretion on how to borrow money (e.g. long vs. short). But it did not, and perhaps cannot, delegate its fundamental power to borrow money. Hence the debt ceiling.
    Before 1917, Congress authorized loans for specific purposes; with enactment of the Second Liberty Bond Act* in 1917, Congress moved to authorize separate limits for different types of securities (as explored in this 1950s treatment of the transition). In 1939, Congress again altered how it delegated authority to Treasury, creating the first ceiling on most types of borrowing instruments.
    Judging from the NY Times coverage of the 1917 episode, legislators paid little attention to the implications of mandating a ceiling. They focused instead on Treasury Secretary McAdoo’s request for a higher borrowing limit so as to fund an expensive war effort. The ceiling was created to empower, not rein in, Treasury (prompting a failed effort to create a congressional committee to oversee Treasury’s actions). Similarly, the creation of the aggregate ceiling in 1939 reflected congressional deference to Treasury, granting the department flexibility in refinancing short term notes with longer term bonds. As the Senate floor debate makes clear, senators viewed the move as removing a partition in the law that hampered Treasury’s ability to manage the debt.
    https://goodauthority.org/news/why-do-we-have-a-debt-ceiling/
    Finally, an observation: Congress does not seem especially happy with the tariffs. GOP members are concerned about their jobs should tariffs remain in place. Congress might not explicitly delegate tariff power (assuming that such delegation is deemed constitutional).
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trumps-tariffs-stoke-concerns-that-republicans-can-kiss-goodbye-to-their-majority-in-2026-152815014.html
  • Covered-Call Funds
    By using options, one can create ("structure") financial instruments having virtually any behavior, at a cost of course. IMHO it's not much different from betting - not meant in a derogatory way. And unlike betting, when investing the deck is stacked in your favor. Over time, stocks go up and bonds pay principal and interest.
    In horse racing, there are payoff odds on each horse. This is apparently more complicated than gamblers on team sports like. So there "products" are "structured" to offer even money bets. Instead of betting on which team wins with odds set accordingly, a derivative product is offered: one bets on team ± a spread.
    In a similar, though more complex way, options can be used to package investment instruments. Want something guaranteed not to lose money? Package a zero coupon bond with a call option (on say, the S&P 500) so that you get some of the gain if the market goes up, and no loss if the call expires worthless.
    If you're willing to give up some downside protection for a higher cap on potential gain, you can do that by using put options instead of zeros. See Schwab's description of buffered ETFs.
    Income is certainly one reason why people use options such as covered calls.
    Managed distribution funds (usually closed end) are something different. These are funds that, as PRESSmUP described, distribute a fairly steady stream of distributions by design. So long as those distributions are less than the total return of the fund (regardless of all is well and good.
    From a black box perspective, it doesn't matter what the source of that total return is - dividends, gains (realized or unrealized), proceeds from selling options, proceeds from lending, etc. However, if the fund is distributing more than it is making, then it is eating into your capital, generally not a good thing.
    QQQX runs hot and cold. 20%+ total returns in 2021, 2023, 2024. It was one of its category worst (100th percentile) performers in 2022 and YTD (per M*). Over the past five years, its NAV (and its market price) has gone up, so it hasn't been distributing more than it's made.
  • Email received from M*
    A T. Rowe Price investment account balance of $250k or more gives you a free account at Morningstar Investor and access to otherwise closed TRP funds.
    Thanks, yes. They had grandfathered me in, when they raised the threshold to $250k from $100k. Now I'm gone, but still connected via my colleague's account, which I have been babysitting since 2010. He's nowhere near $250k, but in 2010, $250k was not the bar that had to be reached. Morningstar has simply arbitrarily cut off people like myself. It's their company, after all. I can get most of what M* offered after logging into Portfolio Checkup at Schwab.
  • Value Investing
    I never invested based on inflows because they are not reliable.
    Since 2000, I only used relative strength + the best risk/reward funds within leading wide range categories + only several funds.
    It takes several years to practice it and get better. This way you can't be too long in lagging categories.
    US LC tilting growth were the leaders suring 1995-2000 + 2010-24 = about 25 years
    Value, international, and SC during 01/2000 to 01/2010 while SPY+QQQ lost in that period =10 years.
  • Value Investing
    Within the US market, SP500 is in the middle of M* Value - Growth scale. Inflows are from indexing being popular. Traders & foreigners also find it easy to buy SPY / IVV/ VOO for US exposure.
    https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/spy/portfolio
  • Trump wins temporary reprieve as he fights against court block on tariffs
    Following are excerpts from a current report from The Guardian:
    Appeal judges grant stay as officials blame ‘activist judges’ for dealing major blow against signature policy
    The Trump administration is racing to halt a major blow to the president’s sweeping tariffs after a US court ruled they “exceed any authority granted to the president.” A US trade court ruled the US president’s tariffs regime was illegal on Wednesday in a dramatic twist that could block Trump’s controversial global trade policy.
    On Thursday, an appeals court agreed to a temporary pause in the decision pending an appeal hearing. The Trump administration is expected to take the case to the supreme court if it loses. The ruling by a three-judge panel at the New York-based court of international trade came after several lawsuits argued Trump had exceeded his authority, leaving US trade policy dependent on his whims and unleashing economic chaos around the world.
    On Thursday, the Trump administration filed for “emergency relief” from the ruling “to avoid the irreparable national-security and economic harms at stake”. The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, said the judges had “brazenly abused their judicial power to usurp the authority of President Trump” in what she characterised as a pattern of judicial overreach. “Ultimately the supreme court must put an end to this,” she said.
    Leavitt’s comments came as a second judge, Washington DC district court judge Rudolph Contreras, called the tariffs “unlawful” and ordered a preliminary injunction on the collection of tariffs from a pair of Illinois toy importers, which brought the case. Tariffs typically need to be approved by Congress but Trump has so far bypassed that requirement by claiming that the country’s trade deficits amount to a national emergency. This had left the US president able to apply sweeping tariffs to most countries last month, in a shock move that sent markets reeling.
    The court’s ruling stated that Trump’s tariff orders “exceed any authority granted to the president … to regulate importation by means of tariffs”. The judges were keen to state that they were not passing judgment on the “wisdom or likely effectiveness of the president’s use of tariffs as leverage”. Instead, their ruling centered on whether the trade levies had been legally applied in the first place. Their use was “impermissible not because it is unwise or ineffective, but because [federal law] does not allow it”, the decision explained.
    Financial markets cheered the court’s ruling, with the US dollar rallying in its wake, soaring against the euro, yen and Swiss franc. In Europe, the German Dax rallied 0.9%, while France’s Cac 40 rose 1%. The UK’s FTSE 100 blue-chip index ticked up 0.1% at the start of trading. Stocks in Asia also climbed on Thursday, while in the US stock markets all rose marginally.
    The court ruling immediately invalidated all of the tariff orders that were issued through the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), a law meant to address “unusual and extraordinary” threats during a national emergency. The judges said Trump must issue new orders reflecting the permanent injunction within 10 days.
    The ruling, if it stands, blows a giant hole through Trump’s strategy to use steep tariffs to wring concessions from trading partners, draw manufacturing jobs back to US shores and shrink a $1.2tn (£892bn) US goods trade deficit, which were among his key campaign promises. Without the help of the IEEPA, the Trump administration would have to take a slower approach, launching lengthier trade investigations and abiding by other trade laws to back the tariff threats.
    The decision is also likely to embolden other challenges to Trump’s policy. Last month, California’s governor, Gavin Newsom, filed a lawsuit against the tariffs, arguing they were “illegal, full stop”. The court was not asked to address some industry-specific tariffs Trump has issued on automobiles, steel and aluminium, using a different statute, so these are likely to remain in place for now.
    Stephen Miller, the White House deputy chief of staff for policy, hit out at the ruling in a social media post claiming “the judicial coup is out of control”.
    At least seven lawsuits have challenged Trump’s border taxes, the centerpiece of Trump’s trade policy. The court made its ruling in response to two cases. One was filed by a group of small businesses, including a wine importer, VOS Selections, whose owner said the tariffs were having a major impact and his company may not survive.
    The plaintiffs in the tariff lawsuit argued that the emergency powers law did not give the president the power to apply tariffs, and even if it had done, the trade deficit did not qualify as an emergency, which is defined as an “unusual and extraordinary threat”. The US has run a trade deficit with the rest of the world for 49 consecutive years.
  • Email received from M*
    A T. Rowe Price investment account balance of $250k or more gives you a free account at Morningstar Investor and access to otherwise closed TRP funds.
  • Value Investing
    No need to guess.
    YTD tells the story. As of yesterday:
    SPY,QQQ,VTV(value) 0.9% to 1.7%
    PDI(CEF), VTRIX (international value), VXUS(international), VGK(Europe) = 6.9%, 11.6% 14.9%, 21.3%
    Inter leads Value Inter, and Europe leads all.
    The above is known since 02/2025. Just use a chart and you can see the leaders.
    Just remember that for several years, and sometimes since 2010-12, several "experts" told us almost every year...that this year international and EM would be better.
    Arnott told us that in 2009.
    GMO told us that in 2010.
    The founder of PE10, Prof Shiller, told us that in 2012.
    It's all documented (here).
  • Federal Reserve issues rare statement asserting independence amid Trump pressure
    Following are excerpts from a current report in The Guardian:
    Central bank emphasizes nonpartisan role in brief memo after chair Jerome Powell meets with US president
    The Federal Reserve issued a rare, strongly worded statement on Thursday after chair Jerome Powell spoke with Donald Trump at the White House Thursday morning, holding firm on the central bank’s independence amid pressure from Trump to lower interest rates. The three-paragraph statement emphasized the Fed’s independent, nonpartisan role in setting monetary policy based on economic data.
    “Chair Powell did not discuss his expectations for monetary policy, except to stress that the path of policy will depend entirely on incoming economic information and what that means for the outlook,” the statement read.
    Powell told Trump that he and other Fed officials “will set monetary policy, as required by law, to support maximum employment and stable prices and will make those decisions based solely on careful, objective, and non-political analysis,” according to the statement. That the Fed, which tends to be extremely reserved with public statements, issued the brief memo shows that officials are aware of Trump’s pressure campaign and are standing firm on the Fed’s independence.
    At Thursday’s White House press briefing, press secretary Karoline Leavitt said that the Fed’s statement is “correct” but that Trump “did say that the Fed chair is making a mistake by not lowering rates”. Historically, presidents show deference to the Fed, respecting the central bank’s independence. But over the last few months, Trump has tried to publicly pressure Powell to lower interest rates, as the Fed did last year, though officials say that the economy – thrown into a tailspin from Trump’s trade war – has become too unstable to continue lowering rates.
    Powell, who was appointed during Trump’s first term in 2018, has resisted the pressure from Trump and has warned that high tariffs could lead to inflation and, earlier in May, said that officials are “in no hurry” to cut interest rates – all statements that seem to have put Trump on edge.
    “‘Too Late’ Jerome Powell is a FOOL, who doesn’t have a clue,” Trump wrote after the Fed’s meeting.
    Trump had previously threatened to fire Powell, though it’s unclear whether the president has the power to do so. Last week, the supreme court allowed Trump to follow through on his dismissal of officials on the National Labor Relations Board, the panel that oversees labor disputes, but judges noted that the Federal Reserve is a “uniquely structured, quasi-private entity” – implying that it likely won’t be so easy for Trump to get rid of Powell.
  • Value Investing
    The S&P 500 is currently tilted more towards growth than value.
    The predominance of the Magnificent 7 stocks has been a large influence in recent years.
    I don't how the S&P 500 has been balanced between growth and value stocks historically.
    Institutions (e.g., S&P, Morningstar) may have different criteria for defining growth/value stocks.
    Edit/Add: VOO had over $150 billion of inflows since the start of 2024.
    This ETf hasn't had a monthly outflow since 2022.
    Data reported by M* in early April of this year.
  • Value Investing
    Is the S&P 500 possibly weighted more in the direction of growth (vs value)? I’m beginning to give some credence to those who argue U.S. large cap valuations are being artificially distorted (to the high side) / kept aloft by passive inflows - mainly thru retirement plans.
    Dunno. Just wondering. I don’t think anyone really knows.
    However, it was reported recently that very large inflows into VOO are continuing, FWIW