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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Bank Rescue Plan
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230312b.htm
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230312a.htm
    Notes to follow.
    Signature Bank, NY also closed.
    ALL depositors of Signature AND SVB Bank will be protected - insured & uninsured.
    Stock and debt holders will not be protected.
    New BTFP facility for 1-yr collateralized loans with $25 billion funding coming from Exchange Stabilization Fund.
    Fed Discount Window access to be easier.
  • Which Funds Are Taking the Biggest Hit From Silicon Valley Bank and Other Bank Stocks
    What I find odd is that KRE, the regional bank ETF simply didn't move lower on Thursday and Friday. They were leaking oil beginning Monday, down over 16% for the week. Someone knew what was happening before the press and the public became aware.
    KRE fell -8.11% on Thursday, -4.39% on Friday.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KRE&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p16451725406
  • US Plans Emergency Measures To Backstop Banks after SVB
    https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-12/fed-and-treasury-weigh-emergency-authority-for-deposit-backstop?srnd=premium
    It's one thing for the Fed to want ordinary Americans to lose their jobs by raising rates. But it's another if banks and their biggest wealthiest customers who have more than the FDIC limits in accounts are in trouble.
    The Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department are preparing emergency measures to shore up banks and ensure they can meet potential demands by their customers to withdraw money, as the US seeks to stave off a deeper crisis after SVB Financial Group’s failure.
    The Fed is planning to ease the terms of banks’ access to its discount window, giving firms a way to turn assets that have lost value into cash without the kind of losses that toppled SVB’s Silicon Valley Bank. The Fed and Treasury are also preparing a program to backstop deposits using the Fed’s emergency lending authority.
    The changes under discussion were described by people with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be named because the talks are confidential. Representatives for the Fed and Treasury had no comment.
    Regulators are discussing extraordinary measures as banks face the prospect of booking losses if customers pull uninsured deposits after the swift collapse of SVB rattled financial markets last week and left its clients in the lurch. A flood of withdrawals can force banks to sell assets such as bonds that have deteriorated in value amid interest-rate increases — the dynamic behind SVB’s demise.
  • Schwab...
    Schwab ran into problems in ‘08 with their “Yield Plus” ultra-short. Apparently they led investors to believe it was a safe, suitable substitute for a money market fund. It was down less than 4% when this article published in ‘08. But ISTM the fund ended up losing a lot more before it was all over.
    [snip]
    "The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged Charles Schwab Investment Management (CSIM) and Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.) with making misleading statements regarding the Schwab YieldPlus Fund and failing to establish, maintain and enforce policies and procedures to prevent the misuse of material, nonpublic information. The SEC also charged CSIM and Schwab Investments with deviating from the YieldPlus fund's concentration policy without obtaining the required shareholder approval."
    "The SEC also filed a complaint in federal court against CSIM's former chief investment officer for fixed income Kimon Daifotis as well as Schwab official Randall Merk, who is an executive vice president at CS&Co. and was president of CSIM and a trustee of the YieldPlus and other Schwab funds. The SEC alleges that Daifotis and Merk committed fraud and other securities law violations in connection with the offer, sale and management of the YieldPlus Fund."
    "The YieldPlus Fund is an ultra-short bond fund that, at its peak in 2007, had $13.5 billion in assets and more than 200,000 accounts, making it the largest ultra-short bond fund in the category. The fund suffered a significant decline during the credit crisis of 2007 and 2008. Its assets fell from $13.5 billion to $1.8 billion during an eight-month period due to redemptions and declining asset values."
    Link
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    US index futures opening higher at the Asian open 1800 NYC time....hopium?
    EDIT: Probably, not looking like the green open will hold for long.
    EDIT AGAIN: Up again on rescue news, so .... *makes popcorn*
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    Andrew Ross Sorkin writes in NY Times DealBook:
    "So far, Silicon Valley Bank seems like an outlier, given its unique circumstances and unusual client base — it had very few typical retail customers, as JPMorgan’s Michael Cembalest wrote in a note to investors on Friday. But there is already nervousness about some other small and regional banks."
    "In the immediate term, the most pressing problem this presents is for Silicon Valley itself: Venture capital firms that used the bank may struggle to gain access to their money — and possibly that of their limited partners, including pension funds, that had forwarded money intended for investments. This, in turn, may make it hard to fund current and new investments — or to rescue other companies inside and outside their portfolios.
    DealBook is already hearing about secondary sales of private shares to fund both businesses and individuals."

    Link (paywalled)
  • Schwab...
    Schwab ran into problems in ‘08 with their “Yield Plus” ultra-short. Apparently they led investors to believe it was a safe, suitable substitute for a money market fund. It was down less than 4% when this article published in ‘08. But ISTM the fund ended up losing a lot more before it was all over.
    @Sven - ISTM Fidelity is privately owned. TRP would be the last house I would expect would run into trouble. But, who knows?
  • Which Funds Are Taking the Biggest Hit From Silicon Valley Bank and Other Bank Stocks
    What I find odd is that KRE, the regional bank ETF simply didn't move lower on Thursday and Friday. They were leaking oil beginning Monday, down over 16% for the week. Someone knew what was happening before the press and the public became aware.
  • Which Funds Are Taking the Biggest Hit From Silicon Valley Bank and Other Bank Stocks
    https://morningstar.com/articles/1143550/which-funds-are-taking-the-biggest-hit-on-silicon-valley-bank-and-other-bank-stocks
    It's one thing for a fund in general to hold bank stocks. It's another for an active fund with a manager to bet big on SVB. Did these managers not look at the bank's capital/balance sheet and see that it was heavily invested in long-term bonds in a rising rate environment, while also facing tech sector depositor withdrawals? In this regard, Diamond Hill Mid Cap, usually a careful risk-conscious shop, deserves to be dinged. As do, BBH and Sound Shore and Franklin Mutual. From the article:
    In [Diamond Hill Mid Cap's] shareholder commentary from the end of 2022, manager Chris Welch acknowledged the stock was facing difficulties. “Regional banks First Republic and SVB Financial were pressured amid a rising rate environment, which is weighing on net interest margins.”
    Welch singled out the unique position of Silicon Valley Bank. “SVB Financial faced additional headwinds given its exposure to the innovation economy, its primary area of focus—though we believe such an environment offers the company an opportunity to add tremendous value for its clients and cement its leadership position in a lucrative space,” he wrote.
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    Echoes from Europe...
    Excerpts from an article in The Guardian:
    The UK government is scrambling to secure an emergency deal to protect Britain’s tech and life sciences sectors from major losses after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), as financial markets braced for further volatility after the biggest bank failure since 2008.
    The prime minister, Rishi Sunak, and the chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, signalled on Sunday that they were exploring a range of options, including an emergency fund that could provide a cash lifeline to support startups, as bidders put their hat in the ring for a potential takeover of the UK subsidiary.
    Hunt warned that fledgling businesses across the tech and life sciences sector were at “serious risk” if deposits were wiped out by the collapse of SVB UK.
    The US treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, said on Sunday there would be no bailout for Silicon Valley Bank, but that the Biden administration was working closely with regulators to help depositors caught up in its collapse.
    UK authorities were understood to be considering a private bailout. Representatives of SVB’s UK subsidiary have reached out to lenders including NatWest, Barclays and Lloyds Banking Group to gauge interest in a potential takeover of the British operations.
    British clearing bank the Bank of London confirmed on Sunday night it had submitted a rescue bid for the UK arm, alongside a group of private equity firms. “Silicon Valley Bank cannot be allowed to fail given the vital community it serves,” said Bank of London’s chief executive, Anthony Watson.
  • Silicon Valley Bank: Greed and Stupidity Strike Again
    IT appears, as I posted elsewhere that SVB had not had a risk officer since Dec 2021. The last one resigned with all her stock. The CEO actively lobbied Fed to avoid being required to do a stress test. Exposed far far more than what is even "adventurous" to interest rate risk with all depositors from same industry therefore likely to all act at the same time.
    Begging his friends and long time customers, like Peter Thiel to "Stand by us as we have stood by you" CEO found out the hard way how much customer relationships matter to people like Thiel and in general in Silicon Valley.
    So assuming they sold everything they could to pay the depositors, the question is how big are the remaining accounts that have not been liquidated, and what they can get for the people, the relationships (?) etc
    I read their loans were only about 30% of assets. These are still probably good. Assume they had almost all of the rest of the deposits in their now gone bonds, and they sold them at even 70% of face value, this would imply they got 50% of total assets in sale and handed that out to depositors and then became insolvent.
    FDIC covered 9% I think so they still have 41% of pre crash depositors to make whole with the loans and whatever else they can dredge up
  • Silicon Valley Bank: Greed and Stupidity Strike Again
    "All crises have involved debt that, in one fashion or another, has become dangerously out of scale in relation to the underlying means of payment.” - John Kenneth Galbraith. It is the same story over and over again with each crash. Greed causes people to make leveraged bets to amplify returns on borrowed money and then at some point leveraged bets implode. If the problem was an unleveraged position failing, only the initial investor would lose their money, but when leverage is involved a chain reaction of borrowers and lenders also implode and the problem snowballs, especially as depositors/investors try to withdraw their money, but there is not enough money because of losses to pay them back. As another saying, goes, "If you owe the bank $100, that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem." This scenario has occurred repeatedly throughout financial history. It is the reason why enlightened economists demand regulation of the financial sector and a social safety net to deal with the inevitable dislocations capitalism creates via leverage. The question is here whether the existing safeguards such as the FDIC insurance system can contain the crash. It seems like they can from what I'm reading: https://nytimes.com/2023/03/11/technology/silicon-valley-bank-failure-lessons.html I think, or at least hope, the fallout will be temporary and limited.
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    More... from the WSJ:
    Updated March 12, 2023 4:09 pm ET
    In addition, regulators are considering more extraordinary measures such as deeming the failure of SVB to be a systemic risk to the financial system, people familiar with the matter said. That could give regulators more flexibility to backstop uninsured deposits.
    A U.S. plan that soothes nerves about access to uninsured deposits—most of the bank’s deposits are sizable enough that they don’t carry Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. protection—could tamp down the crisis and limit any impact on the economy as the Federal Reserve focuses on combating inflation by raising interest rates.
    But failing to swiftly clarify how SVB’s customers can access funds, make payroll and conduct business risks broader economic consequences and threatens to complicate the Fed’s monetary policy decisions.
    “I’ve been working all weekend with our banking regulators to design appropriate policies to address this situation,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in an interview on Face the Nation on CBS Sunday.
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    The primary clients of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) were technology startup firms.
    These firms were strapped for cash and started withdrawing money from SVB.
    To fund these redemptions, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio for a $1.8bn loss on Wednesday.
    Silicon Valley Bank disclosed plans to sell $2.25bn in common equity
    and convertible stock on Thursday to shore up its balance sheet.
    This effort collapsed and the stock for the bank's parent (SIVB) lost 60% that day.
    California's banking regulators shut down Silicon Valley Bank on Friday and put it into receivership
    under the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
    SVB did a poor job of matching assets to potential liabilities.
    It invested in longer-term bonds which suffered significant losses as the Federal Reserve raised rates.
    Under accounting rules, these bonds were classified as "held-to-maturity" securities.
    Although there were large losses, SVB didn't have to recognize them since the bonds were carried at cost.
    Regulators may consider changing the classification for bank's bond portfolios
    to "available for sale" which represents the market value.
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    Janet Yellen: NPR:
    Janet Yellen says the federal government won't bail out Silicon Valley Bank, will bail out depositors...
    March 12, 2023, 2:08 PM ET
    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says the U.S. government won't bail out Silicon Valley Bank as it did with other financial institutions during the 2008 financial crisis, but she noted that regulators are working to ensure people and businesses with money in the failed bank would be made whole.
    Personal comment: An interesting distinction, and one that I originally argued for in another thread.
    "The reforms that have been put in place means that we're not going to do that again," Yellen said when asked about a bailout during a Sunday appearance on CBS's Face the Nation.
    "But we are concerned about depositors and are focused on trying to meet their needs," she added.
    The fate of Silicon Valley Bank, or SVB, and its customers had been up in the air over the weekend, days after federal regulators took control of the institution following a "run" on the bank by depositors.
    Customers had been flooding the bank with requests to withdraw their money, and earlier last week SVB said it had to sell bonds at a steep loss in order to meet those requests. That announcement worsened the panic over SVB's financial situation and led to even more withdrawal attempts until regulators stepped in.
    The collapse of SVB marks one of the largest failures of an American bank since the 2008 global financial crisis.
    SVB had carved out a niche in the banking sector by lending to tech startups, but the recent financial problems facing the tech industry put a strain on the bank, and caused its stock price to tank.
    Yellen said that, despite the collapse of SVB, she believes the overall American banking system "is really safe and well-capitalized" and "resilient."
    The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said on Friday that all insured depositors would have full access to their insured funds no later than Monday morning. The agency also said it would pay uninsured depositors an "advance dividend" in the next week, and that depositors would be sent a "receivership certificate for the remaining amount of their uninsured funds."
    An independent federal agency, the FDIC doesn't use taxpayer money to insure deposits, but rather is funded through premiums paid by member banks and savings associations.
    Regulators in the United Kingdom were also working on a plan to ensure that customers of SVB's UK branch were paid.
    The bank's collapse has left tech companies and other SVB customers in limbo, and it's even caused headaches for others not directly connected to the bank, such as Etsy sellers who were told they may see delays in receiving payments because the online marketplace uses SVB to make some payments.
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    A very non scientific measure is how the normally non reactive, stay the course Bogelheads are reacting. On a day when the markets are down big time no Bogelhead would think of posting anything about it. They know that they would be blasted by the “stay the course
    “ group think. But since Thursday night at 11;40pm the “Silicon Valley Bank fails” thread now has 564 posts. I would say that the fear meter is redlined.
    You are right. I had taken the link off my favorites bar but went back today with the same curiosity. The long thread I found had the OP being belittled for simply asking about money markets on behalf of his mother (or aunt, I don't remember which).
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show
    Quick glance:
    Informative interview and Bill Hence laid out First Eagle strategy well.
    He previously managed Royce Small Cap Opportunity fund before co-managing this First Eagle fund (1.5 year old) with 2 other managers.
    FESAX is a NTF at Fidelity (most likely at Schwab).
    ER is at 1.42%. A bit high and there are alternatives with lower ERs
    https://fundresearch.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/summary/32008F226
  • How much fear is in the air about SVB and the greater implications?
    Per WaPo just now:
    "Federal authorities are seriously considering safeguarding all uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank, weighing an extraordinary intervention to prevent what they fear would be a panic in the U.S. financial system, according to three people with knowledge of the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private deliberations.
    Officials at the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation discussed the idea this weekend, the people said, with only hours to go before financial markets opened in Asia. White House officials have also studied the idea, per two separate people familiar with those discussions
    The plan would be among the potential policy responses if the government is unable to find a buyer for the failed bank. The FDIC began an auction process for SVB on Saturday and hoped to identify a winning bidder Sunday afternoon, with final bids expected by 2 p.m. ET, according to two people familiar with the matter."
    ... let's see. Asian markets and futures open in a little over 2 hours' time, so presumably there will be some type of announcement beforehand...?
    More @ https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/12/fed-fdic-discussing-backstop-to-make-svb-depositors-whole-and-stem-contagion-fears-source.html
  • SVB FINANCIAL CRISIS
    @LewisBraham
    Why did you jump subjects? Local news never did longform journalism of the sort we're discussing, at least not small papers, even in their postwar heyday (to the 1990s or a bit before). Newsday maybe, if we call that 'local'.
    Roger about their demise and vulture-capital evisceration, sometimes in that order. It's horrible. J-prof Dan Kennedy is an expert and historian in the field (also a successor to me at an alt-weekly looooong ago):
    https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/02/10/opinion/local-news-startups-are-overcoming-evils-corporate-chain-ownership/
    @linter, I don't know if you are involved in any way, but RS sure as hell has stepped up its investigative / political / digging game the last year or three. A real surprise.
    Your work on your great-aunt makes me think you might be at least a little interested in my slightly similar initiative (filmable bio-novel is the goal) of this grandfather:
    https://davidrmoran.wordpress.com/
    +++
    As I type, PK has just tweeted a smart succinct summary of SVB, 8 parts thus far, comparing it w Madoff affinity fraud in the crypto-bogo era:
    https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1634908696806592518
  • Only for the sake of peeking ahead, Sunday, March 19, .....If you're curious
    After 5 pm, CST for FINVIZ , and for Global Indices, as their markets open around the globe.

    Oh, darn it and I gave Bill Ray Valentine Friday off. (context FINVIZ 12:25PM PDT, I think)
    That's okay, and while Randolph is in the hospital, Mortimer is still around to turn the machines back on....