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https://reuters.com/markets/us/several-parts-us-yield-curve-are-inverted-what-does-it-tell-us-2022-11-01/Yields on two-year Treasuries have been significantly above those of 10-year Treasuries since early July. Other parts of the curve that the Fed sees as more reliable warnings an economic contraction is expected have also inverted, or have flattened significantly, in recent weeks.
A new bifurcated world, like back during the old Cold War. NATO and allies vs. both Putin-soviet-style junk, plus tacit or active support from communist China, and India--- which is buying materials from those two pariahs. ...Then you have the Orbans and Bolsinaro Trumpster-types. I have even noticed a religious connection: ultra-conservative wingnut Catholics who reject the current pope as somehow an anti-pope or anti-Christ, together with right-wing nutso evangelicals who are more than willing to swallow and spread conspiracy theories and assist with insurgent-type behavior.No wonder EM stock funds are lagging badly.
https://morningstar.com/articles/1121936/big-china-stock-bets-continue-to-hit-emerging-markets-funds
Yep! The fixed rate at purchase remains forever (well, 30 years).Does this mean that only those who purchase after Oct 31, 2022 get the benefit of the 41 bp fixed rate addition? The rest of us get only 6.48%.
@Observant1This is indeed why the market has sold off. The question for the value investor is at what point are the risks of expanded state control "priced in" to securities? Or should investors assume there is no suitable price for that risk? It is a vital question.Expanded state control of the economy may lead to unsatisfactory investor outcomes.
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By contrast, if you think, that's it, the end of capitalism in China altogether--no price is worth paying.
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