Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
The US mortality rate is consistent with the figure that I calculated so that's probably fairly reliable. Let's hope that our government's COVID data is more accurate than it's COL inflation figures.
Using a few numbers from JohnN's link, I come up with the following death rates, using the reported "Total Cases" and "Total Deaths".
Now we all know that reported numbers in situations like this are typically tentative and subject to significant c…
"No-one could have forecasted (sic) this catastrophe. No, not even me."
@Simon: Perhaps not. But those of us who have been around awhile and paid attention were well aware that it was just a matter of time until something came along to cause this. …
Yes. There's room for plenty of upside, but this one's going to be very unstable until we really get a decent fix on COVID and it's aftermath. Absolutely great opportunity for younger investors.
Amazon tries to keep pretty much a "just-in-time" inventory. They're likely to run out of stuff to sell before they run out of customers.
Speaking of that sort of thing, yesterday I thought that it might be a good idea to supplement our full-size u…
I was the San Francisco radio technician assigned to 911 and police dispatch in 1989. Quite an evening. I still have the "We did fine in '89" 911 t-shirt, and a couple of plaques from the police chief and the mayor. Yes, the city is actually much qu…
A pic from SF, courtesy of the San Francisco Chronicle:
North Beach:
And the San Francisco Chronicle newsroom:
For the first time since the Civil War the Chronicle's newsroom is completely empty. The staffers are all working from home to maintain…
"It is hard to imagine closing down New York City or any metropolitan cities in Europe for several weeks."
I don't know, @Sven. Here in SF we live one block from a major retail commercial and public transit (tramcars and buses) street, similar to a…
See, you just don't get it. Mitch and the boys are NOT there to have the government help anyone other than those who pay them off. They are there to STOP the government from interfering with free enterprise, or lord help them, "giving away" taxpayer…
Maybe lots more pain for 2 -4 wks, at least until numbers covid19 stabilize or go down at least usa/eu...severe contractions globally at least short terms
There was a time when I would have said something like "a firm grasp of the obvious". But give…
Interesting situation. This fellow essentially mirrored exactly the play that Enron and the Koch brothers made when they cut off the critical supply of electricity to California back in 2000. But if you're an ardent libertarian, it's all totally leg…
When I checked the S&P futures at Finvis Futures earlier today the S&P was showing up 8% & change. Now it's showing down about -5%. Obviously a convincing vote of confidence in today's performance by our brilliant executive branch tweete…
Well, actual testing would involve a lot of that science stuff, and we're really not too keen on that line of thought. We actually are a lot more comfortable with faith-based, or even better, tweet-based statistics.