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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Capital Groups ETF's CGUS and CGDV
    Regarding PARWX...
    Jerome Dodson managed PARWX from inception (04/29/2005) until he retired on 12/31/2020.
    Billy Hwan became a PARWX comanager on 05/01/2018 and the sole manager in 2021.
    Mr. Dodson took a contrarian approach which resulted in an elevated risk profile.
    Mr. Hwan takes a relative value approach and stated that he wanted to reduce the fund's beta vs. the S&P 500.
    Past PARWX performance may not be very indicative of future performance.
  • Reorganization at Grandeur Peak Global Advisors (similar to Rondure post)
    Received this email today from GP:
    June 20, 2023
    Dear Fellow Shareholder,
    Thank you for your assistance with our recent proxy vote. The Grandeur Peak Funds proxy proposal easily passed, and we are now able to move the Funds’ back office service provider from SS&C (formerly ALPS) to Ultimus Fund Solutions.The date of this conversion has been changed to the weekend of July 22-23, 2023.
    Below is important information that affects Grandeur Peak Funds’ direct shareholder accounts after this transition:
    -Your existing account number(s) will remain the same.
    -For those utilizing online account access, the online account system will be changing. --To continue to access your account online following the transfer agency conversion, visit grandeurpeakglobal.com and click “LOG IN” as you normally would. This will take you to the new Grandeur Peak Funds account access site where you will need to register as a new user by selecting “Sign up for Online Access.” You will need your account number, date of birth, email address, and social security number to re-establish your online account through the new system. If you have any trouble, please call us at the Shareholder Services number below. NOTE: As part of the transition, online account access will be unavailable during the weekend of the transition (July 22-23).
    -Our Shareholder Services telephone number will remain the same, but the service hours will change slightly:
    1-855-377-PEAK (7325)
    7:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. MT Monday - Friday
    -Our shareholder mailing addresses will change to:
    Overnight:
    Grandeur Peak Funds
    c/o Ultimus Fund Solutions, LLC.
    4221 N 203rd St., Suite 100
    Elkhorn, NE 68022
    US Mail:
    Grandeur Peak Funds
    c/o Ultimus Fund Solutions, LLC
    P.O. Box 541150
    Omaha, NE 68154-9150
    -Instructions for automatic investments into the Funds and systematic withdrawals out of the Funds will be transferred and will continue as normal.
    -Account statements and tax forms: As part of the service provider change, statements and tax forms from January 1, 2020 to present will be migrated and remain available for online access. If you would like to retain copies for prior periods, you may download them from the current shareholder portal prior to the conversion date. Otherwise, documents prior to 2020 can be requested by contacting Shareholder Services.
    -Confirmation of non-taxable reorganization: The transaction and transfer of your account(s) will not be taxable, nor will it impact the number of shares you own, the market value of your account, or the cost basis of your shares. You can expect to receive a transaction confirmation reflecting the transfer, which will be processed after the close of business on the conversion date.
    Thank you for the trust you place in us. We are undertaking this transition because we believe it will better align with our goal of providing you with outstanding shareholder servicing. We will work with Ultimus to ensure the transition is as seamless and easy for you as possible.
    Questions or comments?
    Call us:
    1-855-377-PEAK (7325) 7:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. MT Monday - Friday
    or
    Email us:
    [email protected]
    Best Regards,
    Eric Huefner
  • Interest Income on US Treasury Obligations - Form 1099
    Fidelity reports the amount of interest you receive from a bond issuer, whether the US Treasury or anyone else. No more, no less. Welcome to the world of bond investing.
    Five months interest was paid in your name that belonged to the seller. You are the "nominee" for this payment. Declare the full amount on Sched B, line 1, and at the bottom of that line you subtract the accrued interest paid to the seller as a "Nominee Distribution".
    https://www.irs.gov/instructions/i1040sb#en_US_2022_publink100059769
  • Capital Groups ETF's CGUS and CGDV
    @mcmarasco, check out PARWX if you are comfortable with Parnassus. Maybe you have access to its institutional equivalent.
    SPGP will bend you away from growth, and large caps, but it's still the 500 universe.
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    First, 60/40 is just an idea, an investor can be in 50/50 and all the way 100/0. It depends on someone's age and goals.
    PRWCX is a unique go-anywhere fund. It's not your typical 60/40. PRWCX excels in risk-adjusted performance and can be measured by the Sharpe ratio. Most investors don't have the patience to hold funds for many years. Another good idea is to use only 3-5 funds. The more you diversify, the chances are your portfolio will not beat the indexes and why Buffett said "Diversification is a protection against ignorance". Other than that, Buffett recommended the SP500, not even 5 funds.
    BTW, PRWCX beat 60/40 (SPY/PIMIX) since volatility peaked up in 2018. It had better performance, Sharpe, Sortino + close SD. see results (link).
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    It's easy to beat PRWCX on a raw return basis. VOO/VFIAX will do. The question is whether you can do it with an only moderately volatile investment.
    VOO beats BRK.A over ten years with less volatility. Thus a better Sharpe ratio (higher returns divided by lower volatility).
    PRWCX beats both of them on risk adjusted return (as measured by Sharpe ratio or Sotrino ratio).
    Comparison at Portfolio Visualizer
    By Sharpe and Sortino, QQQ is the winner.
    I like to look things up. :)
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    @WABAC, from the general description, it seems to be that your wife had an OLDER, dedicated TIAA plan (with TIAA handling all aspects) that was CONVERTED to a NEWER, more flexible TIAA plan that has TIAA only as its recordkeeper. In the flexible plan, funds from various firms are available - but your wife has that funds portions in a m-mkt now.
    As a firm, TIAA has certain focus and its advice is tailored for that; other firms do that too (Fido, Schwab, Vanguard).
    Details of the various flavors of TIAA TRADITIONAL (SV annuity; varying restrictions; among the best around) can be found here, https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/1050/thread
  • Interest Income on US Treasury Obligations - Form 1099
    I was just looking at my 2022 Fidelity Form 1099 and noticed that Fidelity has included the "Accrued Interest Paid on Purchases" on secondary market purchases in the interest I earned for 2022. e.g.; I bought UNITED STATES TREAS NTS NOTE 2.75000% 11/15/2023 (CUSIP: 912828WE6) in the secondary market on 10/15/2022 and paid five months of the accrued interest to the seller. Coupon is paid every six months on Nov 15 and on May 15. I was expecting Fidelity to report on my 2022 Form 1099 a one month interest (i.e., six month coupon I received on 11/15/2022 minus the five months of accrued interest I paid to the seller) but Fidelity reported the full coupon I received on 11/15/2022 as "Interest on U.S. Savings Bonds and Treas. Obligations" on line 3 of my 2022 Form 1099-INT. Worse case, I would have been fine Fidelity accruing and reporting 2.5 months of the interest income (10/15 -12/31/2022) on my Form 1099.
    (The Note is not an OID bond and I did not make any elections w/r/t market discounts and premiums with Fidelity.)
    I would appreciate forum members sharing their experience of how their brokerage reported on their Form 1099-INT w/r/t Treasury Obligations with coupons purchased on the secondary market. (I plan to dispute Fidelity's reporting but wanted to check with you guys about your experience.)
    Also, if anybody had purchased Treasury notes / bonds (not Bills) with market discount mature in 2022, please share with us if Fidelity reported the receipt of the par amount minus the principal you paid to purchase the Treasuries as an additional interest income or as capital gain. (Capital gains can be subject to State income tax while interest income on Treasury obligations is exempt from State income tax.)
    (I am assuming Fidelity is reporting interest income correctly on (zero coupon) Treasury Bills.)
    Thank you.
    A
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    @WABAC - I’m with ya on that front. It’s challenging to part with 5%+ in mmkt and t-bills, with Mad Magazine’s “what, me worry?” investing tactic.
    I don't even have to think about taking dividends or cap gains from the taxable, or drawing down the IRA's. What to do with wife's TIAA? Time to think about that too.
    I keep thinking it's going to be rough for equities. That's what people used to say.
  • TCAF, an ETF Cousin of Closed Price PRWCX
    @Roy,
    If you are adding to your fixed income holdings and are concerned about inflation,
    you may want to consider TIPS. The upcoming auction on Thursday, 06/22 seems attractive.
    "The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer $19 billion in a reopening auction of CUSIP 91282CGW5, creating a 4-year, 10-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security."
    "This TIPS had its originating auction on April 20, 2023, when investors got a real yield to maturity of 1.32%. Its coupon rate was set at 1.25%. CUSIP 91282CGW5 now trades on the secondary market and at the close Friday it had a real yield to maturity of 1.81% and a discounted price of $97.43 for $100 of value."
    "If the real yield holds above 1.8% through Thursday’s auction, it would be the highest auctioned real yield for a TIPS of this term since October 2008."
    Link
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    It's easy to beat PRWCX on a raw return basis. VOO/VFIAX will do. The question is whether you can do it with an only moderately volatile investment.
    VOO beats BRK.A over ten years with less volatility. Thus a better Sharpe ratio (higher returns divided by lower volatility).
    PRWCX beats both of them on risk adjusted return (as measured by Sharpe ratio or Sotrino ratio).
    Comparison at Portfolio Visualizer
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    Someone on Big Bang! recently started a thread titled "How can we match or beat PRWCX?"
    .
    Looks like Berkshire has managed to beat it. I’m getting average annual returns for 10 years as follow: +11.53% for BRK.A / +11.43% for BRK.B / +10.79% for PRWCX. Double-check my numbers before buying. They’re from different sources and could be based on somewhat different time spans or criteria. Each has a unique set of risks of course. With the former you could move in and out pretty much at will (tax deferred accounts anyway), possibly skimming profits on the high end. With the latter you get much broader diversification but are limited to an extent by TRP’s prohibitions against frequent trading as well as any restrictions / fees your brokerage may impose in that regard.
  • TCAF, an ETF Cousin of Closed Price PRWCX
    I haven't opened a position in TCAF as of yet, though I had fully intended to. Doesn't mean I won't, but with us coming to within 5 years or less until retirement I find myself not wanting to add to risk assets and am considering adding to our fixed income holdings to bring our equity allocation down from its current ~57%---even though inflation is still an issue eating away at purchasing power.
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    My Roth IRA is mostly with T Rowe Price but I’ve gradually been moving from TRP to Fidelity funds. I’m ticked at TRP for not letting me invest in PRWCX even though I’ve invested with them for 30+ years.
    A very long time ago (more than 30+ years), there was a Winston cigarette jingle: It's not how long you make it (30+ years), it's how you make it long (building assets in T. Rowe Price).
    PRWCX is open to investors who have more than $250K invested with T. Rowe Price.
    https://www.troweprice.com/personal-investing/about/client-benefits/index.html
  • Debate Over 60/40 Allocation Continues …
    This isn't the only board where folks are fond of PRWCX.
    Someone on Big Bang! recently started a thread titled "How can we match or beat PRWCX?".
    Link
  • Larry Summers and the Crisis of Economic Orthodoxy
    ”If the Federal Reserve follows Summers’s advice and keeps raising interest rates until the economy hits “five years of unemployment above 5 percent,” then millions of people will suffer for absolutely no reason other than as human sacrifices to a discredited economic theory.”
    Yes. I’ve long felt that way (”Federal Reserve Wrecking Crew”). Somewhat surprisingly, the overly restrictive stance hasn’t yet thrown us into a deep recession. Summers? Uhh! / I have a lot of trouble stomaching both him and Er-Erian. Both sound like a wet rag (financially speaking) 90% the time.
    I have a hunch that a part of the inflation issue is the bundle of savings amassed by the boomers over decades of economic growth and market outperformance. In a sense. inflation may “taking back” much of what has been given over those years. Would help explain why the economy stays hot despite the efforts of the Fed to cool it. As I said, just a hunch and haven’t found anyone who agrees with me on that point.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    Trap door market coming soon? AI bubblicious? Tax receipts way down. Ukraine Russia war getting even bloodier? Waaaaay overvalued stonk market? Hmm
    @Baseball_Fan - You made a wise call start of 2022 in choosing HSGFX. Hussie’s not doing so well this year with HSGFX down 9.75% YTD (Reversion to the Mean?) I don’t know where equities are going from here. Your guess at least as good as mine (probably better). I’ve carried a 2-2.5% short position on the S&P for several months and intend to keep it. Of course it hurts a little. My thinking, however, is that it allows me to take additional market risk in other areas.
    One (independent) article in Barron’s this week suggests that the VIX might be the most undervalued / potentially profitable investment going presently. (To be clear, that’s not the position of Barron’s.)
    Best of luck to you and all.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    @WABAC - I’m with ya on that front. It’s challenging to part with 5%+ in mmkt and t-bills, with Mad Magazine’s “what, me worry?” investing tactic.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    My preference is to look for buys when sentiment is negative and hardly ever when bullish unless we're coming off a blowup to the downside.
    I agree @Mark. I suspect however the bullish sentiment is still in the early stages. Hell, Barron’s just went bullish one week ago.
    Like Yogi & some others here, I’ve lightened up a bit on risk assets the past month or so - from overweight to just slightly underweight. But with 75% now in a static “hands-off” portfolio there’s not a lot of digression afforded me anymore. That said, there’s a couple stocks and 1 CEF in the static portfolio which are nice to play around with, adding a few shares on dips and selling small amounts on rips.
  • Larry Summers and the Crisis of Economic Orthodoxy
    Worth reading: https://thenation.com/article/economy/summers-weber-economic-orthodoxy/
    But inflation proved the perfect issue to enable Summers to regain the spotlight. Intellectually, Summers had been deeply formed by the monetarist revolution instigated by Milton Friedman in the 1970s—which held that a key way to hold down inflation was to raise interest rates in order to increase unemployment (and thereby keep wages in check). In early 2021, Summers began sounding the alarm that the stimulus spending Biden and the Democrats had used to keep the economy afloat during Covid was going to lead to a sharp rise in inflation. When inflation did in fact rise, Summers basked in the role of the prophet vindicated.
    But Summers’s rehabilitation rested on an illusion. As Eric Levitz notes in a recent New York magazine article, all evidence suggests that while Summers was right to predict inflation, he was completely wrong about both the causes of that inflation and the best means to fight it. Speaking at the London School of Economics in June 2022, Summers said that “we need five years of unemployment above 5 percent to contain inflation—in other words, we need two years of 7.5 percent unemployment or five years of 6 percent unemployment or one year of 10 percent unemployment.” This is the standard Friedman prescription of a short, sharp shock of unemployment to defeat inflation—the same remedy followed by Paul Volcker in the late 1970s and early ’80s. Those policies, of course, led to the long-term defeat of American labor unions and the rise of Reaganite neoliberalism.
    But that scenario was not repeated under Biden. As Levitz reports, Summers’s "call for austerity was premised on the notion that only a sharp increase in unemployment could prevent a ruinous wage-price spiral. In reality, both wage and price growth have been slowing for months, even as unemployment has remained near historic lows. Summers’s failure to anticipate this outcome should lead us to reconsider just how prescient his analysis of the post-Covid economy ever was."
    The core problem, Levitz adds, is that from the beginning, [Summers’s] analysis was predicated on the idea that excessive stimulus would lead to unsustainably low unemployment and thus wage-driven inflation. There has never much reason to believe that the labor market was the primary driver of post-Covid price growth. And at this point, it’s abundantly clear that, in 2023 America, a tight labor market will not inevitably trigger a wage-price spiral.
    If the Federal Reserve follows Summers’s advice and keeps raising interest rates until the economy hits “five years of unemployment above 5 percent,” then millions of people will suffer for absolutely no reason other than as human sacrifices to a discredited economic theory.
    Far from vindicating Summers, inflation is yet another case where he got a big issue wrong. It joins a long list of such errors. As Binyamin Appelbaum documented in his fine book The Economists’ Hour (2015), while serving as deputy Treasury secretary in 1998, Summers took it upon himself to bully staffers who were pushing for the regulation of credit derivatives—the banking practice that led to the housing bubble and 2008 crash. Summers even called one staffer, Brooksley Born, the head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, into his office to scream, “I have 13 bankers in my office who tell me you’re going to cause the worst financial crisis since the end of World War II.” Ironically, it was Summers’s own failure to heed Born’s advice that caused that very crisis. In 2005, Summers derided critics of the deregulated credit default swap market as “slightly Luddites.”