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AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/4/25

yogibearbullyogibearbull
in Other Investing
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/4/25
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (41.4%, high) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (25.9%, below average); bullish remained the middle sentiment (32.7%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -8.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Tariffs, budget, jobs, inflation, recession, Fed, debt, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (171+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+10 weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 67.85% (positive). Gold-miners rallied. Private sector jobs were weak (ADP). Slow progress on trade deals. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Sentiments are CONTRARIAN indicators.
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/2023/thread

Comments

  • CrashCrash
    Thank you. Duly noted: CONTRARIAN.
  • yogibearbullyogibearbull
    edited June 6
    Posters here don't need the reminder that sentiment indicators are contrarian.

    I used to mention it in 2021-2022, but then skipped it.

    But as these posts now are also at Facebook, X/Twitter, Bluesky, LinkedIn, I restored this caution in March 2025 in view of its wider audience.

    Sentients shouldn't be relied on as sole criteria for investment decisions.

    Personally, if I am going to sell something, I may wait for good sentiments; if I am going to buy something, I may wait for poor sentiments.

    Corollary is that I avoid buying when sentiment is too good and avoid selling when sentiment to too poor.
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