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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show
    RPIEX. 69% cash. Ta-gooch?????????
    This was discussed in another thread. High derivative exposure explains high cash position. https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/152561/#Comment_152561
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show
    Global bond manager Jack McIntyre says central banks around the world are determined to stamp out inflation. Their success will determine the direction of markets and economies. He explains how he is investing for several outcomes.


    Investments During a Period of Stagflation:
    Stagflation is a period of economic stagnation combined with high inflation. When the economy stagnates, growth slows and unemployment rises. Demand for goods and services may decline as income levels drop. That in itself is bad enough but high inflation compounds the problem, as the income that people do have doesn’t go as far since prices are higher.
    https://smartasset.com/investing/how-to-invest-during-stagflation
    For a Global Bond choices, RPIEX, looks interesting
    MFO Discussion Linked here:
    https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/152569/#Comment_152569
  • What “Bubble”? ARKK closing in on 70% for one year
    @hank @Old_Joe
    Often no one notices the work we do...accepts the kids and sometimes the outside world.
    Thank you for making a difference... much like my colleague whose life was cut short by COVID... Love you Tom...RIP... You made a difference in so many lives.
    A Connecticut Story
  • What “Bubble”? ARKK closing in on 70% for one year
    Yeah - That right leaning “straight-from-FAUX” crap doesn’t deserve a reply.
    To attribute what’s left of ARKK’s prior valuation to still gullible investors and / or shoddy accounting at this point in the game is to ascribe to those who initially ran up the valuation of these companies to their 2021 peak a degree of stupidity that I’m unable to comprehend. These are by definition highly speculative companies. But, trading at little more than 30% of what they were assessed at only a year ago, I think they are worth looking at on a relative value basis (ie compared to the broader market). But, perhaps Grantham is correct that the entire U.S. market is but a shaky house of cards. In that case, God help us.
    And Heaven forbid that BBF is correct that retired public servants like @Old_Joe and myself are the underlying cause of all that ails the nation. In that case, all hope is lost.
  • direxion dies
    Hi sir that is the 400billions dollars questions and so hard to answer
    I Have lots time left +17yrs
    Likely holding patterns for me for now for 6 8 wks??!!. No buys now... Hold everything
    See how it goes next 4 6 wks... Maybe more pains more downturns fed trying kill tame inflation.... Likely more downswing
    Friends say reach critical support levels ... Unclear if levels break next wk, if it does expect another 10-20% drop/next leg
    Regardless I think in 24 months expect ?! +12-20% returns from these levels
    Maybe too late to sale now for me so holding patterns and not sure when will bounce...
    Should sold 2 wks ago but back then all pundits say breadth of stocks back and expect more up swings (unril uncle Powell killed the golden goose at Jackson hole speech) Think if feds slow down in 8-16 wks market will rebound (slow QT easing and slower rate cutdowns) ..
    Lots small caps tech arkk severely low near bottoms but how far beyond will go/will drop nobody know... Add more techs tna in 8 wks?
  • direxion dies
    ouch
    https://materials.proxyvote.com/Approved/MC3609/20220826/SUP_515436.PDF
    (probably already posted; could not find)
    Lost about a quarter on RWGV, which I believe, could be mistaken, was well-ranked on MFOP once upon a time in the alt world
    hold till end or sell Tuesday morning?
  • What “Bubble”? ARKK closing in on 70% for one year
    @Hank, so this is an extreme example of the absolute kookiness that has taken place over the past few years with the fed's balance sheet expanding by 10x over the past dozen or so years. Social media, media assisted in driving the sheeple to lose their money in this Schmuddel. I can see this fund getting cut in half once again from here. Who knows?
    So ryhmed with the late 90's, no? Next generation of investors/sheeple done learnt their lesson, maybe?
    So...question for the class...let's talke about GAAP accounting or maybe better said the lack of it pertaining to most/many tech companies.
    Do they or do they not pay many of their assocatiates with stock...what about intangibles...is that on the balance sheet? What happens to their "earnings" if you put those "true" expenses back on there? Aren't some of those companies another farce similar to ARKK...Can some CPA/Finance expert explain Salesforce, CRM, the rollup of over 60 companies to me and what is really going on there. I have no idea but am wondering, asking for a friend? Compare it to MSFT who DOES report using GAAP, I beleive.
    And now those of us who don't suckle of the teet of the public tax payer with a pension have to fund our retirement in this piece of sheet casino?
    Baseball Fan
  • What “Bubble”? ARKK closing in on 70% for one year
    (They say that market bubbles can only be identified after they have popped ….)
    ARKK is currently down 67.5% over 1 one-year according to CNBC. It’s off 56% YTD and about $5.00 above where it bottomed earlier in the year. This isn’t to rag on the fund and manager. But just to lend support to the idea that there certainly appears to have been a genuine “bubble” in this sector of the market.
    What I’m unable to fully understand are the specific factors contributing to its continuing descent. I believe short sellers have a heavy hand here. And investors are discounting future Fed rate increases plus anticipation of a recession in their valuation of the sector. Since TSLA is its largest holding, investors to an extent may be discounting Elon Musk - a dangerous bet IMHO. @bee mentions in another thread how higher interest rates impact speculative equities hardest. Posted for whatever thoughts or insights it might inspire..
    Disclosure: Am holding a very small amount of ARKK as a long-term speculative play. Off 6-7% since averaging in.
  • There are 'unusually attractive' prices for promising companies, says Ron Baron
    Another take on Tech and whether the bottom is in...not so fast:
    ‘more pain to come’ for the tech sector
    Higher rates make growth-oriented companies’ future earnings less attractive. Tech companies, especially those backed by venture capital, tend to prioritize growth over short-term profitability.
    “When those companies really start getting down to answering the investor question, the path to profitability, they’re not going to love what they see,” said Bravo.
    orlando-bravo-warns-theres-more-pain-to-come-for-the-tech-sector
  • Deflated/Defeated soon??!!
    Today's action is algos at work - both ways - I would not read too much into it.
    +1
    Lots of moving parts.
  • OIL
    I'm stepping out of bounds a bit, relative to the investing aspect of the post.
    Kinda tangent........meaning the twisted thinking and actions coming from Russia, affecting markets and other.
    Lukoil Chairman, dies after 'falling' from 6th floor hospital window
    Note: the Chairman criticized the Ukraine invasion. You'll read about his 'cause' of death in the short write.
  • Need help on Bond Purchase
    Right sir sorry thought you collect over 5k lol
    Wonder why they charge > 5k extra for inflation issues...
    Sometimes maybe better to get corp bonds least they give you ytm and final costs/ expected returns info /extra fees - no gimmicks.... Just need keep track (worries) that corp bonds do not file title 7 or 11 before maturity year.
    Once things more stabilize if find more good corp bonds/start buy more will pm you.
    I may call schwab or vanguard bonds desks they usually give lots info Tues or weds if have time
  • Global Bond Bear
    tuhyx. junk bonds. down -13.71 ytd.
    premx. em. down -19.95
    fnmix em. down -17.31
    agepx frontier mkt. bonds. down -14.46
    yup. i own tuhyx, not the others.
  • Need help on Bond Purchase
    Well, $207 per day would be great, but since we're talking about $1911 return over 135 days, unfortunately that's only about $14 per day, right?
  • Need help on Bond Purchase
    Hi sir you get around ~ 207 dollars return daily until it mature on your investment ( if calculating nearly corrected) . Enough for little gas coverage.
    Not bad and almost guaranteed.
    Reversed situation what we have owe 15k margin several wks ago 8.2% interest rates annual... Lucky stock bounces and sold it off. Margin rates likely higher 3rd wk of September after feds smack downs meetings.
  • Polar Capital Emerging Market Stars Fund lowers initial minimum and share class
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1806095/000119312522237777/d331554d497.htm
    497 1 d331554d497.htm 497
    POLAR CAPITAL EMERGING MARKET STARS FUND (the “Fund”)
    A SERIES OF DATUM ONE SERIES TRUST
    Supplement dated September 2, 2022
    to the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information
    dated July 29, 2022
    Effective September 1, 2022:
    1. CHANGE IN SHARE CLASS NAME
    The Fund’s sole share class will no longer be designated “Institutional” and all references in the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information to the “Institutional” share class will now refer to the Fund’s sole class of shares. Except as otherwise described in this Supplement, no additional changes to the characteristics of the shares of the Fund are being made in connection with this redesignation.
    2. CHANGE IN INVESTMENT MINIMUM
    The Fund’s initial investment minimum will be lowered from $100,000 to $5,000.
    Therefore, the initial investment minimum disclosed in the section under the heading “Summary Information About the Fund” under the sub-heading “Purchase Minimums” on page 8 of the Fund’s Prospectus and the second to last paragraph under the heading “Shares” under the sub-heading “How to Buy Shares” on page 25 of the Fund’s Prospectus each is hereby updated to $5,000 from $100,000.
    This Supplement and the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information should be retained for future reference.
  • The bottom are likely in
    @Anna ,
    The question was from @davidmoran.
    :)
    Unless you’ve been actively investing a long time and enjoy “The hunt” I tend to agree with him. Your stated loss is very low. I track 40/60 PRSIX and it’s down over 10%, To be down 7% or less would be very good for anyone in the markets this year,
    PS - VWINX is also worth considering for all or part of your funds. Should keep you out of deep **** while growing your $$ modestly over multi year periods. But no guarentees.