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China’s economic growth has been gradually slowing. Here’s a five-year moving average of the country’s growth rate:
Basically, China has masked underlying imbalances by creating an immense housing bubble. And it’s hard to see how this ends well.
Rogoff and Yang also show both that housing prices in China are extremely high relative to incomes and that the real estate sector has become an incredibly large share of China’s economy.
None of this looks sustainable, which is why many observers worry that the debt problems of the giant property developer Evergrande are just the leading edge of a broader economic crisis.
China, which maintains controls on the flow of capital into and out of the country, isn’t deeply integrated with world financial markets. So the fall of Evergrande isn’t likely to provoke a global financial crisis in the same way that the fall of Lehman Brothers did in 2008. A Chinese slowdown would have some economic spillover via reduced Chinese demand, especially for raw materials. But in purely economic terms, the global economic risks from China’s problems don’t look all that large.
Which brokerage are you referring for the above. At Fidelity, it’s own funds have a 30 day holding requirement, a violation of which is taken seriously by Fidelity but never a redemption fees. At other brokerages I am aware of Fidelity funds are TF funds. Any insight?Yes-and you can sell amounts of Fidelity funds under 10k within 60 days without incurring early redemption transaction fees.
I pay "some" attention to what Cathie Woods thinks. But, she is just one perspective among many.Cathie Wood is fleeing. It it’s too hot for her I wouldn’t touch it.
Wall Street Giants Turning Into China Stock BullsBlackRock Inc. and UBS Group AG have turned positive on China’s beaten-down equities, citing investors’ growing comfort with Beijing’s crackdown and an improving earnings outlook.
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