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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    In-service rollovers to T-IRA are allowed by TSP. Not many retirement plans allow that. 401k/403b vs T-IRA involves other issues covered elsewhere (TSP is formally not 401k, but follows similar rules).
    Yes, one can rollover their TSP account to a traditional IRA at brokerages AFTER they retire or leave their federal service/ jobs. At the brokerages one can have many choices (almost too many).
    My understanding is that rollover the TSP account while still working maybe allow depending on the plan administrators. So best to ask the TSP administrator.
    https://biglawinvestor.com/partial-401k-rollover/
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Is that some drool I see on the lips of fund management country wide? (If you don't follow the TSP doings over time, you have missed the various political maneuvers used over the years in an attempt to move the TSP into the skim paradises (female owned small investment business promotion, letting more firms share the wealth and management, etc.) The flavor of the argument depends on who wants the expansion and what audience is being targeted. In the past, this has not been much of a threat.
    My paranoid, suspicious mind is musing how, after this is sealed in superglue to the TSP program, the more egregious the costs, the better the argument for restructuring the fund more like retirement funds run elsewhere. (You know any old stable value fund is the same as the G-fund, all have index funds with low fees, etc.) Why not Voya; they throw the best parties? (adlib from Delaware move of their retirement funds from Fidelity to Voya.
    And, yes, I do know that all my comments are just idle wondering and wandering.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Since the TSP accounts are not mutual funds, one can't go to a prospectus filed with the SEC. At least there is a 36 page booklet describing the progam.
    https://www.tsp.gov/publications/tspbk08.pdf
    However, this program being part of the federal government, it is literally a matter of law. Specifically 5 USC § 8438, and the regulations promulgated under it, 5 CFR Chapter VI.
    https://law.justia.com/codes/us/2010/title5/partiii/subpartg/chap84/subchapiii/sec8438/
    https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-5/chapter-VI
    Here's one place the law intimates you won't lose money in the G fund. 5 CFR § 1600.37 says
    That an investment in any fund other than the G Fund is made at the employee's risk, that the employee is not protected by the United States Government or the Board against any loss on the investment, and that neither the United States Government nor the Board guarantees any return on the investment.
    As to who gets charged how much for the window, and what it can offer, that's also largely a matter of law.
    https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-05-10/pdf/2022-09972.pdf
    The excerpts below are long but I believe informative:
    For the TSP’s brokerage window, Congress has excluded all categories of investments except for mutual funds.¹
    ¹ See Thrift Savings Plan Enhancement Act of 2009, Public Law 111–31, Division B, Title I, sec. 104 (codified at 5 U.S.C. 8438(b)(5)(A)).

    The comments [to this government rule] indicate that many TSP participants are under the impression that other retirement plans negotiate free brokerage services. We looked into what have been described as ‘‘free’’, ‘‘no-transaction-fee’’, and ‘‘zero cost’’ mutual fund trades offered to participants in other retirement plans. We found that those prices are often caveated with fine print disclaimers, such as this:
    No-Transaction-Fee (NTF) mutual funds are no-load mutual funds for which [brokerage firm] does not charge a transaction fee. NTFs, as well as other funds, have other continuing fees and expenses described in the fund’s prospectus. [Brokerage firm] receives remuneration from fund companies for record keeping, shareholder and other administrative services. The amount of remuneration is based in part on the amount of investments in such funds by [brokerage firm] clients.
    The remuneration (i.e., fees) that brokerage firms receive from fund companies are treated by the fund companies as fund expenses, which are ultimately passed on to the people who have already invested in the fund. This type of arrangement between a brokerage firm and a fund company is called revenue sharing. Revenue sharing is not inherently pernicious. In many industries, revenue sharing is like a referral fee that a business owner might pay to compensate a person for bringing a new customer to their business. For most businesses, revenue sharing is a marketing cost borne by the business.
    Fund companies are, of course, businesses also. But fund companies are structurally different from other corporations. They typically have no employees, no physical assets, and no tangible products. They are just a collection of contracts relating to pools of money (i.e., funds), and they charge their costs of doing business to the people who have invested in the funds, regardless of how well the funds perform. Their unique corporate structure has led both Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court to conclude that ‘‘the forces of arm’s-length bargaining do not work in the mutual fund industry in the same manner as they do in other sectors of the American economy.’’ Jones v. Harris Assocs. L.P., 559 U.S. 335, 338 (2010), quoting S. Rep. No. 91–184, at 5 (1969). This does not mean that there is something sinister about the mutual fund industry. It means only that the nature of the product makes the usual distinctions between price, cost, revenue, profit, and quality less clear than they are in other industries.
    Fund companies are not required to provide individualized statements to investors, detailing the exact dollar amount of the fund’s fees that each investor has indirectly paid. Consequently, revenue sharing between retirement plans, record keepers, brokerage firms, and fund companies can lead to confusing, opaque fee disclosures. Revenue sharing converts explicit fees (e.g., account maintenance fees and transaction fees) into less transparent fees (e.g., fees embedded in the fund’s expense ratio). By including the fees in the fund’s expense ratio, the return on an investment in that fund is reduced. Most participants in private sector plans have no idea that revenue sharing exists, much less how much it decreases the return of their investments. [footnote omitted]
    The FRTIB values transparency. We believe TSP participants need, and deserve, to see the dollar amount of the fees they pay for their mutual funds. Toward that end, TSP participants will pay account maintenance fees and certain transaction fees directly rather than paying them indirectly through revenue sharing. Furthermore, FRTIB has contractually required the TSP record keeper, their trading platform provider, their broker-dealer(s), and any of their other affiliates or subcontractors to rebate all revenue sharing payments, or any other type of indirect compensation, they receive in connection with participants’ mutual fund window investments. The rebates will be credited to participants’ mutual fund window accounts. This ensures that the dollar amounts of all fees and expenses borne by TSP participants for services provided in connection with their mutual fund window investments are explicitly disclosed.

    One commenter suggested that a $25-$30 fee would be more reasonable [than $55 for the administrative fee]. This commenter did not offer a rationale for why $25-$30 would be more reasonable or suggest an alternative means of deriving an appropriate fee amount. Another commenter suggested that all TSP participants should share in the cost of the mutual fund window. We believe this suggestion would conflict with an explicit Congressional directive to ‘‘ensure that any expenses charged for use of the mutual fund window are borne solely by participants that use such window.’’ 5 U.S.C. 8438 (b)(5)(B). We are, therefore, adopting the proposed rule as final without substantive change.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Correct. In-service rollovers to T-IRA are allowed by TSP. Not many retirement plans allow that. 401k/403b vs T-IRA involves other issues covered elsewhere (TSP is formally not 401k, but follows similar rules).
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    As mentioned earlier, the TSP G Fund is a unique stable-value fund (SV) with its principal & accumulated interest guaranteed by Uncle Sam (most SVs are guaranteed by insurance companies; some by none, so check about yours). During the debt-ceiling dramas (also unique to the US), the Treasury taps G Fund temporarily but there is no risk of loss to its holders.
    The SV rates keep up with the current intermediate-term rates. The SVs are available only within workplace retirement plans.
    I have mentioned a rule of thumb elsewhere - prefer SV if its guaranteed interest well exceeds the 30-day SEC yield of bond fund under consideration. This has been so in recent years but may change as rate move up.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Whelp the changeover occurred so I can see my account. Had to re-register ;the usual stuff. The mutual fund window option is there but I cannot see the funds available. It says I CAN open the MFW but with the high costs and unknowns...not to keen to sign up just to see what is in it. Don't know if anyone cares but a financial guy I know told me always keep some money in the G fund, even if you move most of your account out at retirement. He worked at PIMCO and Treasury and noted that the G fund by law cannot lose money and can be very responsive to interest rates. FWIW.
  • Can Home Prices and Interest Rates Soar at the Same Time? ---- Maybe Not......
    Home prices in vacation areas in the mountains of western NC, more specifically Seven Devils, Banner Elk, and especially Beech Mountain have literally doubled/tripled since 2019. $300,000 homes now routinely go for $600,0000 and more. There is a 2500 sq ft home in Seven Devils that sold for $265,000 in 2013 that is now listed for $849,000.
    The driver behind these crazy prices is renting out these homes. Younger couples buy these homes as eventual retirement homes but in the meantime are renting them out for short term stays. They are netting $50,000/$60,000 annually. Skiing in the winter and temps that rarely reach 80 in the summers keep these homes in high demand throughout the year as rentals. Inventory of homes reached lows of under 10 in some area but now is finally building to over 40. albeit still low historically. Except for Seven Devils where inventory is but a few homes. Prices though haven’t dropped at all in these mountain getaways,
    Another driver that I don’t see mentioned much are record stock market prices in 2019 through 2021. Everyone is now rich and paying cash for these vacation homes - or so my realtor friends there tell me. If the market zooms back up from here I don’t see much lessening of demand/prices regardless of interest rates.
  • Vanguard mutual fund screen?
    The Vanguard fund search is poor, I believe, because Vanguard wants you to buy only their funds , move to Mongolia, never use customer service, and never exchange or sell your Vanguard funds until retirement or later! (only being slightly sarcastic)
    You may be slightly exaggerating but not by much!
  • Vanguard mutual fund screen?
    The Vanguard fund search is poor, I believe, because Vanguard wants you to buy only their funds , move to Mongolia, never use customer service, and never exchange or sell your Vanguard funds until retirement or later! (only being slightly sarcastic)
  • Left Brain Compound Growth Fund is going to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1545440/000158064222002833/leftbrain_supp.htm
    LEFT BRAIN COMPOUND GROWTH FUND
    A Series of Ultimus Managers Trust
    Supplement dated May 25, 2022 to the Prospectus, Summary Prospectus and
    Statement of Additional Information, each dated April 27, 2021, as supplemented on June 22, 2021
    Effective immediately, Left Brain Compound Growth Fund (the “Fund”), a series of Ultimus Managers Trust (the “Trust”), has terminated the public offering of its shares and will discontinue its operations effective June 24, 2022. Shares of the Fund are no longer available for purchase and, at the close of business on June 24, 2022, all outstanding shares of the Fund will be redeemed at net asset value (the “Transaction”).
    The Board of Trustees of the Trust (the “Board”), in consultation with the Fund’s investment adviser, Left Brain Wealth Management (the “Adviser”), determined and approved by Written Consent of the Board on May 24, 2022 (the “Written Consent”) to discontinue the Fund’s operations based on, among other factors, the Adviser’s belief that it would be in the best interests of the Fund and its shareholders to discontinue the Fund’s operations. Through the date of the Transaction, the Adviser will continue to waive investment advisory fees and reimburse expenses of the Fund, if necessary, in order to maintain the Fund at its current expense limit, as specified in the Prospectus.
    Through the Written Consent, the Board directed that: (i) all of the Fund’s portfolio securities be liquidated in an orderly manner not later than June 24, 2022; and (ii) all outstanding shareholder accounts on June 24, 2022 be closed and the proceeds of each account be sent to the shareholder’s address of record or to such other address as directed by the shareholder, including special instructions that may be needed for Individual Retirement Accounts (“IRAs”) and qualified pension and profit sharing accounts. As a result of the Transaction, the Fund’s portfolio holdings will be reduced to cash or cash equivalent securities. Accordingly, going forward, shareholders should not expect the Fund to achieve its stated investment objectives.
    Shareholders may continue to freely redeem their shares on each business day prior to the Transaction.
    The Transaction will be considered for tax purposes a sale of Fund shares by shareholders, and shareholders should consult with their own tax advisors to ensure its proper treatment on their income tax returns. In addition, shareholders invested through an IRA or other tax-deferred account should consult the rules regarding the reinvestment of these assets. In order to avoid a potential tax issue, shareholders generally have 60 days from the date that proceeds are received to re-invest or “rollover” the proceeds in another IRA or qualified retirement account; otherwise the proceeds may be required to be included in the shareholder’s taxable income for the current tax year.
    If you have any questions regarding the Fund, please call 1-833-498-2238.
    Investors Should Retain this Supplement for Future Reference
  • When stocks are down, ‘don’t watch the market closely
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/17/what-warren-buffett-says-to-do-when-markets-are-down.html
    Warren Buffett, Jack Bogle and financial planners agree: When stocks are down, ‘don’t watch the market closely’
    **Although the financial markets attempted a bounce back on Tuesday, they are largely in the midst of an extended sell-off that has punished some of the biggest names in stocks.
    The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s seven-week slump is its longest since 2001, while the S&P 500′s six-week losing streak is its longest since June 2011, CNBC reports.
    While many investors saving for retirement may be wondering what to do in such a tumultuous market, Warren Buffett has said the answer is simple: Try not to worry too much about it.
    “I would tell [investors], don’t watch the market closely,” Buffett told CNBC in 2016 during a period of wild market fluctuations.
    The Oracle of Omaha added that investors who buy “good companies” over time will see results 10, 20 and 30 years down the road. “If they’re trying to buy and sell stocks, they’re not going to have very good results,” he said. “The money is made in investing by owning good companies for long periods of time. That’s what people should do with stocks.”
    These gurus are probably right, buy cheap companies now and hold 10 -20 yrs**
    They maybe exactly right long term
    Problem folks maybe dead in 20 30 years or companies may not be around 30 yrs,
    Maybe better buy sectors etfs instead
  • Grandeur Peak re-opens several funds through 3rd party financial intermediaries
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/915802/000139834422009699/fp0076173_497.htm
    FINANCIAL INVESTORS TRUST: GRANDEUR PEAK FUNDS
    Grandeur Peak Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Micro Cap Fund
    Grandeur Peak International Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak International Stalwarts Fund
    SUPPLEMENT DATED MAY 16, 2022, TO THE SUMMARY PROSPECTUSES AND PROSPECTUS DATED AUGUST 31, 2021
    Effective May 16, 2022, the Grandeur Peak Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund, Grandeur Peak Global Opportunities Fund, Grandeur Peak Global Micro Cap Fund, Grandeur Peak International Opportunities Fund, and the Grandeur Peak International Stalwarts Fund (each a “Fund” and collectively the “Funds”) will reopen through financial intermediaries to shareholders who currently hold a position in a Fund. Financial advisors with clients in a Fund will be able to invest in the Fund for both existing as well as new clients. Each Fund remains open to all participants of retirement plans currently holding a position in a Fund. The Funds also remain open to new and existing shareholders who purchase directly from Grandeur Peak Funds.
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
  • "safe" investments
    Hi sirs nothing extremely safe
    We have so much bonds and 2015 TDF in mama portfolio T/ thought was save for retirement but not doing good
    -8% haircuts ( she was down -9% covid crash but bounces up slowly after)
    You Can do us treasury /ibonds but yields dismal since lots folks run toward it last couple months
    You can argue stocks-usa extremely cheap now and may slow heads up from here
  • "safe" investments
    Looking for advice, opinions. Any thoughts are appreciated.
    Given the expectation of more interest rate increases, messy world events, stock market volatility, inflation, what investment categories would best preserve money. I have enough for retirement but I don't want to lose any more (year to date -15% in dollars, -3% inflation).
    Which of these would you choose?
    dividend stocks VHYAX
    60/40 funds VBIAX
    40/60 funds VWINX
    intermediate bonds DODIX
    short term bonds FNSOX
    cds (3%, 3 years?)
    Other suggestions?
    gold (in what form?)
    real estate (in what form?)
    Thanks.
  • 401k Transfer
    When moving money by cashing out and repurchasing on the other side, it doesn't matter whether the market is high or low. What matters is short term movement. Will the market go down during those few days you'll be in cash? Then you "win". But if the market goes up, you lose - selling at $X and repurchasing at $(X+Y). Short term, the odds tend to be 50/50.
    As Yogi mentioned, federal law provides unlimited protection in bankruptcy from creditors on money transferred from a 401(k) to an IRA. But only in bankruptcy. Federal law doesn't provide any protection from creditors if you don't declare bankruptcy (assuming you're not forced into involuntary bankruptcy by creditors). You'll have to rely on your state's laws to protect that money outside of bankruptcy.
    Even if you don't comingle IRAs, a creditor may demand that you prove that you haven't tainted the account. That means keeping records for the life of the IRA, showing the absence of any contributions.
    The age 55 benefit¹ applies only to the 401(k) at your current employer. If you're planning to tap into your money this way, that's an argument for moving money from the old employer's plan to the new employer's plan. Consolidation/simplification is another reason. IMHO the case against consolidating is the risk of the market moving up while the move takes place (first paragraph above). I try to make moves like that only when the market is fairly quiescent. Hardly the situation now.
    ¹ You must leave your employer in (or after) the year when you turn 55. You don't have to actually have to be 55 at the time. You might turn 55 in November but quit in June. That's okay.
    https://smartasset.com/retirement/401k-55-rule
  • A Case for Small Caps?
    I don't like small-caps' typical volatility anymore. Just very unsatisfying. I used to hold Mairs & Power Small cap. MSCFX and TRP small cap PRDSX. Still hold just enough of PRIDX smid cap foreign so that TRP won't tell me to add more, because of required minimums. Ya, I suppose it's a bargain now in relative terms, but I don't have the patience. I'm looking more and more for dividend payers. This Market is a stinker, these days, compared to the juiced-up version we had enjoyed only very recently. I want the benefit of some real compensation now, in retirement, until things turn around for the better. Never have put money into a MLP before, but I'm eyeing one at the moment.
  • Buffett, Munger. news link.
    I agree with Buffett that there are some “pockets” of value here and there being overlooked by the performance chasing herd. The big indexes (like the S&P) may well be in bubble territory. And, Bill Fleckenstein thinks that target date funds, used as the default option in many workplace retirement plans, are also contributing to a bubble in some market areas - basically the major indexes.
    Identifying those pockets of value isn’t easy. Way beyond my humble capabilities. I was led to Allegheny (Y) by an excellent in-depth Barron’s piece. Less than a month after I bought it, Buffet made an offer and it jumped 25% overnight. I sold. I haven’t yet replicated that stroke of good luck - and not for lack of trying.
    The Barron’s piece delved into a lot of things I’m not qualified to address, like price-to-book, p/e, debt level, return on investment, dividend history, corporate leadership and diversification into market segments. Allegheny’s interest in a casket maker struck me as a uniquely “growthy” industry. :)
    I’m inclined to say this might be a good time to lighten up on funds and seek out opportunities in individual stocks. But, admittedly, that route is much riskier.
  • Chris Alman from CALSTERS
    Fascinating interview on Bloomberg today. Not sure I agree with him, but he certainly has strong opinions and not afraid to voice them.
    - The Fed “better not stop at 3%” (with the discount rate). If they don’t soon raise it to 5% or higher “they’re not doing their job”.
    - The surreptitious release of the SC draft opinion contributes to the polarization and disfunction of our politics. He fears the country is becoming “ungovernable”.
    - He sees equities as way overvalued.
    - Inflation is here to stay.
    - Investors are ignoring the negative implications of the war in Europe.
    - He’s not predicting “stagflation.” However, it it developed it would result in “nothing working” in terms of investments.
    - He’s been moving more and more into assets that provide inflation protection. Likes countries rich in natural resources.
    - The individual investor - even those in retirement - “still loves equities”.
    - Intermediate term bonds may offer better value than the S&P.
    - The 60/40 (stocks/bonds) portfolio is outdated / unpopular today. Has been largely replaced by the 70/30 and “even the 80/20” by most investors.
    - He recently spoke to Howard Marks. Marks agrees that with careful selection, there is some value in HY.
  • Anyone using some of their dry powder ?
    No deployment of dry powder yet. First deployment will be to AA funds mid/end of summer, then into riskier stuff, depending on war in Ukarine. In general I use a 20% downturn as a buy switch in transitional periods such as these. I am a good 10-15 years from retirement and quite comfortable being 30% cash / stable value in my company 401k.
  • Anyone using some of their dry powder ?
    Early in retirement, the last thing I need is holding a large equity allocation in a prolonged bear market, so I am at my personal low end of stock allocations. I am marginally positive YTD overall, with overweighs in Energy and commodities and underweight FAANG.
    I do not think raising the Federal Funds rate will do much to alleviate inflation due to supply chain disruptions /war, and it seems harder and harder for the FED to stop inflation without a recession. Stagnation seems more and more likely until 2024 at least
    Barrons has a nice summary of the difficulty of a "Soft lading"
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/recession-inflation-fed-soft-landing-51651183401?mod=past_editions
    Bond yields, while better, are still lowespecially relative to inflation, and even good dividend stocks my be in for a 15 to 20% drop
    I don't see much to change these trends until the war is over and China's covid problem is resolved. The added expenses to rebuild Ukraine and restore the damage to it's agricultural infrastructure will keep food and basic materials prices high for a long time, even if there is a recession.
    Having said that, I nibbled on AMZN and JPM yesterday as both are way down and JPM pays 3.35%, but I think adding to DBA or GCC or XLE makes the most sense now, along with PSQ and SH if you are OK with inverse ETFs
    I am also looking at a ladder of tax free state specific munis. While they don't pay much they are marginally better than MM rates and if interest rates continue to rise you can have cash to buy bonds at better prices