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1. I'm waiting to read the magic words.strategists are rethinking what normal looks like for today’s market.
Bank of America equity strategist Savita Subramanian is among those making the case.
“Perhaps we should anchor to today’s multiples as the new normal rather than expecting mean reversion to a bygone era,”
/snip
Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, told Yahoo Finance that while valuations remain elevated compared to long-term averages, they look more justifiable when measured against the past five years — a stretch marked by megacap leadership and strong fundamentals.
“Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 is trading at roughly a 40% premium to its long-term average on forward estimates,” he said. “But on a five-year basis, when mega-cap tech began to dominate market cap and earnings growth, that premium shrinks to a high single-digit range.”
Long-term care is extremely costly to pay for over the years, and when you finally need it, you often face loopholes and delayed payments. Most people can’t afford it, and many who can don’t really need it because they already have sufficient funds.I know why I don't' spend it down. I live comfortably and do mostly what I want but LTC for 2 people can go through a sizable nest egg pretty damn fast. Two in LTC could be $200k+/year!!
This analysis would seem to also apply to delaying SS benefits. With a commercial COLA annuity, the investor is accepting lower monthly payments at the start in exchange for higher (adjusted) payments later. With delayed SS, the investor is accepting even lower zero monthly payments for four years in exchange for higher payments once SS starts.The expected benefit of including the COLA is negative. This is primarily because the retiree has to deplete the portfolio faster earlier in retirement for the annuity with the COLA due to the lower initial payment. The portfolio has a relatively higher return, which benefits the retiree as well. The COLA does the best only when inflation is relatively low and life expectancies are notably longer.
Core has different meanings to different investors.I've taken a careful look at CBLDX but like Observant1 don't feel it is good in a core position. Rather, I could use it to stretch risk in my near-cash (0-5 year) sleeve. For that satellite role I find it a close call.
That Hartford fund has more derivatives, and what-not, than the PIMCO fund. That's quite an achievement. :-DSo I queried MFO P with my morning coffee, because I like queries. Here is what I came up with:
Basic Info
• Asset Universe: Mutual Funds
• SubType: Bond
• Age, years: 10+
Index? No Index Funds
More Basic Info
• Share Class: All Classes (Note: This option takes longer to load, initially.)
• Fund of Funds? No Fund of Funds
More Risk Metrics
• DSDEV Rating: 1 - 2 Below Average
• Down Rating (In Type): 1 - 2 Bottom Quintile
Purchase Info
• Expense Ratio (ER), %/yr: 1.00 or Less
Bond Info
• Quality: BBB or Better
• Junk Plus Non-Rated: 20% or Less
• Duration: 6 Years or Less
• Effective Duration: 6 Years or Less
I set the time period from 202112. There were few results over three years of effective duration, which is not too surprising given the environment we have been in. Here they are by duration length, then lowest ER of the fund without regard to purchase conditions: FIJEX, PGBIX, SNGVX, VCFIX. HWDVX, FPNIX.
When I looked at the results for the last twelve months there were no funds with a duration over 2.3. It has been a bumpy flight.
So then I dialed out to ten years and ended up with PGBIX, SNGVX, HWDVX, and FPNIX.
I might try dialing up the risk factor a little later today, but I think this post has gone on long enough.
Thanks, WABAC.
You've given me lots of homework to do!
So I queried MFO P with my morning coffee, because I like queries. Here is what I came up with:
Basic Info
• Asset Universe: Mutual Funds
• SubType: Bond
• Age, years: 10+
Index? No Index Funds
More Basic Info
• Share Class: All Classes (Note: This option takes longer to load, initially.)
• Fund of Funds? No Fund of Funds
More Risk Metrics
• DSDEV Rating: 1 - 2 Below Average
• Down Rating (In Type): 1 - 2 Bottom Quintile
Purchase Info
• Expense Ratio (ER), %/yr: 1.00 or Less
Bond Info
• Quality: BBB or Better
• Junk Plus Non-Rated: 20% or Less
• Duration: 6 Years or Less
• Effective Duration: 6 Years or Less
I set the time period from 202112. There were few results over three years of effective duration, which is not too surprising given the environment we have been in. Here they are by duration length, then lowest ER of the fund without regard to purchase conditions: FIJEX, PGBIX, SNGVX, VCFIX. HWDVX, FPNIX.
When I looked at the results for the last twelve months there were no funds with a duration over 2.3. It has been a bumpy flight.
So then I dialed out to ten years and ended up with PGBIX, SNGVX, HWDVX, and FPNIX.
I might try dialing up the risk factor a little later today, but I think this post has gone on long enough.
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