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Fed Prepares to Skip June Rate Rise but Hike Later

FED will assessing more data on the economy (and that is appropriate given the slowing economy). WSJ is behind a paywall.
https://wsj.com/articles/fed-official-says-rate-pause-doesnt-signal-end-to-hikes-758041e5

Also CME Fedwatch has lowered rate hike probability from 66% to 25%. The next FOMC meeting is on June 13-14.
https://cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

Comments

  • Nick Timiraos of WSJ apparently has inside track within the Fed.
  • edited June 2023
    Economic indicators are mixed right now. “Skip” is NOT the same as a pause then cutting rates as they made that distinction. Real interesting on trying to read the tea leaves and the possibility of US defaulting.
  • Maybe the Fed all looked at each other and said something like "let's not do anything right now that could remotely blame us for affecting the debt ceiling vote".
  • "So, what happens now to the Fed skip/pause?" - I asked Nick T.
    https://twitter.com/YBB_Finance/status/1664615056082968576
  • I believe the Fed would not raise overnight fed funds rates. It will only exacerbate the bank deposit outflows and cause further strain on the banking system.
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