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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Plain-Vanilla S&P 500 Index Funds Are Out. Here’s What In. (Barrons)
    Look at equal-weight funds - SP500 RSP, tech RSPT, energy RSPG, Nasdaq 100 QQEW, etc.
    There are equal-weight versions of most sector ETFs.
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/1097/thread
  • Plain-Vanilla S&P 500 Index Funds Are Out. Here’s What In. (Barrons)
    ”Much of last year’s 26% gain in the SPDR S&P 500 exchange-traded fund was due to the stellar performance of the Magnificent Seven —the mostly tech-stock behemoths that are the index’s biggest holdings. … " (taken from @hank post above)
    That concerns me as well at this time inasmuch as 30% of the S&P's valuation is in just those 7 stocks. Seems nuts! Or at least due for a correction at some point but I don't know when.
    Anyway it has caused me to look at other stocks outside those 7 and in the past 2 weeks I have picked up shares of some out-of-favor blue chips that have been hard-kicked to the curb recently (ADM, MMM & PFE). They will remain on short leashes for the foreseeable future.
    Otherwise I continue to look for opportunities in different ETF's I currently own. All seem to be hanging around their 52-wk highs and I'm not confident enough to think that they will continue to go higher.
  • M* JR: Beta is Back
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/beta-isnt-dead
    My comments from Twitter LINK
    Interesting take on #Beta.
    Significance of early work on #MPT was its application of #Statistics to investments. Slope ("beta") & intercept ("alpha) of #LinearRegression were already ancient concepts then.
    Now they are commonly available tools. #Morningstar won't exist without such tools.
    Sharpe's claim to fame is the #SharpeRatio that interestingly doesn't depend on MPT - #StandardDeviation can be found directly (& is more stable than beta).
  • bond funds for taxable accounts?
    The "king" of bonds, Gundlach, and other "experts" made bad predictions about rates and why I don't invest based on predictions and hope.
    I own funds that have done well lately.
    BTW, the Fed controls the short term rate, but markets control the longer term.
    The 10 year may be at 3.5-4% for the next 6 months and that's not a big decrease.
  • The Week in Charts | Charlie Bilello
    The Week in Charts (01/28/24)
    The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
    00:00 Intro
    00:17 What Tends to Follow All-Time Highs?
    05:15 Will Small Caps Have Their Day in the Sun?
    10:28 New Member of the Trillion Dollar Club
    17:17 Tesla and Mr. Market
    24:40 Netflix Comeback
    27:32 King Morgan
    29:08 Homebuilder Adaptation
    32:14 Expansion Continues
    37:23 China's Plunge Protection?
    41:21 Money Supply Reversal
    43:11 Cooling Inflation
    Video
    Blog
  • Short Jim Cramer (SJIM) Shutting Down
    That such a fund existed is proof that there are far too many ETFs available. Good riddance.
    ”There’s a sucker born …
    But - ISTM Cramer got the last laugh here. The fund has lost 15% from inception.
  • Plain-Vanilla S&P 500 Index Funds Are Out. Here’s What In. (Barrons)
    ”Much of last year’s 26% gain in the SPDR S&P 500 exchange-traded fund was due to the stellar performance of the Magnificent Seven —the mostly tech-stock behemoths that are the index’s biggest holdings. … Equal-weight strategies take a democratic view of the market, giving equal weight to each component. Reshuffling the S&P 500 that way relegates each company to a 0.2% slice of the index, tilting it to value-oriented and mid-to-smaller-cap stocks and away from large-cap growth.”
    Excerpt from Barron’s / January 29
    Article by Debbie Carlson
    Barron’s - Current Issue (Subscription may be required, but give link a try.)
  • bond funds for taxable accounts?
    Hard to see why the Fed would cut rates if the economy continues to perk along. If they're cutting rates methinks it would be because of a nasty landing.
    Long article that confirms my bias opinion at the link. ;)
  • Short Jim Cramer (SJIM) Shutting Down
    ”The Inverse Cramer Tracker ETF (ticker SJIM), a fund that aimed to short stocks recommended by the bombastic TV personality, is poised to join its bullish sibling on the ETF scrapheap, it was announced Thursday. SJIM will stop trading Feb. 13, according to a press release. SJIM is closing five months after Tuttle Capital Management’s Long Cramer Tracker ETF (LJIM) was shuttered, with that fund — which bought the stocks Cramer recommended — garnering even fewer assets.  The product has managed to attract just $2.4 million in assets since its launch in March 2023. The inverse fund has lost 15% on a total return basis since its launch.”
    First Reported by Bloomberg
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jim-cramer-etfs-history-closure-173003904.html
  • Two fund reorganizations at Virtus Opportunities Trust
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1005020/000093041324000384/c107865_497.htm
    Virtus Vontobel Foreign Opportunities Fund and
    Virtus Vontobel Global Opportunities Fund
    497 1 c107865_497.htm
    Virtus Vontobel Foreign Opportunities Fund and
    Virtus Vontobel Global Opportunities Fund (the “Funds”),
    each a series of Virtus Opportunities Trust
    Supplement dated January 29, 2024, to the Summary Prospectus and
    the Virtus Opportunities Trust Statutory Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information (“SAI”)
    pertaining to the Funds, each dated January 29, 2024
    IMPORTANT NOTICE TO INVESTORS
    As previously announced, the Board of Trustees of Virtus Opportunities Trust approved the merger of Virtus Vontobel Foreign Opportunities Fund with and into Virtus SGA International Growth Fund, a series of Virtus Asset Trust, and approved the merger of Virtus Vontobel Global Opportunities Fund with and into Virtus SGA Global Growth Fund, a series of Virtus Equity Trust, on or about March 8, 2024. At that time, neither the Funds’ Summary Prospectuses, nor references to the Funds in the Virtus Opportunities Trust Statutory Prospectus and SAI will be valid. Shareholders should consult the prospectuses for the Virtus SGA International Growth Fund and Virtus SGA Global Growth Fund for information about those funds.
    Investors should retain this supplement with the Prospectuses and
    Statement of Additional Information for future reference.
    VOT 8020/Vontobel Mergers (1/24)
  • bond funds for taxable accounts?
    The Nov-Dec huge performance is over.
    YTD is what counts now. My "gamble" right now is on funds with low SD + bigger yield, think 8+%, and excellent performance YTD.
    There are 4 funds on my short list, I own 2.
    https://schrts.co/TeIaWmPu
    Definitely not PIMIX and its higher SD and lower yield. I used to own PIMIX at 50+% for years until 01/2018. The magic has been gone since then. For investors who hold, I prefer RCTIX.
  • Someone maybe help me parse this stuff? SEVN
    @Crash. We all know you are into your PSTL but according to Portfolio Visualizer it has a CAGR of 1.65 % 1/20 thru 12/23. It also has a higher standard dev than the S&P 500 as well as a higher Max Drawdown. What’s the attraction?
    I confess that I never have used a portfolio visualizer. As for the CAGR: that is definitely food for thought. It shows a stinky poopy RoR, true. I must chew and digest your remark. But we are close enough to the next dividend so that I don't want to bail on it right away. You do indeed leave me doubting whether I should remain invested in PSTL. And yet, I look at the numbers and the stars on Stock Rover, and it looks like a great prospect. The P/E is not the best metric to look at when it comes to Real Estate. Thank you. :)
    I chose it just to have some R.E. in the portfolio.
  • Someone maybe help me parse this stuff? SEVN
    @Crash. We all know you are into your PSTL but according to Portfolio Visualizer it has a CAGR of 1.65 % 1/20 thru 12/23. It also has a higher standard dev than the S&P 500 as well as a higher Max Drawdown. What’s the attraction?
  • Garp ETF
    I own tech sector funds, so I don't feel the need to have an exact copy of the 500.
  • Garp ETF
    The 3 (9.96%), 5 (15.79%), and 10 year (14.5%) performance records of SPGP somewhat speak for themselves. The portfolio certainly seems odd, and certainly out of synch with the "Magnificent 7, but I guess that's the point.
  • The week that was, global etf's, various categories + heat map. Week ending May 17, 2024.
    The graphic is set for the 5 days ending January 26, Friday; for the best to worst % returns in select etf categories. One may then also select the one month column to align the one month return best to worst; or for the other listed time frame columns.
    ADD an etf performance of your choosing, if you desire.
    *** Requested ADD: For the week and YTD
    --- EWW = +1.5% / -2.1% (I Shares, Mexico)
    MMKT note: Fidelity mmkt's remained steady this week, with core acct's yields at 4.98 and 5.02%.
    NOTE: Growth area remains nominally positive, although tech. related funds found some weakness near the end of this week.
    Remain curious,
    Catch
  • bond funds for taxable accounts?
    again, FD and others, could you make the comparison not to, say, TUHYX, but specifically to JAAA, since it is far more like the others: good yield, good performance and fairly low volatility (at least for the last 1.5 years). thanks!
  • WealthTrack Show
    Link to Jan 27 Episode:
    … dive into the real risks facing the markets with global value investor Matthew McLennan. As markets climb a wall of worry, McLennan shares his insights on protecting yourself from inevitable declines and sticking to a disciplined investment approach.
    We explore the key concerns and opportunities in the financial landscape. Stay tuned for valuable insights from McLennan, Co-Head of the global value team at First Eagle Investments, discusses the multiple risks facing “complacent” markets and his strategies to navigate them.


  • Garp ETF
    Its a mite different from Vanguard 500- and seems like great returns- would you agree?
  • bond funds for taxable accounts?
    Volatility: The beta on FALN is 0.95, almost tracking the rest of the Market. That seems tolerable to me. I want to initiate a bond fund/ETF in my taxable account that will spin off dividends which I can then redeploy.
    Barron's shows 5.3% yield, Stock Rover shows 5.9% yield. Either way, it's hefty, and I'll take it. Not so juicy as TUHYX (7.39%) nor PRCPX (6.86%). I'm hanging onto those, too.
    Bonds of all sorts in the portfolio = 37% right now.