10-Year CDs @ 4% On the Schwab CD quote page, under New Issues, they organize the CDs by term (1 month, 3 month, 6 month, 9 month, 1 year, 18 months, 2 years........), and the listings are only for FDIC insured banks. For each Bank listed, they then give a clear statement of the coupon interest rate it is paying, the frequency of interest rate payments, and what the Maturity date is for the CD. Again, I discussed all of these details in conference calls with Schwab representatives, and the subject of my call was to ensure there is no difference between CDs you buy directly from a bank, compared to CDs you buy from the banks through the brokerage. I am confident that that information is correct. However, I did not do additional extensive research on each bank to determine if they are "financially shaky banks", to use your terminology. I will say that your statement above, about Brokered CDs fluctuating in value according to bid/ask is accurate, and in my conference calls with Schwab, they did not acknowledge that difference from CDs offered directly from banks. When I monitored my CDs in my account, I did see those daily values changing very frequently, and that was a surprise to me. I called my regional Schwab representative back, she acknowledged that "they could have done a better job with that aspect of the description brokerage CDs", but she then connected me with the CD office at Schwab, who assured me that those fluctuating daily values are "just paper values", and if I held those CDs to maturity, I would get all the coupon interest accurately quoted on their CD brokerage page, and on the maturity date I would have CD amount distributed back into my account cash account. I do believe that there are some differences in the penalties, for early selling of the CDs, between brokerage bought CDs and Banks, so you need to be fully aware of those penalty differences if you have any plans on doing that.
10-Year CDs @ 4% Thank you for the update
@dtconroe. I also buy from Schwab and what you state has been my understanding over the
years. Schwab clearly states that all banks on their new issue list are covered by FDIC. Because all the banks listed are FDIC insured, how big or small the bank is or where it is located hasn't been a concern to me. I hope that is not a naïve view.
10-Year CDs @ 4% Local CU here (Hickam FCU, Oahu) offers 0.85% interest rate on a 60-month CD. And to get that, you must tie-up $200k. That's just a bad joke. Navy FCU--- my other one--- wants you to let them hold your money for SEVEN years in order to get 3.15% from them. No, thanks.
10-Year CDs @ 4% Everyone will put their on spin and expectations on this bear market, strong probability of becoming a recession. For me, I am 74, and 9 years into retirement. My focus is to preserve my accumulated assets, and to do my best to make a positive return in this tough market. I exited the market several months, with a slight YTD loss--less than 1% and have been in money market funds. I am now adding shorter term CDs to my portfolio, to ensure I will finish with a positive total return by year end. My focus is on 6 to 9 month CDs, which have been going up in interest return in the past month. I am expecting shorter term CD interest rates to rise significantly by the end of the year--if I am correct, I will look at some laddering for 2023, but if I am wrong and this bear market/possible recession is shorter than I have predicted, then hopefully I can catch some of the rebound and maybe more stability in investing. My current, imperfect opinion, is that 2022 will not improve for the remainder of the year, and 2023 will not start off well--I may very well be wrong, but I think the Feds will continue raising interest rates to try to beat down inflation, oil supply will struggle for the rest of the year, and we will start seeing unemployment creep up. All in all, I would prefer the safety of CDs until I see more positive signs that this bear market is over.
PREMX / Issue? Owned PREMX
years ago, glad I'm not in anymore. I often look at it for fun and noticed what
@hank has noticed. I compare(d) it to FNMIX--- which always did a bit better, back when. But FNMIX is in the crapper, too.
Importance of Consecutive 90% Down Days ???? Over the past month,
losses among sectors have been fairly uniform. Overweight investments in the energy and utilities sectors mitigated my overall YTD stock market losses until then with the past week hurting my portfolio the most. It appears to me the stock market decline has recently entered a new, more generalized selling phase as it moves towards it's eventual bottom. So, I suspect the 90% down days information at the start of this thread represents more than random event -- particularly if it truly spans almost 100
years of data. Every cycle is different and the recent Fed activism adds a new wrinkle. But, even so, I wonder if history could provide useful information to those who are able to read it.
Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show “Mary Ellen has 43 years of investment experience managing a broad range of fixed income portfolios. She is responsible for the formulation of fixed income strategy as well as the development and implementation of all fixed income asset management services. Mary Ellen serves on the board of Baird Financial Group, is President of the Baird Funds and is chair of the Baird Diversity Steering Committee.” SourceCurrently age 64. Must have begun managing money at 21. The
Bond Bull began 2
years later.
2022 YTD Damage Another possibility is BRUFX (Bruce fund). Like DODBX its stock holdings are large value, while PRWCX/TRAIX is large growth. But while DODBX has a 49% turnover, Bruce is only 4%. So in a non-tax-deferred account your after tax return is higher with BRUFX than with DODBX (9.54% vs 9.08% average over last 3 years and 7.62% vs. 6.97% average over 5 yrs. ), but 1 and 10 yrs DODBX did better.) I think that TRAIX and BRUFX complement each other. You need to buy Bruce directly from them, but it is easier to hold as it is considerably less volatile (3 yr beta of 0.95 vs 1.34 for DODBX and 1.04 for the T. Rowe Price offerings.). Bruce's site is www.thebrucefund.com
