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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • David Snowball's September Commentary
    David, outstanding commentary. So much to read and study. Thank you.
    I don't know but I would think emerging markets equities and bonds are closely correlated? Also, ODMAX which is closed to new investors, would be on that list if opened.
  • Wasatch vs Grandeur Peak
    Reply to @OregonDan:
    I am buying that opening position today in (GPROX). While I have a even split with equities domestic/International in my portfolio I am heavy EM with (MAPTX) (SFGIX) (ODMAX) (WAEMX) and now (GPROX).
    This is looking long term especially in my ROTH. At this point I do not need this fund. When retired this will be my Global small cap paired with (ARTGX).
    Art
  • Favorite Mutual Funds in each class?
    At a penny each, here is my two cents: (pigeonholed in a M* box of course)
    LG: SEQUX, RWGFX
    LB: YACKX, FMIHX
    LV: GOODX, FAIRX
    MG: POAGX, AKREX
    MB: CHTTX, WEHIX
    MV: ARTQX, FAAFX
    SG: BCSIX, AUMIX
    SB: FSCRX, HSCSX
    SV: FCPVX, WSCVX
    International: ARTKX, OAKIX
    Emerging Markets: ODMAX, WAEMX
    L/S: MFLDX, BPLEX
    *Subject to Change Hourly
  • Favorite Mutual Funds in each class?
    How about what funds I have, I guess they are my favorites.
    Art
    LG
    LB
    LV-American Funds American Mutual (AMRMX)
    MG
    MB-Aston/Fairpointe Midcap (CHTTX)
    MV
    SG-Buffalo Emerging Opportunities (BUFOX)
    SB
    SV-Allianz NFJ Small Cap Value (PCVAX)
    International-Oakmark Int (OARIX)
    Emerging Markets-Oppenheimer Dev Markets (ODMAX), Matthews Pacific Tiger(MAPTX)
    L/S-Marketfield (MFLDX)
    FPA Crescent(FPACX) and IVA Worldwide (IVWIX) are keepers.
  • Scott - Where's your thread "Where are you investing now"?
    ODMAX has fabulous record but it has close to 30B assets.
    Moreover, quite a few mgr changes happend in the last 10 years or so.
    Do we think that its performance would sustain going forward ?
  • Scott - Where's your thread "Where are you investing now"?
    AEMGX has done better than the EM index EEM but poorer than ODMAX, closed now.
    image
  • Scott - Where's your thread "Where are you investing now"?
    Reply to @slick: Ya, got into ODVYX before closing in my Wells account but missed it in my Fido rollover :(
    Seems like all the good EM funds closed this past year; ABEMX, HEMZX, ODMAX. Not confident in any of the available funds/managers in the space so thinking of splitting exposure to SFGIX, GPROX, & MPACX evenly at 4% each.
    I agree. PJP is good, you must have some serious gains in that one. Would have bought it but FBIOX was NTF.
  • Retirement Portpolio - pls. provide your critique
    Thanks Tony!
    Portfolio spread across 4 accounts at both V'rd and TDA.
    If I sell VHGEX, I want to replace it with a value oriented fund at V'rd. This is at V'rd with no brokerage attached to it. My high conviction fund at V'rd is VDIGX but I already hold 10% in it. I am ok with VEIPX but if I buy it, I have to increase international elsewhere.
    PRSNX - I opened a thread about in the past (not sure here or at M*). It's sharpe ratio and alpha were on par with some of the much discussed multi-sector funds because it takes less risk and less return compared to them. If bonds are meant for diversification and act as ballast, is it not a good idea to hold such funds rather than a fund like LSBRX. Anyway, I will reevaluate it.
    MFCFX - Opened a thread here about mgr change. It is doing ok even after mgr change. I will give it some more time as Marsico team should be working with much more motivation to prove themselves again considering the recent setbacks. Good suggestion on replacements, will keep in mind.
    HSFNX - Long term mgr, very good track record. Timing worked well but should have bought in early 2009. This is not for long term, invested in it on gut feeling and did well. Have to find when to exit.
    PCRIX - You brought a very good point. I sold VIPSX to move to V'rd short term infla. fund but did not pay attention to this fund holding TIPS. Bought for long term and want to keep it at at 5%, either alone or in combo with a natural resource fund.
    AEMGX - when I started investing funds in 2005, there were few EM funds, the popular ones then were PRMSX, ODMAX,SSEMX, VEIEX, and Acadian. Options many more these days with o many new funds and ETFs. I held both PRMSX (growth) and SSEMX (blend) in the past before settling with AEMGX. It is a value fund in EM space and uses quant method to select stocks, and has a very good long term record. Very volatile and lost a lot in 2008 but my entry was good, right at the bottom in 3/2009. Actually tempted to go 100% stocks during various times in late 2008 and early 2009 based on my gut feeling and what Oildog (probably the best poster I came across at M* for his depth of knowledge and sage advice) was doing then, but did not and I regret that retrospectively.
    ARIVX - Invested recently, will give more time; will check other opions. I want to invest in ARTWX just for the fact that a new fund and good mgr works great, esp. In bull markets but I already have GPGOX, same space (global smallcap growth). Probably invest for a trade and sell it later but the problem is TDA has 6 month holding resrtiction
    Thanks again.
  • Want a dividend focused MF with REIT'S,MLP's and Preferred stock a focus?
    If one wanted MLP's in their portfolio this is one way. Another way would be infrastructure funds such as (TOLSX) and (NMFIX)
    I also look at 2008 performance but it is not the only criteria I use.There are many funds with huge drops in 2008 that are being recommended on this site now and that I own. Including Oakmark Int.(OAKIX), Oppenheimer Dev. Markets(ODMAX) and Wasatch EM Markets SC(WAEMX). All 3 of these were 40+ drops.
    I look at 3 year standard deviation and performance and balance that with the loss in 2008 along with other criteria. I tend to like funds with <75 stocks in portfolio and I have preferred small/mid caps over large for a while now.
    Past performance is no guarantee of future performance goes both ways. Just sayin...
    Art
  • Taking profits vs staying long
    Sven
    I also noticed that EM funds are lagging of late so I have added to (ODMAX). The only fund I have that is not at or near a 52 week high is Janus Overseas(JIGFX) which is about 10% off its 52 week high. I am sure this is do to it's large EM exposure and stock picking. Since this is in my 401 I may double up on this one and take a chance since the cash is not earning much %.
    I have a wishlist of funds to buy that exceeed my monies. Be patient grasshopper.
    Art
  • Your Top choice for each Fund Category
    mrc70, Here goes....
    Art
    U.S.-LCG-Touchstone Sands Capital(PTSGX)
    U.S.-SC/MC-Allianz NFJ Small Cap(PCVAX) dividend paying stocks only
    U.S.LCV--Vanguard Dividend Growth(VDIGX)
    Int. L.C.-Oakmark Int(OARIX)
    Int. SC-No fund stands out to me.
    Pacific Asia/Ex. Japan-Matthews(MAPTX)
    Allocation-FPA Crescent(FPACX)
    Bond-Payden Global Fixed Income(PYGFX) flexible and steady.
    Sector-do not use this category.
    Alternative-No favorite yet but I have Marketfield(MFLDX)
    World Stock-No fund yet but looking at Artisan Global Equity(ARTHX)
    Emerging Markets-Nothing stands out to me. Use (ODMAX) and (WAEMX).
  • Portfolios-Your top 3 holdings?
    I thought about using the new poll feature but this does not require "voting". My question is "What are your top 3 holdings, by percentage, in your retirement accounts? Why you ask since your age and other things may have a bearing on your choices. Let's just say I am curious. Mine are:
    Pimco Total Return,PTTDX-18%
    Allianz NFJ Small Cap Value-PCVAX-11%
    Oppenheimer Developing Markets-ODMAX-10%
    Art
  • Passive Portfolios Work
    Dear MJG,
    I am really grateful for this discussion. However, the question which I asked still remains:
    It is true that an AVERAGE active managed fund is doomed to loose the competition to an AVERAGE index fund or ETF, especially after taxes.
    But that is where statistical methods should be applied very accurately. We are not investing in AVERAGE funds, we are trying to pick the best. It is indeed true that Bill Gross made mistakes, just as each of us. But it is equally true that his fund PTTRX turned $10 into $78 since inception in 1987, whereas the Vanguard Total Bond Index fund at the same time turned $10 into $56. This winning of PTTRX continued, with minor deviations, during the last 25 years, which was long enough for people to take notice. That is why PIMCO Total Return fund has 285 billion under management, whereas Vanguard Total Bond Market Index has only 18 billion. People noticed and made a smart move.
    The same is true for the best emerging markets fund, ODMAX. SInce inception, in 1996, it turned $10 into $94. Meanwhile Fidelity fund FEMKX during the same time turned $10 into $16. Big, astonishing difference! That is why ODMAX manages 32 billion, despite its 5.75% load, whereas AUM at FEMKX is 3 billion. People took a notice and made a smart decision.
    Thus, just as philpill (and Disraeli), I wonder how should we use statistics? Should we compare index funds with average actively managed funds? Should we instead give larger weight to the fund with greater AUM? Or to better performers? This would be much more informative, but also misleading because best funds often close, trying to restrict their AUM. Any other suggestions?
    This is one of the reasons why this debate still continues, despite convincing arguments in favor of passive management: The total number of funds grows exponentially, and depending on the way one slices this ever growing pie, one can prove almost anything one wants. And it is a pity, because it would be great to have a single well established rule.
    But I absolutely agree that this optimization procedure is very hard to master and maintain, especially when one actively works, and then it becomes even more difficult when one gets older.
    Best wishes
    Andrei
  • Equity Side of Portfolio Now in Rebalance Mode ... Reducing Equity
    Hi Robert,
    I am not sure exactly how to respond to your question … but, here is my comment on positioning and a look at the holdings within my portfolio.
    I own a lot of stuff in my well diversified portfolio. I like to think of it from this perspective. Picture a clock face that has a twelve hour period. As the clocks hands move they sweep through a time period and during this time sweep each hour becomes in fashion so to speak while the others are not. To me this is much like investing as at certain times certain assets are in more fashion than others as the markets cycle. With computerized trading the fashion asset can quickly become the darling, or step child, of the bunch for no apparent reason other that a computer sniffed out movement and the other computers follow suite and bid the price of this asset upward or downward. So what one perceives may or may not become an in fashion asset. That is why I own a great number of funds that play many different angles in many asset classes and some that can move most anywhere they are finding value.
    With this, below is a list of funds that I own in my taxable account, my IRA account, my 401k account and my health savings account.
    Fixed Income: LIGRX, LALDX, NEFRX, THIFX, STIAX and TPINX
    Hybrid Income: CAPAX, FKINX, NEFZX, ISFAX, PASAX and PGBAX
    Growth & Income, Global Equity: CWGIX, DEQAX and EADIX
    Growth & Income, Global Hybrid: CABIX, IGPAX and TIBAX
    Growth & Income, Domestic Equity: INUTX, SVAAX, SPQAX, FDSAX, ANCFX and NBHAX
    Growth & Income, Domestic Hybrid: AZNAX, DDIAX, FRINX, AMECX, JPVAX, LABFX, LWSAX and ABALX
    Growth, Int’l and Global: PGROX, ANWPX, THOAX, NEWFX, ODMAX
    Growth, Domestic Large/Mid: VADAX, IACLX, AGTHX and SPECX
    Growth, Domestic Small/Mid: PCVAX, PMDAX, IIVAX, and KSDVX
    Growth, Specialty: JCRAX, LPEFX, MFLDX, PAUAX, WASAX and CTFAX
    Under Review: SDUAX, PONAX, PIXAX, PCKAX, PQIZX, UTLAX, TOLLX, MMUFX, IBALX, FBLAX, JALMX, JDBAX, CREAX, KDSAX and THDAX
    I hope this peek at my holdings and the ones that I have under review for possible purchase provides you with some insight that you might have been looking for.
    Skeeter
  • Schwab: Dead End on Emerging Markets?
    In the current thread: "Choosing the Right Asset Class in Emerging Markets: Why it Matters", there are a fair number of recommendations by MFO posters. I've been trying to see if any of these are available through Schwab, but so far, it seems not.
    ODMAX: Institutional Investors Only
    ODVYX: Institutional Investors Only
    ODVNX: Trust Company Customers Only
    WAEMX: Closed to new investors
    GTDYX: Available to Existing Shareholders
    LZOEX: Available to Existing Shareholders
    FNMIX: Available, with Transaction Fee: $76
    Evidently not easy to find a good EM fund with NTF via Schwab.
  • Choosing the Right Asset Class in Emerging Markets: Why it Matters
    Reply to @Sven: This is my 401k, but I don't believe that matters. My 401k is through TRP and gives me the option of using something called "TradeLink". TradeLink gives me the option to purchase any of the 1000's of funds TRP carries.
    I don't know if this would be true for you, but what I found about TRP is their 'available fund search' is poor. Through TRP, I use a search option called Gateway that supposedly gives the fund options available. What I found is this Gateway search does not always give all the funds available. I've asked TRP about that in the past and they acknowledged the problem and said if you don't see a fund you are looking for, call their help line to find out for sure.
    What I do when I see a fund I want to investigate in TRP; I go to M* and start to type in the name in the 'quote' box. For instance if you type Oppenheimer Developing Markets, it will show you all the share types available, ODMAX, ODVYX, ODVNX, ect... as you type. I'll then go into my TRP account and start a purchase request with the fund names. One of them will generally move forward and show it is available in TRP for purchase - even though it did not show up in their search engine. I have purchased ODVYX even though I did not find it in their Gateway search engine - transfer fee free by the way.
    Don't know if that helps you any Sven, but bottom line is I don't trust the TRP search.
  • Choosing the Right Asset Class in Emerging Markets: Why it Matters
    ODMAX is available at NAV on a number of platforms. If it is not available on yours, I would suggest Invesco GTDYX, Lazard LZOEX. And Wasatch WAEMX should be available without commission wherever it is traded. Hope this helps.
  • Choosing the Right Asset Class in Emerging Markets: Why it Matters
    We have observed that really good managers/shops can and have done much better than EM index funds. Yeah, the index funds will almost always have lower expenses. But ODMAX, for example, even with a manager change a few years ago, continues to out-perform the EM index, 8 of 10 years, as well as 1, 3, 5-year periods. In the case of EM stocks, being tied to the index is not necessarily a good thing. And inefficiency is even more apparent in EM small caps, where WAEMX is way ahead of the EM index. This is not to say that there are not some real stinkers among the actively-managed EM funds. Pioneer, DWS, Putnam, and many others have managed to put a new meaning to the word ugly.