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Does Vanguard really think 2023 will be vastly better than 2022 ? If you look at the chart carefully, the breakdown is global allocation and not US only. Nevertheless the risk profile may be somewhat different, but not a significant improvement as the MarketWatch article implied. In addition, many details were left out from Vanguard.Relative to bonds and no market support in 2022; a 50/50 mix of a broad based U.S. equity index and a broad based U.S. bond index had a combined total return of -16.32 % for 2022. The indexes I used are VITPX and VBMPX ,which are inside a 529 college account.

https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/us-job-openings-remain-highly-elevated-at-10-46-millionUS companies added more jobs than expected in December, driven by small- and medium-sized businesses, and highlighting the resilience of labor demand that’s underpinning wage growth. Private payrolls increased 235,000 last month after an upwardly revised 182,000 in November, according to data from ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Stanford Digital Economy Lab. The figure exceeded all but one forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
Treasury yields spiked and US stock futures declined after the release.
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